Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Unmarked Package]

Wave height of 33.8 ft recorded at 9:50 pm CDT by NOAA buoy north of eye.

NOAA Buoy 42003

[bannie]

Simply...YIKE!

I hope that they all get out of dodge in time!!!

Dear God!

[Ellesu]

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf?/washingaway/thebigone_1.html

"The Big One"

[Jrabbit]

I have 2 nieces in Slidell....they packed up the families and left for Florida...one told me that there are no motels/hotels anywhere north.

[dennis1x]

i see a lot of doomsdayers out tonight...lets at least wait and see if the thing strengthens or not...its been stuck at 115 mph for a while now.....its a long way to cat 5

potential...yes...but its not a given right now.

when/if it gets to strong cat 4 then lets debate the doomsday scenarios....of which there is plenty of debate.

[fooman]

wtf?? moron! I would call it NOW! with the last model updates there is no doubt and people should leave NOW! while the traffic is low and the rains/winds have not started.

[LA Woman3]

Cliff notes....
http://www.nola.com/hurricane/?/washingaway/

[bannie]

Thanks for the site. It will simply be like a ship, awash. Frightening. They must all leave. I think I need to turn on the TV. I've been seriously out of the loop on this.

Thanks again.

[NautiNurse]

New thread Here

[SunnySide]

When you see a huge hurricane that is pulling in air mass all the way from the Atlantic ocean and west of south America, IT IS WISE to pay attention and evacuate. Why stick around guessing with peoples lives in the balance.

[Tuxedo]

The latest from NHC suggest that the wind field is expanding. Interesting that a 939 mb pressure should equate to higher wind speed than 115 MPH. Not sure if that is due though to increased wind field though. Basically, it is getting bigger but not necessarily stronger right now. Starting to make the turn too it would seem.

[bannie]

Thanks!

[Knitting A Conundrum]

That is one scary scenario....I used to live in New Orleans...and I am scared for my friends still there....I was there for Huricane Betsy and so remember what a bad storm could do when the city was a bit higher and smaller...that tracking map scares the pants off me and I don't even live there any more...

[Amelia]

God help all the people who do not have the means to evacuate.

I'm still pretty sure that when we thought Floyd was coming, they evacuated the poor and elderly from Savannah to Macon on school buses.

[dennis1x]

im not speaking about evacuation.....im talking about the doomsday...nola will be wiped off the map...foolishness.

[AnAmericanMother]

As my daddy says, "The Fool Killer didn't get 'em all . . . but he's working on it."

[LA Woman3]

I remember someone stating in the Ivan thread (last year)about mandatory evacuations. If the city officials call for them, they are financially libel for everyone that cannot afford to evacuate. Any Louisiana FReepers remember this??

[Mad_Tom_Rackham]

RE: 1017, that's impressive. Yikes!

[LA Woman3]

I didn't realize Ellesu sent the same link!

[NautiNurse]

we are discussing it on the new thread