Of the 1.1 million illegal immigrants caught by the Border Patrol last year, 51 percent crossed into the country at the Arizona border.
So 550,000 of those that were caught were caught in
Arizona last year, that works out to an average of
1,500 a day.
Washington, we have a problem.
And of course, those were only the ones that got caught.
And those were just the ones caught. The number of those that make it across successfully is a lot higher than that.
The most optimistic figure given is that the USBS only catches 20% of crossers on a given attempt. So two attempts means a 96% chance of successfully evading the USBP, and if you are one of the double-unlucky 4%, a third attempt brings your chances to over 99%.
In reality, all the USBP does in delay and inconvenience border crossers by a day or two. That's why they don't mind being caught if they are too tired or thirsty. They know they can try again in a few hours, after the USBS drops them back off at the nearest border crossing after a meal and a shady rest.
The Border Patrol rank and file call this insanity the "catch and release" program.
Everybody makes it, they don't go home to Chiapas. They just make it on their first, second or third try. That's all the USBP is doing: delaying their journey, feeding them, giving them medical treatment, and a rest.
And for every one that gets caught, it's estimated that 3 get through... you do the math.
I've just been thinking about the strategy of this. The illegal aliens might give up on the Arizona route altogether and start trying to enter other states instead. When that activity increases in other states, more people living on the border will get more determined to help the Minutemen.
As it gets more difficult to cross, the border patrol will have an easier job. Then it gets even easier to catch what numbers remain.
That would be a slow process, however. I hope that in 2008 we will have a mandate. FReegards....