Posted on 05/19/2005 11:03:42 AM PDT by varina davis
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ADRIAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU MAY 19 2005
...AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATES THAT ADRIAN IS A HURRICANE...
AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR HAVE UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR.
ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ADRIAN WILL BE VERY NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADRIAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADRIAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...12.6 N... 90.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
Local reports here in Florida say that when it passes over the mountains of Central America, there won't be much left of it
My sister sent me this email this AM. She lives in the mountains of Honduras, pretty much in the storm's path. Here's her weather outlook according to local internet. Notice no word of a tropical storm or hurricane, LOL.
Santa Rosa De Copan, Honduras
70° F
Smoke
Wind: Calm mph
Humidity: 83%
Dewpoint: 64° F
Pressure: 30.01 in
Clouds:
BKN at 2500 ft
BKN at 10000 ft
Visibility: 2.5 miles
Thursday:
Clear.
High: 23C / 73F
Thursday Night:
Chance of Rain.
Low: 17C / 62F
Forecast as of 6:00 PM CST on May 18, 2005
Thursday
Clear. High: 73° F. / 23° C.
Thursday Night
Chance of Rain. Low: 62° F. / 17° C.
Friday
Rain. High: 73° F. / 23° C.
Friday Night
Rain. Low: 62° F. / 17° C.
Saturday
Rain. High: 68° F. / 20° C.
Saturday Night
Overcast. Low: 64° F. / 18° C.
Sunday
Scattered Clouds. High: 78° F. / 26° C.
Sunday Night
Not looking good for Cayman! What do you hear from your daughter?
I just got home. What the heck is going on?
Maybe I'd better call her now!
Hmmm, I wonder if they'll cut Arlene as we already have an A(drian)?
And they said Charley would come in at Tampa and go north of us...until about seven hours before the eye went right over our house!!
It's days away from Cayman. I think when I checked the NOAA site this AM, they had it in the Caribbean on Saturday, but they also had it right over them.
Hopefully, it will lose strength over the mountains of Central America and not have enough to time get organized into much by the time it gets to Cayman.
We've got plenty of plywood, but after the mess last year, we think we're going to buy a generator this weekend.
We lost power for a couple days, and we weren't anywhere near where the storm hit hard.
Anybody got any suggestions on a good generator...hubby says Honda or Yamaha should be best, of course, they're probably the most expensive too, LOL!
I just checked that site too. Still stuck over land and only moving at 9 mph, but Grand Cayman really cannot take another hurricane. I'll call her this evening when she's home and not at her office.
I ordered a Yamaha 2800 over the net last year. It was expensive ($1100.00) but sips fuel and is very, very quiet.
Bought it between Charley and Francis.
Plus the place I bought it from overnighted it for $40.
I would go through your house and add up all that you would like to power via generator, then decide what size to get.
I bought a $100 mini-fridge at Lowes. Uses 75 watts vx 1300 watts for my kitchen fridge. So my generator is used to power tv, lights, fridge, fans and the occaisional biggie of either hair dryer, convection oven or window a/c unit.
Building suppliers have got to be at the bottom of this! It's got to be an evil plot to create building supply shortages and drive up prices even higher. STOP IT! I need to finish building my house before I can't afford to live in it anymore!
I think Alicia that hit Houston in 1983 originated as a Pacific storm.
I noticed the Weather Channel stated the Pacific hurricane season starts May 15 while the Atlantic season starts June 1st.
This storm is probably not aware of the different start dates. :^)
Retract that. The blonde dudette on Fox said that the other day but the tracking maps show it originated south of LA.
Somebody should have told him (Adrian, that is)?
If Adrian passes into the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf, they say they will name it Arlene.
Will that make it the first transsexual storm, LOL!
Oh man, that doesn't look good at all - I have many relatives in the Bahamas. I'll definitely be keeping an eye on this one.
Thanks, I'll pass that info on to my husband.
Good one
LOL!
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