Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Termite_Commander]

Well, this storm's pretty kooky, so I don't know if we really can be sure where it's going until it's actually there. I suppose that New Orleans is pretty much nailed down now, though. I think every model shows it impacting directly or very near NO.

[Types_with_Fist]

Jesus! That's dead on New Orleans. Worst-case scenario. The big one.

[ElisabethInCincy]

I have read this all day... IS IT TRUE THERE IS NO MANDATORY EVAC OF NEW ORLEANS YET ????????????? WHAT ??????????????????//

[cerberus]

I am in Slidell.

I have Lake Pontchartrain in my back yard...I'm about 11 feet above sea level. Unless there's a significant change by the 5 a.m. report, we'll be getting out of here.

[NautiNurse]

Looks like this is the time to post the new thread. Will have it up in a couple of minute with the ping list.

[ex-Texan]

I hear you about those web cams. Tomorrow will be interesting. Katrina is going to cause major damage and terrible flooding from New Orleans through the South to D.C. and all the way up to New England.

[Termite_Commander]

For the entire city; no, there is no mandatory evac.

I think there are select sections of the city that have been ordered to be evacuated though.

[Tall_Texan]

I'm flying from Houston to Mobile tomorrow afternoon on an Embraer ERJ-145. I wonder if there might be some risk for problems?

If you go in the morning, you should be okay. The longer you wait, the dicier it gets. Happy flying. Take a raincoat.

[ghostrider]

A Redneck fixed my tractor with duct tape three years ago. He said it was too simple to charge for it. The repair shop wanted $79 for the contact switch, $75 for labor and $60 dollars for the service call. The redneck left the duct tape at my house and showed me how to replace it when it came off. So far the tape is holding. I think I read where they used duct tape to make a cutting tool to fix the last space shuttle in orbit.

[Godebert]

"if something like actually did happen then you would be one of first people they would come looking for."

Well....at least it wouldn't be "Bush's fault".

[Revel]

I took that off the KTL TV4 stream. It seems the line is actually at the AL/FL line according to the advisery.

[Termite_Commander]

Cerberus, I would get out of there now. By 5 AM, the roads might be jammed with traffic. I've heard the roads are pretty clear now (compared to earlier).

[dennis1x]

A tiny little eye is pretty discernible on infrared satellite now

the eye is rather large right now, around 30 miles diameter...tiny portions of the eye are beginning to warm and clear on IR though.

[RobFromGa]

You would think that somewhere along the way, the folks would get it. Then again, maybe not.

Makes you wonder how the snakes and turtles are smart enough to sense and leave the impending storm, yet people are too brain-dead to leave the "storm" that is the liberal Democrat party.

Nice job on these threads to everyone who is spending all the time to stay current. It is a huge job and we all appreciate it.

Prayers from Georgia for those in the path of Katrina. Praying for a shift away from N.O.

[abb]

Nagin live on WWL!!! Now!!

[jwalsh07]

Our prayers are with you Johnny and all others in the path of this nasty gal.

[Palladin]

Time to start praying.

God help all the people who do not have the means to evacuate.

[LA Woman3]

Mayor Nagin is putting his wife and kids on a plane tomorrow....

[ElisabethInCincy]

Omg this mayor on wwl ... This is gonna be bad .... Talked to someone at hurricane center said in his 33 yrs hes never seen anything like this.. Its the Big one they have all talked about

[yield 2 the right]

WWL has the N.O. mayor on now...in short "This IS THE LONG FEARED HURRICANE"