Posted on 07/31/2005 4:30:14 PM PDT by linkinpunk
The Democratic Party: Left Behind
By Thomas Lifson
Sunday, July 31, 2005
The Democratic Party just took a body blow this week, deepening the crisis of the American Left. The historic split of organized labor which took place Monday will slash the Democrats' cash flow and remove thousands of “volunteer” union workers for the nuts and bolts work of organizing political campaigns and getting out the vote. Even worse is the danger of infighting.
With their uneasy coalition of blacks, Jews, gays, and feminists, to name just a few, Democrats do not want to see infighting become a popular mode of struggle among their client interest groups.
A pillar of the Democratic Party is crumbling before our very eyes.
The AFL-CIO has been the greatest financial patron of the Democrats, as well as an indispensable adjunct for organizing on the ground, precinct-by-precinct. For years, reliance on big labor to staff a major part of the retail level organization gave the Democrats an advantage in getting out the vote.
The GOP finally assembled an effective apparatus for mobilizing its voters in 2004, to the shock and dismay of Democrats. The prospective loss of a substantial chunk of the Democrats’ organizational muscle could not come at a worse time.
Democrat insider Harold Ickes, Jr. said that if the Democrats couldn’t head off this split, the future would be “very, very bleak….” He was correct.
The AFL-CIO’s new rival is Change to Win, a still-forming consortium of unions under the leadership of Andrew Stern, boss of the Service Employees International Union (SEIU). The SEIU is one of very few major unions whose membership is growing rather than declining. For months Stern had been publicly threatening John Sweeney, head of the AFL-CIO, with a walkout, demanding more money be spent on organizing new workers, and less money and attention for the Democrats.
Instead of selling the idea of unions to new workers, labor has been shrinking to the point where it had too little clout in national labor markets. Stern warned that the entire enterprise of organized labor was at risk because of this failing strategy.
And now he has walked. Monday, the SEIU and the Teamsters boycotted the AFL-CIO’s 50th Anniversary meeting in Chicago. Those two unions together account for one quarter of the AFL-CIO membership. Over the next two weeks, an orchestrated wave of other unions likely will follow into the rival-in-the-making union coalition.
Historical comparisons The romantic mythology of the labor left sees heroism in the champions of industrial unions. Pro-union journalists could not help but draw at least an implicit comparison to the Depression-era split in the labor movement, when John L. Lewis led the more militant CIO unions out of the AFL, and built strong new industrial unions like the United Auto Workers.
Stern wrote:
we hope will open up opportunities similar to the surge in worker unity and organization when the Congress of Industrial Organizations (CIO) was created in the 1930s because the American Federation of Labor (AFL) failed to adapt to the changing economy of that era.
Andrew Stern, a former social worker and a career leftist, might wish to see himself joining the pantheon housing John L. Lewis and Walter Reuther. But in fact he is more in the mold of Henry Kravis, William Simon, and other LBO artists of legend.
The Business of Labor A labor union, after all, is also a business, with a payroll to meet and prices (dues) to charge their customers (members). Stern’s “business” – the SEIU – was well-positioned in a growing sector of the economy, the service industry, and was pursuing strategic niche opportunities, such as health care workers and Hispanics. Stern also spent lavishly on marketing, organizing and winning the right to represent new workers. As a result he enjoyed growing revenues and clout.
But at the federation level and in many other major unions, the heavy commitment of resources to the Democratic Party precluded the same kind of organizing. Industrial unions were struggling to hold onto to their membership, and saw political influence with labor’s historic ally as a necessary insurance policy. If all else fails, ask for trade restrictions or federal bailouts.
These failing unions are now left behind in a smaller and vastly weaker AFL-CIO, one which inevitably turn more and more of its attention to dying-industry issues: pension security, layoffs, health benefit givebacks, and other unpleasant matters. The federation's own workforce will be subject to downsizing and possible pay cuts and loss of benefits, just like their membership.
No doubt Stern and his coalition will wish them well, keep the doors open for work together on issues of common interest, and otherwise maintain a smiling face. But the two union groups are on divergent paths. There are promises from Teamsters’ boss James Hoffa to tell his locals to continue to pay dues to the AFL-CIO for political contributions, but inevitably these and other transitional arrangements will end, and the AFL-CIO will be cut loose, like a spin-off of an unpromising manufacturing division in a corporate restructuring.
Stern's new group will build its membership, and when it practices politics it will look to play off the two parties against each other, gaining bargaining leverage.
So Stern has leveraged his success, his vision, and his organizational resources to bring other unions with him into a brand new organizational framework, to be constructed under his leadership. Like similar visionaries in the business world, he has attracted resources to his control, taking them from failing entities which were not using them productively.
Ironically, the actual members of the unions he is attracting to his new federation have no direct voice in the decision of their union to leave the AFL-CIO. Their elected leadership will make that decision for them.
In the allegedly less-democratic and more ruthless world of capitalism, shareholders themselves get to vote on whether or not to sell the company to the takeover artists. Leverage is used to bring them cash, not to force them into something new.
Dues-paying union members have less leverage on their leadership. The unions have plenty of leverage on them.
Call Andrew Stern’s new organizational strategy a leveraged walk out.
Thomas Lifson is the editor and publisher of The American Thinker.
I like the good news we've been hearing these days. I'm surprised it took this long for people to figure out what the democrat party is really all about. Sheesh!
And this is a bad thing?
"I didn't leave the Democratic Party. The Democratic
Party left me." - Ronald Wilson Reagan
Yes, the Democratic Party IS a Left Behind.
Obviously it's dangerous to generalize, but I have noticed some things. Black people are often significantly more religious than white people, and downright conservative on social issues. No less a Dimocrat than Donna Brazile said "Even I have trouble explaining to my family that we are not about killing babies."
And while Jewish people may tend to be politically liberal, I have noticed that Jews who practice their Faith seriously are often quite conservative politically. I'm not Jewish, but I can't imagine anybody taking the Dims seriously when they express support for Israel. The Dims say they support Israel but they expect Israel to deal with it's ruthless (and insane) enemies in a toothless manner.
I don't think that the Dims can take Jews and blacks for granted anymore.
These people are being marginalized bit by bit. If they dont win in 2008 they may never win a national election in my lifetime. Democracy is a numbers game... and in a numbers game you probably shouldn't abort your new voters.
As early as May 16, 2005, SEIU had given out $133,000 for the 2006 election cycle, while the Teamsters had given $168,300, with 88 and 75 percent, respectively, going to Democrats. -snip
Full story here
Don't count on it. See my prior post.
BEWARE.
Power vacuums aside, this is about the replacement of elder democrat leadership by younger, equally wicked blood. Do you think the Obamas will disappear?
Great, so the old Leftist establishment is crumbling. They all have children. All they need is some prolific event, one seminal excuse to take the reigns and fight on.
Until they convince the majority of the American people that they wil protect us from Islamic terrorism, they will never win another presidency.
Now, if Hitlery decides that she wants to kick a** on the jihadis, we could have a problem.
The Dem's remind me of pre-schoolers playing soccer.
All of them just running their little hearts out in every direction, no concept of the term "team", each one trying to save the game, and blaming their own teammates when they lose the ball.
I think it is wise to be on the alert for this so-called split as explained by the Dem-ally, the MSM. If, as Ken Mehlman is writing, that Pubs are trying to make inroads in union voting precincts, I want to see an election cycle or two where this actually happens before I say the Dems-loving union clones are dead in the water. We shall see how Pub organization and evangelization of Demunionvoters takes place in '06 and '08. In the numbers show some movement toward the GOP, then I will dance with the cartoon figures above.
If the Dems do badly in 2006, it looks real bad for them in 2008
Third time could be charm, though. There won't be a Bush running for reelection next time (a mixed blessing), but Republicans need to have some good prospects for the nomination by that time and take care to keep the country on the right course. If the Democrats get back in, they won't be graceful about it.
Pray for W and Our Troops
I agree that we need to vigilant but even leftists are realistic that Hillary cannot win. And if anybody other that Hillary thinks they can win the Dem nomination they're kidding themselves. Hillary would have to totally sweep the womans vote since her negatives among men are SO high. I sont think it would be as close as Bush v Gore or Kerry.
Every day that goes by the South gets stronger and may even shift electoral votes by 2008. Mathmatically it is getting very very hard for them to win.
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