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About those exit polls: Sorry, no Bush conspiracy here
Manchester Union Leader ^ | January 23, 2005 | Editorial

Posted on 01/23/2005 4:52:35 AM PST by billorites

SOME DEMOCRATS and liberals who refused to “moveon” after President Bush won reelection in November either fabricated or latched on to all sorts of conspiracy theories in their desperation and despair. None has been shown to have any basis in fact, and last week the very first conspiracy theory offered on Election Day was soundly crushed by a polling company investigation.

Exit polls on Election Day showed John Kerry with sizable leads in state after state. The polls so consistently predicted a Kerry victory that conservative columnist Bill Buckley told a group of friends in an ominous tone, “It shall be Kerry.”

When the votes were actually counted, however, their results differed greatly from the exit poll predictions. The discrepancy prompted immediate charges that the Bush campaign had rigged the votes and stolen the election.

Well, last week pollsters Joe Lenski of Edison Media Research and Warren Mitofsky of Mitofsky International (the companies that conducted Election Day polls for the Associated Press and major television news organizations) released their analysis of the exit polls. They found that the polls overstated Kerry’s support in 26 states and Bush’s support in four states. The final national poll predicted that Kerry would win the election.

The main reason for overstating Kerry’s support? Bush voters refused to answer pollsters’ questions in larger numbers than did Kerry voters. No evidence of voter fraud was found.

So much for the conspiracy.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electionday; exitpolls; kerrydefeat
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1 posted on 01/23/2005 4:52:36 AM PST by billorites
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To: billorites
The main reason for overstating Kerry’s support? Bush voters refused to answer pollsters’ questions in larger numbers than did Kerry voters.

Of course! What would have happened in Massachusetts and other liberal pestholes if someone were discovered to be a Bush supporter!

Thank the union thugs, militant lesbians, Move-On types, etc. if someone wants to blame the exit polls.

2 posted on 01/23/2005 4:56:13 AM PST by Gorzaloon
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To: billorites

Why am I not surprised???????????


3 posted on 01/23/2005 4:56:40 AM PST by cubreporter
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To: billorites

If anyone had questioned me as I left the polling place, I would have either lied to them or walked by without a word.


4 posted on 01/23/2005 4:57:10 AM PST by cripplecreek (they call me tater.)
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To: billorites

This article makes some sense because i know a few people that had told me they would vote for Kerry, but after the election, hesitantly told me they voted for Bush :)


5 posted on 01/23/2005 4:57:45 AM PST by 1FASTGLOCK45
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To: Gorzaloon

Bill Buckley is an educated man. I don't believe he ever said "It shall" -- 'shall' is used only with first person pronouns.

Bill Buckley would have said "It WILL."


6 posted on 01/23/2005 4:58:08 AM PST by KateatRFM
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To: billorites

L.O.L...Demoncats can't "move on"....


7 posted on 01/23/2005 4:59:02 AM PST by Route101
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To: billorites

Hummm, you mean if Conservs and Repubs refuse to answer poll questions, the polls will go away. Sounds like a plan.


8 posted on 01/23/2005 5:00:02 AM PST by marty60
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To: KateatRFM

Good observation re "shall". Funny I didn't pick it up although I had a funny feeling reading it.

If anything, I suspected a Kerry plot to steal via discouraging Bush voters.

Damn, this victory is so sweet.


9 posted on 01/23/2005 5:00:10 AM PST by cajungirl (my peeps are freeps)
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To: billorites

I knew the exit polls where crap on Nov. 2nd. Young Kerry supporters doing the polling, and mostly Democrats answering them. Not difficult to understand why they were wrong. But according to the moonbats, exit polls are more trustworthy than actual election polls.


10 posted on 01/23/2005 5:01:48 AM PST by MisterRepublican ("I must go. I must be elusive.")
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To: 1FASTGLOCK45

I wonder how many soccer moms and dads thought about Beslan and then voted for GW because they knew full well that Kerry wouldn't keep their kids safe.


11 posted on 01/23/2005 5:02:51 AM PST by hershey
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To: cajungirl

sounds like to me, if you did not answer a pollster's q, it was "assumed" you voted for Kerry...........never "assume" lol


12 posted on 01/23/2005 5:03:36 AM PST by tiredoflaundry
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To: billorites

The kooks aren't buying the fact that democratic voters were more willing to talk to pollsters. Evidenced by the continued shrill tone and backbiting.

I find their delusions humorous.


13 posted on 01/23/2005 5:03:39 AM PST by commonguymd (My impatience is far more advanced than any known technology.)
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To: billorites

What isn't mentioned ... the pollsters that were recruited for this election cycle were mostly young adults, average age maybe 23 ... which fit very nicely with the core Kerry constituency. The results were predictable.


14 posted on 01/23/2005 5:04:05 AM PST by BluH2o
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To: billorites

Kerry who?


15 posted on 01/23/2005 5:15:33 AM PST by Racer1
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To: billorites
The Union Leader's a great paper, isn't it?



from Londonderry, NH.... where we have 18" of snow, with more coming down....
16 posted on 01/23/2005 5:16:10 AM PST by StoneGiant
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To: cripplecreek
I'm with you, in fact, I had planned to lie if there happened to be an exit pollster at my polling place. I have to wonder how many might have lied because their crowd of friends are "blues" and they were embarrassed to admit voting for the President.
17 posted on 01/23/2005 5:16:28 AM PST by wolfpat (Dum vivimus, vivamus)
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To: billorites
The main reason for overstating Kerry’s support? Bush voters refused to answer pollsters’ questions in larger numbers than did Kerry voters. No evidence of voter fraud was found.

And it wasn't because the pollster polled disproportionately highers numbers of women? In areas with higher populations of Dems? At times when Dems were more likely to vote?

Go figure.

18 posted on 01/23/2005 5:18:46 AM PST by mewzilla (Has CBS retracted the story yet?)
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To: billorites
About those exit polls: Sorry, no Bush conspiracy here

Nope. No conspiracy here! BTW: While we're on the subject, KUDOS to the VRWC for a job well done. Mind control transmission and coordination was carried out flawlessly, and our Saturnian overlords are well pleased with your efforts! The next secret conspiracy meeting will be held next Tuesday night at the local IHOP. For those who can't be there, please tune your secret decoder rings to Frequecy to 13.56 MHz (try not to forget, Kenneth!)

VRWC Lives! All hail the Saturnian overlords!

19 posted on 01/23/2005 5:23:18 AM PST by Caipirabob (Democrats.. Socialists..Commies..Traitors...Who can tell the difference?)
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To: KateatRFM
Bill Buckley is an educated man. I don't believe he ever said "It shall" -- 'shall' is used only with first person pronouns. Bill Buckley would have said "It WILL."

Bill Buckley is a pretentious, booze hound who long ago lost his command of the english language to his love affair with the thesaurus. His abiltity to impress any longer, with his words or ideas, is long gone.
20 posted on 01/23/2005 5:24:26 AM PST by N. Beaujon (I)
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