Posted on 12/28/2004 6:37:04 AM PST by areafiftyone
Longtime presidential strategist Dick Morris had words of caution yesterday for those who say Hillary Clinton can't generate the kind of national support she needs to put herself back in White House in 2008.
Not only will Sen. Clinton win her party's nomination in a walk, the former Clinton advisor contends that her chances of beating the GOP four years from now are "superb."
"She's so far ahead of Kerry and Edwards and any other possible nominee in the primaries that there really won't be a primary," Morris told Sean Hannity radio fill-in Dave Stone.
"The problem is," added the top consultant, "she has an awfully good chance of winning the election."
Explained Morris:
"She generates black turnout that's about ten-points higher than [John] Kerry got. So that's one extra point for the Democratic Party.
"She probably is going to restore the Hispanic margin to 30-points, as opposed to the ten-point margin Kerry had. That's two-points extra for the Democrats.
"And she'll probably carry single women by four-to-one. Kerry carried them by two-to-one. So that's another two-points [for the Dems].
That's five-points worth of support the Democrats didn't get in this year's vote - enough to trump President Bush's 51 to 49 percent margin of victory.
The questions is, can the GOP squeeze out another three points from their base?
Morris said he doesn't see how, noting, "In most areas the Republicans pretty well maxed out in their turn-out."
His conclusion: "I think Hillary has a superb chance to win."
Are there no Republican candidates on the horizon who can stop the former first lady?
Morris named three possibilities: Rudy Giuliani, Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice.
Giuliani, however, won't be able to win the GOP nomination, said Morris, because of his socially liberal stance on issues like abortion, gun control and gay marriage.
What about Powell?
"I don't think Powell can win [the nomination]," the one-time Clinton political guru said. "I think people have gotten very annoyed at him in the Republican base during his service as Secretary of State."
Powell's replacement at State, however, has a better chance.
"Condoleezza Rice takes the black base and she takes the female base that's absolutely essential for Hillary's victory."
Said Morris: "Rice is the only person who can stop Hillary Clinton from being president."
Here is where Morris is dead wrong. Rice is not very well liked by most liberal blacks. The things they say about Rice are horrible!
HOW HILLARY BECOMES PRESIDENT IN '08?
She chooses Satan for her running mate.
This from a guy who said she would never run for senator. Then he said she would not get elected. Why does anyone listen to him. He will tell you what you want to hear or fear.
I expect to see a Guliani/Rice ticket in '08.
But... But ...he knows alot about Toes!!! ;-)
A lot can happen over 4 years. If the Bushies would get a back bone and play with the big dawgs, they could crush Shillary long before any primary.
The only way the Bushies could crush Hillary is if they have a major candidate who is familiar to people and has star quality. There is no way any old senator or Governor could beat Hillary!
Didn't Morris say she had a plan to be the nominee in 2004 and then that she had the v.p. slot in 2004?
I can't remember the last time this guy was right!
young black friends of mine report "we're not going to vote for white men for president, anymore".
i guess that means that the wife of "the first black president" will get their votes.
She would also not win the support of much of the conservative base. A pro-abortion Republican presidential candidate is a colossally bad idea.
No, no, no!! SANFORD!!!
Morris is always making predictions about Hillary. I have no doubt that she will make a run for it in 2008 because the Dems need someone who has Star Power and can bring in the big bucks and Hillary can do that. I don't see any Democrat who can beat Hillary's star power right now. Not even Howard Dean can do it. The Dems are sooo disgusted with the group that ran in 2004 that they want someone with name recognition after their disaster in 2004. Hillary is that person!
BTW, who's picking up this guy's tab recently??
Hillary will not win in 08.
Well then they will have to wait a long time to vote for president because I don't think Rice will run. Unless the Dems push Obama for president in 2008 which they very well could do.
Sometimes Dick Morris just says stuff, and I wonder from where he has pulled it. This makes no sense.
Don't underestimate Hillary. She said she would not run for Senator in NY and she did. The dems are very in need of star power right now and Hillary can get the woman and black vote right now hands down. Even some moderate women do not hate Hillary.
Not a chance, not if the Republicans want to continue to be the more conservative party. I just don't think they're that stupid. They would certainly lose Christian conservatives, and that is a large part of their base. Moral people are not going to vote for candidates who support abortion. Period. For many of us, that is our line in the sand.
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