Posted on 07/10/2005 8:02:57 PM PDT by varina davis
BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST SUN JUL 10 2005
...FIFTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1280 MILES...2055 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 42.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
I like him. He often predicts tracks and forecasts contrary to computer models, and often is correct.
His prediction are much farther out, timewise, than the NHC or NWS. ( of course he doesn't have the responsibility of calling for an evacuation either)
He predicted this next one into the Carolinas a week ago.
This time I hope he is wrong. :)
Good grief...another chance for CNN and Fox to stand on the beach and look for rain 24/7. Dennis was the most over-hyped event since the Kahoutek comet. West Texas and parts of Kansas had 100 mph straight winds last week. You didn't hear about it because the media didn't have 5 days to get their windbreakers on and their cameras on site.
LOL!!!!!!!!! Me too!
Gee, I missed my storm watch buddies yesterday.
Same here :)
Thank goodness I caught up on my sleep while FR was down. Small blessings during difficult times.
That's good to hear - you needed the sleep.
Missed you too! Several of us ended up in chat over on the FR alt site in Yahoo. It was better than sudden, complete withdrawal.
This morning Bastardi on his blog is predicting TC 5 looks like Caribbean/central American or gulf threat (maybe Florida) and TC 6 behind it coming further north and the first chance for a storm toward the southeast or mid atlantic.
Yeah, this one looks like it's going up the Atlantic coast.
No kidding..I am getting pretty tired of this stuff. And it is only July!
Went spearfishing five miles north of San Juan yesterday. A diver had a temperature gage and the ocean temperature here is 83 degrees.
How was the fishing?
"...another chance for CNN and Fox to stand on the beach and look for rain 24/7."
Ain't it the truth! And don't forget the Weather Channel whose coverage is/was near 'bout useless. Anyway, here we go again...
Two yellow-fin tuna. Enough for a BBQ for eight.
Timeout, stay there I'm gonna FedEx you my Visa card, lol.
All I know is, if Jim Cantore ever shows up in Virginia Beach, that's my cue to get out of town. He must be the loneliest man on the planet, 'cause wherever he goes, a hurricane is about 20 minutes behind him.
I went to bed about 7:30 last night, woke up for a while and got up this morning around 7:00am. I'm not even gonna put my shutters away.
Unfortunately, that leaves all the women home to "rush storm preparation to completion."
Oh no, trouble is coming
Out here, panic and alarm
Black rains gather in the distance
Looks like it won't take long
The first drops land on the window
The first sign that there's something wrong...
We need to find Timeout a summer cottage up there for the duration of hurricane season.
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