I think we can say with some assurance that Emily will either cross the Yucatan or shoot the Channel and get into the Western Gulf or Bay of Campeche.
There it would be expected to strengthen and probably hit Mexico or Texas. There doesn't seem to be any hint of front that would sweep it northeast. It's just going to be a function of how rigid the high to the north remains.
What are the chances of Emily affecting the Houston area at this point? I've never really been in a hurricane before and just wondered if it's a slim-to-none chance, a reasonable possibility, or more than a possibility.
Miz