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BULLETIN: HURRICANE ADRIAN (Expected to cross into the Caribbean)
NOAA ^ | May 19, 2005 | National Hurricane Center

Posted on 05/19/2005 11:03:42 AM PDT by varina davis

BULLETIN

HURRICANE ADRIAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU MAY 19 2005

...AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATES THAT ADRIAN IS A HURRICANE...

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR HAVE UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR.

ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ADRIAN WILL BE VERY NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADRIAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADRIAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...12.6 N... 90.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: adrian; bulletin; caribbean; hurricane; hurricaneadrian; terri; yoadrian
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To: dawn53
Will that make it the first transsexual storm, LOL!

Trans-gender perhaps? ;-) Pacific "hurricanes" are called "typhoons". It wont actually switch from typhoon to hurricane until it crosses into the Caribbean. I don't know why they are calling this one a hurricane, btw. It's in the Pacific. It's a typhoon.

41 posted on 05/19/2005 1:30:30 PM PDT by wyattearp (The best weapon to have in a gunfight is a shotgun - preferably from ambush.)
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To: OB1kNOb
Building suppliers have got to be at the bottom of this!

Yep, it's all part of the VRWC. Bush not only has 'oil buddies', he has 'building supply buddies' he has to take care of. Rove is down in the White House basement playing with the Halliburton! hurricane generator again. /Sarc.

42 posted on 05/19/2005 1:33:32 PM PDT by GaltMeister (“All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing.”)
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To: varina davis
That sounds like very wise preparation!

I had a lot of practice ;-)

43 posted on 05/19/2005 1:34:30 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (In God We Trust. All Others We Monitor.)
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To: dawn53
Anybody got any suggestions on a good generator...hubby says Honda or Yamaha should be best, of course, they're probably the most expensive too, LOL!

Well, add up the power drain from all the appliances you'll want to power. (The freezer/refrigerator, maybe a television & satellite box, a few lights, AC, etc.) This information should be on the back plates or in the manuals; light bulbs are easy. Then, with that power load in mind, go pricing. Honda, Yamaha, Briggs & Stratton, all are reputable manufacturers. If it's too much, cut back on the appliances planned.

Be sure to securely ground the generator with an at least eight foot ground rod driven into the soil. Secure the generator well with heavy chains to prevent theft. Install it outdoors and away from windows, to prevent exhaust fumes entering the residence and overcoming its occupants. Prepare a switchover panel to ensure that the utility mains are completely disconnected from the house when the generator is active - utility workers can be killed if generator power flows back onto the mains.

44 posted on 05/19/2005 1:41:20 PM PDT by Kretek (WPPFF)
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To: wyattearp
Western pacific are called Typhoons, eastern pacific are still called hurricane's
45 posted on 05/19/2005 1:43:47 PM PDT by markman46
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To: markman46

Dang. %-)


46 posted on 05/19/2005 1:46:00 PM PDT by wyattearp (The best weapon to have in a gunfight is a shotgun - preferably from ambush.)
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To: Howlin; NautiNurse

Have you got the ping list together yet?

I'm still incredulous we're talking about this so early.


47 posted on 05/19/2005 1:52:57 PM PDT by Gabz (My give-a-damn is busted.)
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To: Gabz; Pyro7480; NautiNurse; bonfire; VeniVidiVici; blam; Amelia; Alas Babylon!; Guenevere; ...

I have one I wrote down, but we really NEED a ping list!


48 posted on 05/19/2005 1:55:52 PM PDT by Howlin (No Judge "LEFT BEHIND!" - No Deal!!!)
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To: Howlin

Pacific storm steers toward Caribbean

Forecasters say Adrian's path took an odd turn away from normal track

By ERIC BERGER
Copyright 2005 Houston Chronicle

The formation of a tropical storm in the Pacific Ocean this week isn't abnormal. Hurricane season began there four days ago.

What's odd is Tropical Storm Adrian's motion, with upper-level wind patterns steering it northeastward toward Central America, rather than westward back into the ocean, the normal track for most Pacific storms.

Given its current track, forecasters expect Adrian to cross El Salvador and Honduras and emerge into the Caribbean by midday Friday.

Although the National Hurricane Center predicts that Adrian, with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph, could strengthen into a hurricane before any landfall, it poses little threat to the United States, forecasters said.

"It will probably emerge into the Caribbean as little more than a group of thunderstorms," said Chris Hebert, lead hurricane forecaster at ImpactWeather, a forecasting service based in Houston.

"It'll likely be weak because it's going to be moving over some of the more rugged areas of Central America."

High, shearing winds in the Caribbean should prevent Adrian from reorganizing into a storm or hurricane once it gets back over open water, which fuels tropical systems.

There's a possibility southern Florida will see showers from the system, but the chances of Houston seeing any effect from Adrian are nil.

It's rare for a storm to cross from the Pacific into the Atlantic basin, Hebert said. It happens every 10 or 15 years. The normal wind patterns steer Pacific storms westward.

Because Adrian has come early in the Pacific hurricane season, frontal systems are still moving across the U.S., affecting upper-level wind patterns and allowing storm movement to the northeast. As summer comes, those frontal systems will largely end, Hebert said.

Hurricane season for the Atlantic basin begins June 1. Forecasters have predicted above-average activity for this season.

49 posted on 05/19/2005 1:59:32 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Howlin; NautiNurse

I totally agree that we need one. I have a feeling we're all going to be real close friends again this summer, unfortunately.


50 posted on 05/19/2005 2:11:56 PM PDT by Gabz (My give-a-damn is busted.)
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To: dawn53

Dawn, do you know who had the hurricane ping list last year?


51 posted on 05/19/2005 2:19:21 PM PDT by Howlin (No Judge "LEFT BEHIND!" - No Deal!!!)
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To: LadyJMayo
"So my question is...when it gets into the gulf and becomes an "Atlantic" hurricane, does Adrian then become "Arlene"?"

Yes.

52 posted on 05/19/2005 2:21:55 PM PDT by blam
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To: Howlin

Thanks for the ping. Our weatherman here in NE Ohio has predicted a cold and rainy summer JUST LIKE LAST YEAR. Does not bode well for any of us.


53 posted on 05/19/2005 2:22:07 PM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: VeniVidiVici
"Uses 75 watts vx 1300 watts for my kitchen fridge. So my generator is used to power tv, lights, fridge, fans and the occaisional biggie of either hair dryer, convection oven or window a/c unit."

Something I just learned, 746 watts = 1.0 horse power.

54 posted on 05/19/2005 2:25:45 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Yes.

No, actually (I was confused myself on the subject.)

Previously, all crossers in either direction received a new name...e.g. one that crossed from the Atlantic to Eastern Pacific was renamed with the next Eastern Pacific name, and vice versa.

However, that was changed in 2001, and Adrian will remain Adrian IF IT REMAINS a system while crossing Central America into the Atlantic. If it disappates and regenerates, it will be renamed Arlene.

55 posted on 05/19/2005 2:26:43 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Kretek
"Prepare a switchover panel to ensure that the utility mains are completely disconnected from the house when the generator is active - utility workers can be killed if generator power flows back onto the mains."

Or, just plug the appliances directly into the generator...this way, you're completely clear of the housing electrical wiring. I have a heavy duty electrical extension cord with multiple outlets just for this purpose.

56 posted on 05/19/2005 2:29:57 PM PDT by blam
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To: Strategerist
"However, that was changed in 2001, and Adrian will remain Adrian IF IT REMAINS a system while crossing Central America into the Atlantic. If it disappates and regenerates, it will be renamed Arlene."

We'll see. I just read in my local newspaper (Mobile Register) today that it will be re-named Arlene.

57 posted on 05/19/2005 2:32:51 PM PDT by blam
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To: Howlin
I have one I wrote down, but we really NEED a ping list!

Howlin, if you get a ping list together, please add me!!!

58 posted on 05/19/2005 2:41:34 PM PDT by SheLion (Trying to make a life in the BLUE state of Maine!)
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To: varina davis

Dang - I guess I need to get my hurricane tracking map out. Seems like it's too early for this.


59 posted on 05/19/2005 2:43:20 PM PDT by Tax-chick (I'm a shallow, demagoguic sectarian because it's easier than working for a living.)
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To: wyattearp
no problem,the only reason I know, is because I live in calif, and we get the remits in the summer and early fall. make for very humid days, and lots of mountain/desert rain.
60 posted on 05/19/2005 2:48:16 PM PDT by markman46
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