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Several precursor events have taken, or are taking, place, as you have noted.
The AQ money tree seems to have lost most of its leaves recently and what money is flowing is or should be very suspect.
The Russian clarification that no official military were involved in the Iran nuke efforts is helpful. The Israeli response to the latest terror attack should be very troubling to both the Syrians and the Iranian Mullahs. The House of Saud appears to have grudgingly accepted a Shia dominated(in a relatively more democratic sense) Iraqi government.
The attacks against the coalition forces in the Mideast have been shown to be ineffective on the strategic, tactical, and, most importantly, political levels, with the only AQ/Baath success being the killing of Muslims by other Muslims.
Do you see the pace of events as picking up in tempo?

PERSONAL-OPINION SPECULATION:

1. The bs on some sites of interest have been interesting, but so many sites of interest have gone down lately...they could be a bit perturbed.

2. The Iraqi car bombings, the 5 beheaded "spies," the murder of the Coptic Christian family murder in NJ are disturbing. On the other hand, the news in Lebanon seems to be getting better (maybe) as they seem to be ridding themselves of the Syrians.

3. The Taliban (according to some online sites) seem to be trying to make a comeback in a small part of Afghanistan. It's a weak attempt and doesn't seem to be working. Overall, Afghanistan and Iraq seem to want to their freedom.

4. Iran, Syria and North Korea could be a problem.

5. Our "friends" Saudi Arabia, Russia and Canada could be friendlier.

So...it's just the small global terror cells and our borders that should cause us the most concern and that's MY OPINION based from what I see online.

Europe's sleepers cells probably just got a wake up call also.

Blair said today, several hundred active terrorists were already inside Britain and plotting atrocities. Maybe this new UBL warning had something to do with that?