Posted on 07/13/2005 7:11:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Puerto Rico Long Range Radar Loop
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
That's nice of you. Maybe they won't have any problems. Still everyone on a major trip to the coast this time of year should have the insurance; it's not that much.
LOL!!!!!!! I spent every summer from 1974 - 1982 on the Gulf Coast of Florida....and never encountered a hurricane until 1985 in Delaware.
It must be that global warming they keep talking about:)
Cancel trip Cancun is definately going to get hit and hit hard.
FWIW 18Z models are shifting N and now imply an extreme S Texas hit.
Storm is maintaining a decent N of W component of motion.
Actually ended up shifting more than I thought; 18Z GFS now has a central TX coast hit in 6-7 days.
We lived on the coast my whole life, and had one near-miss in Virginia Beach in the mid-80's. Blew all the apples off our trees, and some friends who lived on the islands moved in with us for a few days.
The mysteries of probability.
The only good news about a major storm--it's so much easier to track 'em when the eye is visible.
One never knows, does one?
Texans, we need to pay attention to this storm.
Ain't that peachy! We just got power and cable back late last night after Dennis. Looks like it was just in time to track Emily. Just Damn
Also weather here in upper texas is changing, was scatter t-storms, but now it looks like a low is somewhhere in the area, steady rain. So maybe the Bermuda high is retreating?
I told you that three days ago!
Texas hurricane ping, yall need to check out 229
18z GFS is kind of on it's own with the trough picking up the storm. Last night's UKMET was offering a similar situation, but for different reasons. I still think we see a north trend in the models, but the GFS is certainly an outlier at this point.
That link gave my dail up a work out.
But it was worth the wait.
Emily seems to take a late northerly turn...we'll see.
There is a real possibility we may finally be tracking a storm from a safe distance over here.
Don't be so sure of that, I am thinking a serious turn north could be in the cards.
I moved here just before the 2004 season started. I've never watched one go anywhere else!!
Here is a discussion on the 18z GFS, FWIW:
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=41168
As i mentioned I am seeing a big change in the weather here in houston, looks like a low is forming/moved in. maybe models are picking this up?
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