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Hurricane Emily
NHC-NOAA ^
| 13 July 2005
| NHC
Posted on 07/13/2005 7:11:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Rebelbase
That's nice of you. Maybe they won't have any problems. Still everyone on a major trip to the coast this time of year should have the insurance; it's not that much.
221
posted on
07/14/2005 2:37:41 PM PDT
by
Tax-chick
(No! I don't want a socialist muffin in a boat!)
To: Tax-chick
Risky to plan trips to the Gulf this time of year. LOL!!!!!!! I spent every summer from 1974 - 1982 on the Gulf Coast of Florida....and never encountered a hurricane until 1985 in Delaware.
It must be that global warming they keep talking about:)
222
posted on
07/14/2005 2:40:14 PM PDT
by
Gabz
((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: Portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
To: Rebelbase
Cancel trip Cancun is definately going to get hit and hit hard.
223
posted on
07/14/2005 3:10:09 PM PDT
by
jpsb
(I already know I am a terrible speller)
To: NautiNurse
FWIW 18Z models are shifting N and now imply an extreme S Texas hit.
Storm is maintaining a decent N of W component of motion.
To: Strategerist
Actually ended up shifting more than I thought; 18Z GFS now has a central TX coast hit in 6-7 days.
To: Gabz
We lived on the coast my whole life, and had one near-miss in Virginia Beach in the mid-80's. Blew all the apples off our trees, and some friends who lived on the islands moved in with us for a few days.
The mysteries of probability.
226
posted on
07/14/2005 3:30:23 PM PDT
by
Tax-chick
(No! I don't want a socialist muffin in a boat!)
To: Strategerist
uh-oh. Bad news for Jamaica if this direction holds.
The only good news about a major storm--it's so much easier to track 'em when the eye is visible.
227
posted on
07/14/2005 3:34:39 PM PDT
by
NautiNurse
("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
To: Tax-chick
One never knows, does one?
228
posted on
07/14/2005 3:49:07 PM PDT
by
Gabz
((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: Portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
To: nwctwx
Well, crap. Take a look at the GFS run.
Texans, we need to pay attention to this storm.
GFS computer model.
To: NautiNurse
She's still in the SE Caribbean, a long way from the US. Ain't that peachy! We just got power and cable back late last night after Dennis. Looks like it was just in time to track Emily. Just Damn
230
posted on
07/14/2005 4:08:28 PM PDT
by
vinylsidingman
(battened down and waiting in NE Pensacola)
To: Strategerist
Also weather here in upper texas is changing, was scatter t-storms, but now it looks like a low is somewhhere in the area, steady rain. So maybe the Bermuda high is retreating?
231
posted on
07/14/2005 4:11:56 PM PDT
by
jpsb
(I already know I am a terrible speller)
To: Dog Gone
I told you that three days ago!
232
posted on
07/14/2005 4:12:26 PM PDT
by
jpsb
(I already know I am a terrible speller)
To: Dog Gone; PetroniDE; Clara Lou; RGVTx; Xenalyte; Tall_Texan; gdc314; Ditter; No Blue States; ...
Texas hurricane ping, yall need to check out 229
233
posted on
07/14/2005 4:16:27 PM PDT
by
jpsb
(I already know I am a terrible speller)
To: Dog Gone
18z GFS is kind of on it's own with the trough picking up the storm. Last night's UKMET was offering a similar situation, but for different reasons. I still think we see a north trend in the models, but the GFS is certainly an outlier at this point.
234
posted on
07/14/2005 4:19:55 PM PDT
by
nwctwx
(Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
To: Dog Gone
That link gave my dail up a work out.
But it was worth the wait.
Emily seems to take a late northerly turn...we'll see.
235
posted on
07/14/2005 4:21:52 PM PDT
by
RGVTx
To: vinylsidingman
Looks like it was just in time to track Emily. Just DamnThere is a real possibility we may finally be tracking a storm from a safe distance over here.
236
posted on
07/14/2005 4:23:38 PM PDT
by
NautiNurse
("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
To: NautiNurse
Don't be so sure of that, I am thinking a serious turn north could be in the cards.
237
posted on
07/14/2005 4:25:06 PM PDT
by
jpsb
(I already know I am a terrible speller)
To: NautiNurse
There is a real possibility we may finally be tracking a storm from a safe distance over here.I moved here just before the 2004 season started. I've never watched one go anywhere else!!
To: Dog Gone
239
posted on
07/14/2005 4:25:51 PM PDT
by
nwctwx
(Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
To: nwctwx
As i mentioned I am seeing a big change in the weather here in houston, looks like a low is forming/moved in. maybe models are picking this up?
240
posted on
07/14/2005 4:29:58 PM PDT
by
jpsb
(I already know I am a terrible speller)
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