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Posted on 05/04/2005 12:42:04 AM PDT by Judith Anne
Welcome to the Marburg Surveillance Project.
This thread will be used for all of the latest Marburg Outbreak News and comments. This is the place to post all comments about the Marburg outbreak, all articles and links to articles about the Marburg outbreak.
We're going to use just one thread instead of having to go from article to article as we have in the past. We'll use this thread as long as we can.
Amen.
At one point I read that each case was presumed to have 5 contacts, which is interesting in light of your post.
14 of the original 95 children were CONFIRMED to have Marburg by CDC testing, so projections are based on 14 original cases as of January, 2005.
I know 2ndreconmarine's projections were staggering. I don't know that cultural variables are included in his projections, primarily because Marburg began in Uige city, Uige province.
I DO think that most Angolans know to stay away from the obviously sick people, and I think they probably do, as much as possible--in some cases, people are not known to be sick with Marburg.
Another thing I keep in mind is that in Uige province, there are more than 3 million people. I don't think 500 are more than an unimportant drop in the bucket to Angolan authorities, and I believe they still think it will "burn itself out."
I also think most people with Marburg are not going to hospitals for any reason. Why die there, neglected among cold strangers? Why not go into the rural countryside, where a brave relative may go with you, and accompany your death? Just my own musings, here.
Storm is over, had FoxNews on in the background, and Donna Fiducia (I think) mentioned the presumed Ebola outbreak in the Congo.
Nothing was said about Marburg in Angola, of course.
This area has had Ebola outbreaks before, so that's the main reason they think it's Ebola, instead of wondering if it's Marburg.
Link to Ebola article in the NYT, posted here on FR
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1402950/posts
The points in the article about Ebola that caught my attention are
Marburg in Angola is uncontained.
The Congo Republic thinks this is Ebola because of previous Ebola outbreaks in the same area.
The Congo Republic is certain that they will contain their outbreak, unlike Angola.
WHO, which has 20 people in Angola, still has no plans to withdraw because the Angolan Marburg outbreak is still not contained.
Bookmark
That is absolutely disgusting. Proof positive that the Angolan government is manipulating causes of death thus skewing the Marburg death count. Malaria.. yeah right.
Spread? This seems like new specific information. Are they single "isolated" cases which have terminated out in each of the other 8 provinces, or what? We had heard there were other cases in the country, but this is the first I have heard "8 other provinces" mentioned!
"When we received the information of a case in Cabinda, we got together with medical authorities of our neighbouring countries in order to stop the spread," Bozongo said
Cabinda is roughly 400 miles as the crow flies northwest of the city of Uige - and probably a number of days travel. One also has to cross Zaire (or go via air or boat around it) to get to Cabinda. What is the likelihood of further spread, especially if a somewhat circuitous route for an infected person was taken and the infection originated in Uige?
He added that the spread of the disease would be "very dangerous and fast" because of cross-border movement of people
The implications of what is now being publicly said by this WHO representative does not look good. They are not talking like they think they have it contained.
Sports
FIFA postpone World Cup qualifier over virus fears
Fri May 13, 2005 12:09 PM GMT+05:30
LUANDA (Reuters) - A World Cup qualifier in Angola has been postponed because of fears over an outbreak of the Marburg virus which has killed nearly 300 people in the north of the country.
The African zone Group Four match between Angola and Algeria, scheduled for the capital Luanda on June 5, will now be played on August 17, FIFA have told the Angolan Football Federation.
But it could be moved to a neutral venue later in the year if the epidemic is not brought under control.
The Angolans are two points behind leaders Nigeria in the group, with Algeria in bottom place after failing to win in their last six matches.
The Angolan Football Federation on Friday criticised the FIFA decision, highlighting the distance from the epicentre of the outbreak to the capital. There have been 277 casualties, and more deaths are feared, in the northern province of Uige, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said last week.
The rare haemorrhagic fever is transmitted through bodily fluids including blood and saliva.
http://www.reuters.co.in/locales/c_newsArticle.jsp?type=sportsNews&localeKey=en_IN&storyID=8480910
ESA helps during Angolan Marburg outbreak
May 14, 2005, 04:01 GMT
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PARIS (SPX) -- World Health Organisation personnel combating an Angolan outbreak of the lethal Marburg virus used high-resolution satellite-based urban maps provided through a pair of ESA-led activities.
The Marburg virus causes Ebola-like internal bleeding in humans, with an incubation period of between five and nine days. A Marburg outbreak was detected in Angola's Luanda city at the start of April.
It has since taken the lives of more than 255 victims, many of them children under five.
To help local World Health Organisation (WHO) teams fight the epidemic, updated maps of Angolan cities based on 2.5-metre resolution SPOT 5 imagery along with metric IKONOS images were prepared.
The maps have been used to orientate field workers, plan activities and integrate information on the spread of cases.
"This product will be of great help to our organisation with the recent outbreak of Marburg virus," said Johan Lemarchand of WHO. Latest reports indicate the virus is now under control.
The urban maps were provided through the ESA-led activities Epidemio and Respond. The first is a Data User Element project to supply satellite data and products to epidemiologists exploring links between the environment and disease.
Respond is a consortium dedicated to supplying satellite-based geo-information products direct to humanitarian users in the field, with partners including UNOSAT, an in-sector service provider within the United Nations community as well as the German Aerospace Centre (DLR).
Respond has been established as part of the pilot services of Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (GMES), a joint initiative between ESA and the European Union to build a global monitoring capability in support of Europe's environmental and sustainable development goals.
On behalf of Respond, UNOSAT in collaboration with the United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) and with DLR provided WHO with a map of the city of Cabinda, UNOSAT also providing a map of Uige, capital of the province at the epicentre of the epidemic.
At the same time, Epidemio partner company C-CORE has supplied a map of the Angolan capital Luanda.
Both UNOSAT and C-CORE stayed in close contact with WHO, organising a makeshift partnership to ensure reliable and timely support for both activities.
Distributed by United Press International
http://science.monstersandcritics.com/news/article_7963.php/ESA_helps_during_Angolan_Marburg_outbreak
Translated by BableFish
OMS OPPOSES the FIFA ON MARBURG
2005-05-13
It defends the revision of this decision. The World-wide Organization of Saúde (OMS) stated its position this morning to the National Radio of Angola (RNA) for the voice of its representative, Fatoumata Diallo.
"We wait that the FIFA contacte the OMS and we review its position, if already he took it because he does not have risk to have problem of Marburg next to the athletes and all the delegation", the representative of the OMS in Angola declared.
Fatoumata clarified the position of the OMS on the decision of the International Federacy of the Associations of Futebol (FIFA) to change the date and the place of the game between Angola and Algeria due to the Marburg.
Luanda yesterday confirmed the decision that notifies it the FIFA in letter, when announcing to the press its ackward reaction.
"Even so Algeria has made this communication to the FIFA, to request to change the date and the place of the game, alleging the sanitary question of the virus of Marburg, us we waited that the FIFA had another reaction", it yesterday indicated the General Secretary of the Angolan Federacy of Futebol (FAF), Augustus Hisses Avarito.
The departure was programmed for 6 of next June, but according to porting sources of Luanda, the FIFA postponed it for 17 of August. It is enrolled in such a way in VII the day of Group D of qualification for African Campeonato (CAN) of the Egipto as for the World-wide one of Germany in 2006.
PREPOTENT
The Angolan public press today came back to give has detached to the subject, having condemned the FIFA, whose decision is dealt with "arrogant, anarchic and prepotent".
"It is an offence to the Angolan Nation, that trasborda the sport, therefore wounds the sovereignty and requires the repudiation of the Government and not only to the level of the FAF", it thought the commentator Zeca Martins of the National Radio of Angola (RNA).
Da Algeria recognizes the right "to use all its cunnings, also the dirty game", but exception: "risk country costuma to be Algeria, with the fundamentalists, the terrorists whom they assassinate and they slaughter for there, zone of seismic risk, terramotos".
For itself, "the FIFA is not nothing before a Nation", although to be "a powerful multinational, (that) it generates much money, puts into motion millions, has great traffic of influence".
The Angolan government must, therefore, in the point of view of this porting commentator, to talk back asperamente to the FIFA, being said to it "Or the game if plays in 5 day or not valley the penalty".
PICTURE ACTUALIZADO
As that esquivando these passions, the Angolan vice-minister of the Health, Jose Van-Dúnen, the situation in the land actualizou the rocking of the in agreement epidemic until noon of yesterday.
The actualizado picture points: 289 died on the 328 registados cases, with the addition confined always in the province of Uige.
In excessively the seven provinces of the country, if no new case or death did not registou, completed the vice-minister, seconded, in its conference of the press, for the representative of the OMS.
http://www.apostolado.info/artigo.cfm?ID=3035
O Apostolado (Luanda)
In Portuguese. Online edition of the print independent newspaper. Includes documents such as - Mensagem Pastoral dos Bispos Católicos de Angola e S. Tomé (texto completo). "a newspaper associated with Rádio Ecclesia" "Excellent source of independent news." http://www.apostolado.info
Zâmbia is served of mines antipersonnel to prevent the virus of Marburg
13/05/2005
The Zâmbia declared Wednesday over all protected against the fever of the virus of Marburg due to the "physical barriers" consisting by the mines antipersonnel and the long distances between the common border with Angola and the localities afectadas for the illness in this neighboring country.
In accordance with the zambiano minister of the Health, Brian Chituwo, did not have no contact so far enters the resident citizens of its country close to the common border and them Angolan provinces it Uije, it Zaire and of Cabinda, that is between the areas afectadas in the north of Angola.
Chituwo reacted the recent rumors according to which would have registado a case of the viral hemorrhagic fever of Marburg in the locality of Mongu, in the Province zambiana Occidental person.
"the Zâmbia continues protecting against an eventual threat of the hemorrhagic fever of Marburg that if is similar to the one of the mortal virus of Ébola", it underlined Brian Chituwo, a profession doctor.
The illness already made 284 dead in 322 cases registados since October of the year passed in Angola, that allotment a vast border with the Zâmbia.
according to governing zambiano, the medical staff of the Province Occidental person sufficiently is sensetized on this rare illness and chemical preparation to react in the eventuality of one I occasion epidemic.
Monday, the sanitary authorities of Mongu had announced to have launched an alert one against the virus of Marburg when an inhabitant of Imwiko North Park died of an infection suspicion to have been provoked for the mortal virus.
The death of Mubita Nang'alelwa excited great fidgets between the local population, when rumors pointed with respect to similar symptoms to the revealed ones generally for the victims of the virus of Marburg.
Nang'alelwa dislocated it Angola in January last e, in accordance with some rumors, presented hemmorragias for the mouth in the height of its death, what it took the members of its family to be afraid that the victim had contracted the virus in Angola.
But Francis Liywalii, director of Health of Mongu, supports not to have no test to indicate that Nang'alelwa lost to the fever of Marburg.
(Panapress)
http://www.ebonet.net/view.cfm?m_id=14447&cat_02=NOTICIAS
Zambia has mined the borders to prevent Marburg...
Mined? Wow.
ABC reproting on Marburg, right now!
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