Just damn. Gonna be a rainy end of next week here in San Antonio. What are your current thoughts about a Texas landfall?
It's going to be close... I guess I'm a little less confident than prior, because the models shifted south. The main trough from yesterday lifted out, but a remnant upper level low is still sittin in northern Mexico/S. TX. It will be interesting to see if that stays there, as we saw a similar thing happen with Dennis. That would be enough to kick the storm into TX.
Steering currents currently would bring it right to the border, if not a bit north... but the high is expected to build west. It's all about the weakness on the western periphery, hopefully the next model runs will make things a tad more clear.