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Hurricane Emily
NHC-NOAA ^ | 13 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/13/2005 7:11:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Puerto Rico Long Range Radar Loop

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the 3 day and 5 day historic track positions




TOPICS: Extended News
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; weather
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To: Rebelbase

That's nice of you. Maybe they won't have any problems. Still everyone on a major trip to the coast this time of year should have the insurance; it's not that much.


221 posted on 07/14/2005 2:37:41 PM PDT by Tax-chick (No! I don't want a socialist muffin in a boat!)
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To: Tax-chick
Risky to plan trips to the Gulf this time of year.

LOL!!!!!!! I spent every summer from 1974 - 1982 on the Gulf Coast of Florida....and never encountered a hurricane until 1985 in Delaware.

It must be that global warming they keep talking about:)

222 posted on 07/14/2005 2:40:14 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: Portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: Rebelbase

Cancel trip Cancun is definately going to get hit and hit hard.


223 posted on 07/14/2005 3:10:09 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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To: NautiNurse

FWIW 18Z models are shifting N and now imply an extreme S Texas hit.

Storm is maintaining a decent N of W component of motion.


224 posted on 07/14/2005 3:15:13 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist

Actually ended up shifting more than I thought; 18Z GFS now has a central TX coast hit in 6-7 days.


225 posted on 07/14/2005 3:28:17 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Gabz

We lived on the coast my whole life, and had one near-miss in Virginia Beach in the mid-80's. Blew all the apples off our trees, and some friends who lived on the islands moved in with us for a few days.

The mysteries of probability.


226 posted on 07/14/2005 3:30:23 PM PDT by Tax-chick (No! I don't want a socialist muffin in a boat!)
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To: Strategerist
uh-oh. Bad news for Jamaica if this direction holds.

The only good news about a major storm--it's so much easier to track 'em when the eye is visible.

227 posted on 07/14/2005 3:34:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Tax-chick

One never knows, does one?


228 posted on 07/14/2005 3:49:07 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: Portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: nwctwx
Well, crap. Take a look at the GFS run.

Texans, we need to pay attention to this storm.

GFS computer model.

229 posted on 07/14/2005 3:59:17 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: NautiNurse
She's still in the SE Caribbean, a long way from the US.

Ain't that peachy! We just got power and cable back late last night after Dennis. Looks like it was just in time to track Emily. Just Damn

230 posted on 07/14/2005 4:08:28 PM PDT by vinylsidingman (battened down and waiting in NE Pensacola)
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To: Strategerist

Also weather here in upper texas is changing, was scatter t-storms, but now it looks like a low is somewhhere in the area, steady rain. So maybe the Bermuda high is retreating?


231 posted on 07/14/2005 4:11:56 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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To: Dog Gone

I told you that three days ago!


232 posted on 07/14/2005 4:12:26 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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To: Dog Gone; PetroniDE; Clara Lou; RGVTx; Xenalyte; Tall_Texan; gdc314; Ditter; No Blue States; ...

Texas hurricane ping, yall need to check out 229


233 posted on 07/14/2005 4:16:27 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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To: Dog Gone

18z GFS is kind of on it's own with the trough picking up the storm. Last night's UKMET was offering a similar situation, but for different reasons. I still think we see a north trend in the models, but the GFS is certainly an outlier at this point.


234 posted on 07/14/2005 4:19:55 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Dog Gone

That link gave my dail up a work out.
But it was worth the wait.
Emily seems to take a late northerly turn...we'll see.


235 posted on 07/14/2005 4:21:52 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: vinylsidingman
Looks like it was just in time to track Emily. Just Damn

There is a real possibility we may finally be tracking a storm from a safe distance over here.

236 posted on 07/14/2005 4:23:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Don't be so sure of that, I am thinking a serious turn north could be in the cards.


237 posted on 07/14/2005 4:25:06 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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To: NautiNurse
There is a real possibility we may finally be tracking a storm from a safe distance over here.

I moved here just before the 2004 season started. I've never watched one go anywhere else!!

238 posted on 07/14/2005 4:25:39 PM PDT by Vermonter
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To: Dog Gone

Here is a discussion on the 18z GFS, FWIW:

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=41168


239 posted on 07/14/2005 4:25:51 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

As i mentioned I am seeing a big change in the weather here in houston, looks like a low is forming/moved in. maybe models are picking this up?


240 posted on 07/14/2005 4:29:58 PM PDT by jpsb (I already know I am a terrible speller)
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