Posted on 08/17/2005 6:15:40 AM PDT by OESY
...[T]he Congressional Budget Office has now confirmed that federal revenues will rise this year by more than $262 billion-- the largest single-year increase in tax revenues in American history....
The first is that this windfall means that tax revenue as a share of the economy is climbing back to normal levels. As the nearby chart shows, at 17.5% of GDP this year, Uncle Sam's tax take is close to the 17.9% postwar average. And CBO estimates that as the economy continues to grow, the tax take will slowly rise throughout this decade to 17.8%.
This is because more Americans are thrown into higher tax brackets as their incomes rise. Economists call this "real bracket creep," and what it means is that most taxpayers will see their tax burdens gradually rise even under the lower Bush rates of 2003. The burden will be that much higher still if the lower Bush rates are allowed to expire....
A second fact: CBO says the deficit will fall to 2.7% of national output in the fiscal year that ends at the end of next month. It is expected to continue to fall to 2.4% of GDP next year and 2.0% in 2010....
The official numbers aren't in yet, but most fiscal analysts believe a large share of this year's revenue gusher is coming from higher than expected capital gains and dividend tax receipts. Non-withheld personal income tax receipts-- much of which is from capital gains and dividend income-- have exploded by one-third since 2003. This suggests that the lower tax rates on investment income may have paid for themselves.
[T]otal wage income is up about $75 billion this year over projections. This is partly a result of higher productivity and wage growth, and partly a result of two million new jobs... this year....
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
It's Bush's fault.
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Since the Federal appropriations for the war efforts in Afghanistan and Iraq are being done "off-line" and are not included in these budget figures, I'd say these CBO estimates are absolutely meaningless. The Wall Street Journal ought to know this better than anyone.
(Denny Crane: "Sometimes you can only look for answers from God and failing that... and Fox News".)
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