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Gallup Review: Party Support in 2004
Gallup News Service ^ | January 31, 2005 | Jeffrey M. Jones

Posted on 02/01/2005 8:14:04 PM PST by RWR8189

Utah, Idaho are most Republican states; Massachusetts most Democratic

PRINCETON, NJ -- While 2004 rates as a disappointment for Democrats because of their national election losses, the party did make some gains in partisanship among Americans, compared with the prior two years. An analysis of Gallup's 2004 data shows that Massachusetts rates as the most Democratic U.S. state, while Utah and Idaho are the most Republican. A comparison of state partisanship with the 2004 election outcome shows George W. Bush tended to do better in most states than what would be expected based on the states' overall political leanings.

A review of all Gallup national polling from 2004, a total of more than 37,000 individual interviews, finds 34% of Americans identifying themselves as Republicans, 34% as Democrats, and 31% as independents. When independents are asked if they "lean" toward either party, the Democrats pick up an additional 14 percentage points of support (to a total of 48% identifiers and "leaners") while Republican support increases to 45%. The remaining 7% identify themselves as independents and profess no leaning toward either party.

In 2003, equal percentages of Americans (45%) identified with or leaned toward each of the two major parties, the same result as in 2002. So the latest data suggest an increase in Democratic support over the past couple of years, with no change in Republican support. (The basic party identification numbers -- which do not take into account independents' leanings -- also show about a three-point increase in Democratic identification compared with 2003, from 31% to 34%. Republican identification increased from 32% to 34%, while independent identification dropped from 36% to 31%.)

However, despite the Democratic gains, Republicans were more likely to turn out in the 2004 elections, wiping out the three-

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gallup; partyid; partysupport; poll; polls
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1 posted on 02/01/2005 8:14:04 PM PST by RWR8189
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To: Salvation; redlipstick; texasflower; seamole; Doctor Stochastic; MegaSilver; BlueAngel; ...

Gallup Ping

FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.


2 posted on 02/01/2005 8:14:16 PM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: dvwjr

Thought this might interest you.


3 posted on 02/01/2005 8:17:33 PM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: RWR8189
So is this saying that republican leaning states voted Bush, democratic leaning states voted Kerry, and the only reason Bush won, is because he got more of his guys out to the polls then Kerry did?

If thats the case, then this whole thing is junk, since percentage and raw number turnout was the highest ever, and Bush increaed his votes in 46 out of 50 states, with Kerry getting the most votes ever by a dem and 2nd most in history.

Simply put, junk this poll, our boys now out number their boys.

5 posted on 02/01/2005 8:23:53 PM PST by Sonny M ("oderint dum metuant")
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To: RWR8189

Sounds as though Gallop trying to justify alloting 2% to Kerry in its final poll.


6 posted on 02/01/2005 8:30:41 PM PST by Soul Seeker
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To: RWR8189

Why do they have to poll this? Why don't they just take the registration from each state and add it up?


7 posted on 02/01/2005 8:33:11 PM PST by AVNevis (You are never too young to stand up for America)
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To: RWR8189

Well, there are tons of places in the south where "Democrats" are Democrats based on history, but vote Republican. Take the northwestern Florida region for instance which has both high Democratic registrations and extremely high GOP supporting trends.


8 posted on 02/01/2005 8:33:19 PM PST by Dustin Hawkins (Friends Dont let Friends Date Democrats www.dustinmhawkins.com)
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To: AVNevis

In states like Illinois there is no official party registration.


9 posted on 02/01/2005 8:35:03 PM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189

I didn't know that.

How do people vote in the primaries?


10 posted on 02/01/2005 8:36:36 PM PST by AVNevis (You are never too young to stand up for America)
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To: AVNevis

You ask for GOP ballot or a Dem ballot.


11 posted on 02/01/2005 8:37:14 PM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189

Wait till we see what happens after Howard Dean takes the helm at the DNC! muuuaaahhhhaaaaahhhhhaaaaa!


12 posted on 02/01/2005 8:42:24 PM PST by Electrowoman
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To: RWR8189
Massachusetts rates as the most Democratic U.S. state

Please ... tell me something I don't already know! You should check out the dating sites in these parts ... if you are "Republican" or "voted for Bush", you are generally personna non grata.

13 posted on 02/01/2005 8:49:24 PM PST by hillary's_fat_a**
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To: RWR8189
Massachusetts rates as the most Democratic U.S. state.

I never would have guessed.

14 posted on 02/01/2005 8:49:28 PM PST by rdl6989
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To: AVNevis
Why do they have to poll this? Why don't they just take the registration from each state and add it up?

You would still get wild innacuracies.

Alot of people who may be left wing extreme, or hard core right wing, refuse to register as members of either party. In New York, I chose to register as a member of the "conservative party" which is not the republican party.

Also, alot of folks register democrat but vote republican, and there are also the vice versa folks.

Also, there are states with no official party registration.

Keep in mind, that alot of people don't want folks to know there party affiliation, several of my friends are teachers, it was "advised" to them, they should be registered as democrats (2 of them vote repub anyway).

Keep in mind, one part of Florida, the folks register to vote as members of the democratic party, and then never vote democrat and strictly republican.

15 posted on 02/01/2005 8:51:14 PM PST by Sonny M ("oderint dum metuant")
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To: rdl6989

And Massachusetts is the only state in the country that saw a decrease in population.


16 posted on 02/01/2005 8:52:09 PM PST by Sonny M ("oderint dum metuant")
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To: Sonny M

Do you think that just maybe there is a connection here?
< /sarcasm off >


17 posted on 02/01/2005 8:57:24 PM PST by rdl6989
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To: RWR8189

There is also no party registration in Virginia. Registered voters can ask for a demoRat or Republican ballot in primaries.


18 posted on 02/01/2005 9:21:54 PM PST by GeorgeW23225 (Liberals really aren*t bad people. It*s just that they know so much that simply ISN*T true!!)
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

To: RWR8189
the 2004 election outcome shows George W. Bush tended to do better in most states than what would be expected based on the states' overall political leanings

Ahhh...isn't that kinda like saying water tends to be wet?

20 posted on 02/01/2005 10:25:10 PM PST by maine-iac7 (...but you can't fool all of the people all of the time." Lincoln)
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