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Sunny days ahead for GOP as population shifts south
The Washington Times ^ | 11 July 2005 | Donald Lambro

Posted on 07/10/2005 9:59:18 PM PDT by Aussie Dasher

Migration from liberal bastions in the Northeast and Midwest to the Sun Belt states will boost Republican electoral strength in the coming decade, making it tougher than ever for Democrats to win the presidency without carrying states in the South or Southwest.

The Census Bureau's latest projection of population shifts, the first in eight years, shows a dramatic movement from the North to Southern and Western states over the next 30 years. The study points to a political movement as well.

Heavily Democratic states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois and Michigan will go on losing congressional seats and thus electoral strength in presidential elections, political analysts say. At the same time, they say, Republican states such as Florida, Texas, Arizona, Georgia and Nevada likely will gain congressional and electoral clout.

"The net beneficiary of this will continue to be the Republican Party because the population shift is moving into an environment that is heavily dominated by the Republicans," says Merle Black, a professor of politics and government at Emory University and author of books on political shifts in the South.

(Excerpt) Read more at washtimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: dems; gop; population; shiftingvotes
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I suppose we can expect Dems building walls to prevent the shift...
1 posted on 07/10/2005 9:59:18 PM PDT by Aussie Dasher
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To: Aussie Dasher

I hope, however, that that doesn't mean that libs from the North are invading the South.


2 posted on 07/10/2005 10:00:58 PM PDT by pcottraux
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To: pcottraux

I same thought crossed my mind...


3 posted on 07/10/2005 10:02:07 PM PDT by Aussie Dasher (The Great Ronald Reagan & John Paul II - Heaven's Dream Team!)
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To: Aussie Dasher
Heavily Democratic states such as New York, New Jersey, Illinois and Michigan will go on losing congressional seats and thus electoral strength in presidential elections, political analysts say. At the same time, they say, Republican states such as Florida, Texas, Arizona, Georgia and Nevada likely will gain congressional and electoral clout.

It sounds good to me. This is the Lords work!

People are getting tired of living in liberal rat holes. I don't blame them for leaving.

4 posted on 07/10/2005 10:04:05 PM PDT by concerned about politics ("A people without a heritage are easily persuaded (deceived)" - Karl Marx)
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To: concerned about politics

But my worry, especially as a Southerner, is that a greater liberal population may be migrating into the red states, slowly turning them into blue states.

And that's just wrong.


5 posted on 07/10/2005 10:06:04 PM PDT by pcottraux
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To: pcottraux
I hope, however, that that doesn't mean that libs from the North are invading the South.

As the conditions in the country get worse [due to political correctness (forced socialism)] people will continue to leave the oppressive liberal areas for freer, safer ground. If hell ever breaks loose (terrorism, crime, etc.), they don't want to be stuck living around a bunch of rabid liberals.
I think it's a good thing. The good people are being called out.

6 posted on 07/10/2005 10:09:33 PM PDT by concerned about politics ("A people without a heritage are easily persuaded (deceived)" - Karl Marx)
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To: pcottraux

AZ is a perfect example of that. Although still conservative I'm not sure Goldwater could get elected here now.


7 posted on 07/10/2005 10:09:37 PM PDT by Run Silent Run Deep (PRAY FOR THOSE THAT HURT AND HATE US)
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To: Aussie Dasher
California, Florida and Texas are expected to grow by more than 12 million in population and will account for 46 percent of the growth between 2000 and 2030.

I suggest those in California that have homes or land, to hang on to it. The numbers projected in just the next few years are amazing.

8 posted on 07/10/2005 10:10:00 PM PDT by Black Tooth
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To: Run Silent Run Deep
I'm not sure Goldwater could get elected here now.

McCain can.....and does.

9 posted on 07/10/2005 10:13:18 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Remember and pray for Spec.4 Matt Maupin - MIA/POW- Iraq since 04/09/04)
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To: pcottraux
It is up to you to indoctrinate them into Southern Living and that means being a conservative.

We are not only to holding our own in California but are starting to shift away from the Democratic party stronghold here. The Hispanic population is starting to wise up and they are switching to the Republican Party.
10 posted on 07/10/2005 10:13:22 PM PDT by notpoliticallycorewrecked (Freedom isn't free)
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To: Aussie Dasher
What is happening is the republicans and conservatives in strongly blue states are getting fed up and moving. All that does for blue states is leaves them weaker and smaller and bluer.

While the people of MA are moving in heavy numbers into states like NH, the Live Free or Die folks are moving out to redder pastures.

11 posted on 07/10/2005 10:13:25 PM PDT by McGavin999
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To: pcottraux
I don't know if you believe in prophecy or not, but as we get closer to the California quake and last world war, the good folks will be lead to safer areas. They'll just "know" where to go.
12 posted on 07/10/2005 10:14:23 PM PDT by concerned about politics ("A people without a heritage are easily persuaded (deceived)" - Karl Marx)
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To: pcottraux

We have the same fear here in AZ with all the Californians moving in. They think they can keep voting the same and get a different result than they got in Calif - sure wish we could put up a wall at that border!

We could put up signs "Democrats keep out" & "Democrats go home and reap what you have sown!"


13 posted on 07/10/2005 10:15:21 PM PDT by ShuShu
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To: Black Tooth
I'm not only going to hold on to my property, I'm going to buy more. I am a firm believer is a capitalist society. I LIKE to play monolopy with real $$$.
14 posted on 07/10/2005 10:15:30 PM PDT by notpoliticallycorewrecked (Freedom isn't free)
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To: pcottraux

Yes, those libs from the north have a way of ruining things down here.


15 posted on 07/10/2005 10:17:32 PM PDT by BBell
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To: McGavin999
All that does for blue states is leaves them weaker and smaller and bluer.

And they end up nothing but social dependents after the tax payers move out. Who will support them all?

16 posted on 07/10/2005 10:18:06 PM PDT by concerned about politics ("A people without a heritage are easily persuaded (deceived)" - Karl Marx)
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To: Aussie Dasher

The more people move to conservative areas, the more crowded they will become.

And the more crowded they become, the more liberal they will become.

And the more the Republican party will lean to the left to hold on to the votes.


17 posted on 07/10/2005 10:19:00 PM PDT by Age of Reason
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To: pcottraux
I hope, however, that that doesn't mean that libs from the North are invading the South.

Doesn't matter what they are.

Liberalism grows with population density.

18 posted on 07/10/2005 10:21:49 PM PDT by Age of Reason
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To: Age of Reason

"And the more the Republican party will lean to the left to hold on to the votes."

An unfortunate but common problem. The Republican party itself isn't nearly as Conservative as it should be.


19 posted on 07/10/2005 10:22:22 PM PDT by pcottraux
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To: notpoliticallycorewrecked
I'm not only going to hold on to my property, I'm going to buy more.

Over a shorter term, Florida is expected to pass New York and move into third place by 2011, with California and Texas remaining in first and second, respectively

That would be a good move. Considering the demand is already very high in California.

California is leading the way here, and will continue to do so.

20 posted on 07/10/2005 10:24:07 PM PDT by Black Tooth
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