Posted on 04/29/2005 5:40:06 AM PDT by youngtory
Liberals and Conservatives tied in latest poll CTV.ca News Staff
A new poll shows that if an election was held today, the Liberals and the Conservatives would be neck-and-neck in the race for national support. The numbers show a boost for the Liberals in the past week, indicating a recovery from bombshell news from the sponsorship inquiry.
In the total sample of the poll, conducted for CTV and The Globe and Mail by The Strategic Counsel, Liberals are polling at 30 per cent and the Conservatives trail close behind at 28 per cent. (That two percent gap is within the poll's margin of error, meaning the parties are statistically tied.)
The NDP are at 18 per cent in this new poll, and the Green Party is at 10 per cent.
In Quebec, the numbers are less encouraging for the Liberals: They have 16 per cent support, compared to 55 per cent for the Bloc Quebecois and nine per cent for the Conservatives.
"The grip they have on the province of Quebec is getting tighter and tighter and tighter," said pollster Allan Gregg of the BQ's continuing strength. "And the federalist forces appear to be in complete disarray."
Nationally, the numbers indicate Conservative support has weakened in the past two weeks, after a surge during the worst of the sponsorship inquiry revelations.
"In two weeks, as the news agenda shifts away from corruption to now election timing, they are now on the wrong side issue, and their support falls," Gregg said.
The polling was done between April 24 and 27, starting three days after Prime Minister Paul Martin's televised speech last Thursday. That's when he pleaded with Canadians to await the results of the sponsorship inquiry later this year before judging the actions of his government.
Canadians seemed to take kindly to Martin's suggestion. According to the poll, 61 per cent felt Martin's offer to call an election within 30 days of receiving the sponsorship inquiry report was reasonable. Another 33 per cent felt the offer was unreasonable and six per cent said they did not know.
These numbers, more of which will be published Friday morning, show voter volatility, much more than one would have seen in a federal campaign 10 or 15 years ago.
"It's an entirely different game," says Gregg. "If you were eight points ahead you couldn't lose, if you were eight points behind you couldn't win. Today we're seeing polls move 15 points in two weeks."
Polling details: This poll was conducted for CTV and The Globe and Mail by The Strategic Counsel. Telephone interviewing was conducted between April 24 and 27, 2005. The weighted nation-wide sample is based on 1,000 which yields a margin of error of 3.1 per cent 19 times in 20. (Note: Proportions may not sum to 100 per cent due to rounding.)
Friday night on CTV: Strategic Counsel polled on various aspects of Paul Martin's speech to Canadians last week, and how the public responded to it.
BTW, I was never convinced that the Conservatives would beat the liberals despite the enthusiasm of the CDN freepers.
We were told for years and years the conservatives could never take power in this country. Don't trust your polls.
You're right however the problem is that ever time I believed that the conservatives would win, the opposite happens. Right now, believing that the liberals would be rewarded with corruption, I hope that the opposite occurs. The province(very socialist) that I live in currently is comtemplating seceding from Canada, and a liberal return will be the nail in the coffin.
That's what they get for pandering to the disgruntled American liberals.
are u talking about the liberals or conservatives?
I mean if your government welcomes the American liberals who have decided to move there from the US... Then you shouldn't be too surprised that they will vote for corrupt liberals.
(Denny Crane: "Sometimes you can only look for answers from God and failing that... and Fox News".)
That's true.
In a sense, you've got the same kind of border problem we do, except that your invaders are not coming from Mexico, and are probably for the most part not violating the law.
In that case Quebec separation will happen quite soon. I don't think that Quebec would want to remain part of a country who embraces the same people who cause the scandal in their province.
It's simple. Many people do not want the government to waste money and time on an election. They see the Conservatives as being irresponsible, as trying to 'damage' the Canadian government by having an election. People think the Conservatives are being mean to the Liberals, who are being responsible by admitting there was corruption under Cretien. However, this is Paul Martin, who is not responsible for the scandal, therefore it is wrong to bring down the government. The Conservatives aren't being fair by targeting the Liberals, especially since they are offering the government that Canadians want like promoting the fairness of same sex marriage, the gun registry which keeps everyone safe, the national daycare initiative which helps reduce the subjugation of women as housewives, and the increase in immigration because, even though there aren't the jobs, Canada cannot be mean to families by hindering family unification, and if the Conservatives do get elected, they will not do everything possible, including breaking the law, in order to prevent the disaster of Quebec secession. The Liberals are all things to all people. the Conservatives would shove an intolerant, religously based agenda down everyone's throats and redcue peoples rights and government benefits.
I'm Canadian, too, and know how many people think and the above pretty much sums 95% of how my family, still in Canada, thinks.
Ya, that pretty much sums up the prevailing attitude.
Do you have the link to that, I can't seem to find it on the Conservative website.
Solution...Join the CCP, if you haven't yet, and get your own 'personal' email.
It's 20 bucks well spent !!
It will get much worse for the libs. They will be attacked in every province and from the left and the right. They are dispirited and discouraged. They are virtually leaderless and are being torn internally. They are absolutely ripe for an electoral drubbing.
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