Posted on 07/13/2005 7:11:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Puerto Rico Long Range Radar Loop
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Looks like port O'conner and a little bit further south, but models are not very accurate 6 days out.
Forecast slowly creeping north. All models yeaterday had Emily going into central Mexico, now starting to look more like texas, we should know much more by sunday.
oooooooh Preeeeety!
LOL thanks guys I needed a laugh! :-)
Excerpt
ST. GEORGE'S, Grenada - Hurricane Emily grew even more powerful Thursday after slamming into Grenada, tearing up crops, flooding streets and striking at homes still under repair from last year's storms. At least one man was killed.
The storm strengthened to a dangerous Category 3 as it cleared the Windward Islands, unleashing heavy surf, gusty winds and torrential rains on islands hundreds of miles away: Trinidad in the south, nearby Venezuela, to the west and Dominican Republic in the middle of the Caribbean Sea.
Venezuelan authorities temporarily ordered some oil tankers to stay in port in the key oil refining zone of Puerto la Cruz, port captain Jose Jimenez Quintero said.
The storm was packing sustained winds near 125 mph and moving west-northwest at around 20 mph. The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami predicted the second major hurricane of the Atlantic season would get even stronger.
Emily struck hard in Grenada, especially in the northern parishes of St. Patrick's and St. Andrew's and the outlying islands of Carriacou and Petit Martinique, authorities said.
The damage comes as the island nation is still recovering from last year's Hurricane Ivan, which destroyed thousands of residences and damaged 90 percent of the historic Georgian buildings in the capital.
"Just as we were trying to rebuild ... this is a very, very major setback," said Barry Colleymore, a spokesman for Prime Minister Keith Mitchell. "There's been lots of destruction."
The Organization of American States expressed concern at the prospect of a "severe economic setback" to countries hit by hurricanes, especially Grenada, and called an emergency meeting for Friday.
A man in his 40s was killed when a landslide crushed his home in St. Andrew's, said Allen McGuire, Grenada's consul general in New York City.
In the capital, St. George's, winds blew out windows and caused flooding, Colleymore said. On Carriacou, the storm damaged the roof of the only hospital, forcing the evacuation of patients, officials said. Sixteen houses were destroyed and more than 200 were damaged, McGuire said.
Elsewhere in the country, two police stations and two homes for the elderly also lost their roofs, landslides and fallen trees blocked roads, streets were flooded and crops were destroyed.
The two outlying islands had largely been spared from Ivan, but elsewhere in Grenada many of the homes damaged Thursday had still been under reconstruction, McGuire said.
Prime Minister Keith Mitchell flew over the country to survey the destruction, Colleymore said.
In Trinidad, widespread flooding triggered landslides that cut off the only access road to two east coast communities, marooning hundreds of residents, Mayor Eustace Nancis said. At least one house was washed away, and hundreds of people were without water or electricity.
Prime Minister Patrick Manning toured Trinidad and the smaller island of Tobago by helicopter Thursday to assess damage.
Jamaica and the Cayman Islands were under a hurricane watches, while the Dominican Republic, Haiti and Venezuela posted tropical storm warnings as did the Dutch islands of Bonaire, Curacao and Aruba.
In Grenada, Mitchell had sought before the storm to reassure citizens that the government would not be caught off-guard — as it was when Ivan killed 39 people and left a wasteland of ruined buildings in September.
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This baby got ratcheted up pretty darn fast .. prayers for those in the path .. makes you wonder what the final extent of the loss and destruction will by Nov. 30.
wow, what a nice link, I book marked that thanks.
I hear stories that she tore the valley up but you can't tell from thishttp://www.srh.noaa.gov/crp/docs/research/hurrhistory/Beulah/beulah.html I heard a reporter on TV once say something like maybe it will go to a sparcely populated area like Brownsville. We have a lot of people here.
The Weather Channel just said that Emily is now a Cat 4. Ack.
The damn thing is a category 4 now with 135mph winds! This thing is a very dangerous hurricane folks. The 2am advisory is out.
wow...sure doesn't look that strong, but I believe it.
With additional strengthening possible.
Dang. Emily doesn't mess around I guess.
I think the physical size will grow if the forward speed ever slows down. Will also grow when it gets in the warmer western carribean and gulf waters.
Latest Vortex message has yet another pressure fall. Pressure is now down to 952mb at 0503Z.
Previous pressure was 958mb at 0130Z.
That's 6mb in 4.5 hours. A little better than Emily's earlier average of 2mb per hour.
She sure is strenghtening fast. Too fast.
Yes it is and starting to get a little scary.
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for Jamaica and for all of the Cayman Islands.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Caracas westward to punto fijo...including the offshore islands north of the coast and west of Caracas.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for portions of the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Punta Salinas westward to the Dominican Republic/Haiti border...and for the entire southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic/Haiti border to Port-au-Prince.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for Bonaire...Curacao... and Aruba.
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean should monitor the progress of Emily.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 2 am AST...0600z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near latitude 13.7 north... longitude 68.3 west or about 350 miles... 560 km... south-southeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic and about 635 miles...1025 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph...32 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.
Information from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have continued to increase and are now near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with higher gusts. Emily is now a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale scale. Some additional strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles... 55 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles...205 km.
The minimum central pressure recently reported by a hurricane hunter aircraft was 952 mb...28.11 inches.
Emily is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across portions of the Netherlands Antilles. Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected over portions of Hispaniola...with isolated 8 inch amounts possible. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 2 am AST position...13.7 N... 68.3 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 952 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5 am AST.
Forecaster Stewart
I work in health care. If there is a strong possibility of a direct hit evacuations will be done. I can remember if it's for a 3 or 4 though.
Thanks. The way she is going she could be a 5 by morning.
I hope they evacuate Cancun and Cozumel if it looks like a direct hit there.
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