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Ford Beats Reagan! (How conservatism won in 1980 by losing in 1976)
The Weekly Standard ^ | January 24, 2005 | Robert D. Novak

Posted on 01/18/2005 1:43:20 PM PST by RWR8189

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1 posted on 01/18/2005 1:43:27 PM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189
The Republican establishment at every level was furious, contending that Reagan's challenge had made it much less likely that President Ford could be elected.

I always thought it wasn't Ford who lost that election (and it certainly wasn't Carter who won it). It was NIXON who lost that election. Or, more specifically, Watergate.

Anyone the Dems happened to nominate was sure to win. Of that, Carter was proof positive.

2 posted on 01/18/2005 1:49:49 PM PST by newgeezer (Just my opinion, of course. Your mileage may vary.)
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To: RWR8189
Couple of quibbles with Novak...

the only campaign Reagan ever lost

Reagan made a try for the Presidential nomination in 1968 and lost. It wasn't a full-bore attempt like in '76, but it still counted.

Ronald Reagan was hardly known outside California in 1976.

As a politician, maybe. But being a former movie AND television star, I'm sure most folks outside CA had at least heard of or seen the man. Especially since the TV show he hosted, General Electric Theater regularly won its Sunday night time slot (until Gunsmoke started.)

3 posted on 01/18/2005 1:52:39 PM PST by TheBigB (Life is good. It'd be better if Jaime Pressly was here naked with a pizza. But it's still damn good.)
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To: RWR8189

Interesting. I actully think that the swing in the national mood started in 1968 when the leftist radicals got their foot in the door of the democrat party. Over a period of 25+ years, they have done alot to drive people away. There is not room in the democrat party if you do not follow leftist orthodoxy.


4 posted on 01/18/2005 1:55:25 PM PST by KC_Conspirator (This space outsourced to India)
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To: newgeezer
I remember those days.

Despite having everything going against him, Ford almost beat Carter, which showed that American politics was undergoing realignment. Of course, most of the lame stream media missed that story until 1980 when the realignment of the American body politic hit them between the eyes.
5 posted on 01/18/2005 1:56:21 PM PST by Ticonderoga34
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To: TheBigB

Reagan was a leader in the conservative movement in those days and very well known on a national level. That's why he almost beat Ford for the Republican nomination.


6 posted on 01/18/2005 1:59:00 PM PST by Ticonderoga34
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To: newgeezer

IMHO, Reagan (c)would have won in 1976. A key driving factor in the election was a candidate OUTSIDE the Washington power structure. Reagan fit the bill. Ford did not. However, as often is the case, the existing power structure fought tooth and nail to maintain the status quo.

As destiny would have it, Reagan triumphed -- and at the appointed time.


7 posted on 01/18/2005 2:02:06 PM PST by Paraclete
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To: RWR8189

I don't like the way that they keep referring to Reagan as a B-movie actor. Reagan was a big wealthy movie star - he just wasn't the top 3 or 4 at any one time. A B Movie actor is like Long Duck Dong from Sixteen Candles who went on to be in a few more things, or James Gandolfini before he hit it big in the Sopranos.


8 posted on 01/18/2005 2:06:55 PM PST by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Paraclete

Ford was a horrible campaigner and a moderate to boot. To this day he stresses that Roe v. Wade is the law of the land and conservatives need to realize it, not fight it.

Gerald Ford is a RINO if there ever was one, it serves him well getting beat by the lunatic peanut farmer and his snooty wife.


9 posted on 01/18/2005 2:07:43 PM PST by wrathof59 (semper ubi sub ubi)
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To: RWR8189

Sort of off the topic of the article, but I've always wondered (since I wasnt alive at the time): If JFK hadnt been assassinated, could Goldwater have beaten him?? What would have been different had this have happened??

Discuss.


10 posted on 01/18/2005 2:10:49 PM PST by GOP_Raider (With a QB named Kerry, is it any wonder the Raiders finished 5-11 this year?)
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To: newgeezer

Correct. The Republican Party at the time still had the Rockefeller Repubs in control. Reagan Republicans knew they would have to put the nose to the gindstone to get Reagan as head of the Party. Then there is always " a man for the times" argument. which I think GW is also.


11 posted on 01/18/2005 2:13:04 PM PST by marty60
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To: newgeezer

"Anyone the Dems happened to nominate was sure to win. Of that, Carter was proof positive."



Yet Ford very nearly pulled off the upset. Had Ford carried Ohio (which he lost by only 11,000 votes, 0.27% of the state's vote) and Wisconsin (which he lost by 35,000 votes, or 1.67% of the state's total), Ford would have received 277 Electoral Votes and the victory.

Had Reagan been the GOP candidate in 1976, I don't think Carter would have carried Mississippi (where he got 49.6%), Texas (where he got 51.1%), Louisiana (where he got 51.7%) or Florida (where he got 51.9%), and I think Reagan would have won rather comfortably.


12 posted on 01/18/2005 2:25:17 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: wrathof59
"Gerald Ford is a RINO if there ever was one, it serves him well getting beat by the lunatic peanut farmer and his snooty wife."

You are correct. There are few politicians that move me to shouting STFU at the screen more than Jesse Jackson or Jimmy Carter, and Ford's one of 'em.
13 posted on 01/18/2005 2:26:43 PM PST by RightOnTheLeftCoast (You're it)
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To: RWR8189

Unforutnately between 1976 and 1980, many bad things happened. Carter let the birth of Islamic terrorist movement begin in 1979 unheeded. He also managed to give away the Panama Canal.


14 posted on 01/18/2005 2:27:27 PM PST by Barney Gumble (http://purveyors-of-truth.blogspot.com/)
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To: GOP_Raider

Would certainly have been possible...after all, Nixon beat JFK.


15 posted on 01/18/2005 2:31:07 PM PST by FreeperinRATcage (I am free because I know that I alone am morally responsible for every thing I do. - R. A. Heinlein)
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To: Paraclete
A key driving factor in the election was a candidate OUTSIDE the Washington power structure.

And, if you remember, that was exactly how Jimmy Carter presented himself.

In fact, though, that year was the first time I noticed media bias. The campaign coverage by Time magazine couldn't have been clearer about which candidate the Establishment favored. On one page, you would see the Ford campaign news, featuring black-and-white photo cuts, and two pages over, massive Carter coverage in full color.

16 posted on 01/18/2005 2:32:11 PM PST by thulldud (It's bad luck to be superstitious.)
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To: KC_Conspirator
"I actully think that the swing in the national mood started in 1968 when the leftist radicals got their foot in the door of the democrat party."

Reagan gave a voice to those "hard hat" voters who were sick of the radical's antics. And the Country Club Republican establishment had no more feel for middle class sensibilities than the pampered Red Diaper babies and elite Democrat establishment did. They both catered to their respective flanks and Reagan strolled in and took all the ground in the middle.

Thank God he did.

17 posted on 01/18/2005 2:34:28 PM PST by Ditto ( No trees were killed in sending this message, but billions of electrons were inconvenienced.)
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To: RWR8189

18 posted on 01/18/2005 2:34:52 PM PST by mc6809e
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To: GOP_Raider

No.

Goldwater could not have beaten Kennedy. He would still have lost Northeast Republicans.


19 posted on 01/18/2005 2:39:05 PM PST by Sam the Sham
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To: RWR8189

But this leaves aside a massive WHAT IF.

What if Carter hadn't been such an incompetent ?

As it happenned, he presided over the high water mark of Soviet military power and the high water mark of the cultural left (the whole cocaine, disco, meat rack bar, waterbed, "golden age of porn" era).


20 posted on 01/18/2005 2:43:37 PM PST by Sam the Sham
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