Surf's up ping!
an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft located a poorly-defined circulation center with light and variable winds and a minimum pressure of 1004 mb. The aircraft also measured flight-level winds near 25 to 30 kt...mostly confined to convective bands well removed from the center. Based on this information...the system has been classified as a tropical depression...and the aircraft is still investigating the system. Currently... deep convection is limited to narrow bands to the north and east....and the outflow is restricted only to the west...primarily due to an upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. However... most of the global models weaken this trough and develop an upper-level ridge over the system. This will provide an environment favorable for gradual intensification. The depression could become a tropical storm in the next day or two. This forecast is in general agreement with SHIPS and GFDL guidance.
The system appears to be moving slowly toward the north at about 6 kt...while the steering currents are weak. However...a ridge is expected to build over the western Atlantic and central Caribbean...which should lead to a gradual increase in forward speed and a slight turn to the left into the Gulf of Mexico. The GFDL...GFS...UKMET...and NOGAPS bring the system near the northern Gulf Coast in about three days...and the official forecast closely follows this guidance.
It's gonna be a LONG summer!
I only heard abut it a few minutes ago and that's why I turned on the puter!!!!!
I was hoping we weren't going to be using this list...........
Anyone remember who it was that fell in love with canned squid last year? I got a kick out of reading his posts about how delicious the stuff was.
Party at NautiNurse's! Let's kick this season off RIGHT!