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THE GROUND WAR (vote analysis shows Dumbocrats face uphill road ahead)
MSBNC.COM ^ | November 14, 2004 | David Shuster)

Posted on 11/15/2004 9:41:38 AM PST by Liz

...........vote totals from this election compared to the presidential election four years ago....underscore why the Democratic party...is in even worse shape than you might think.

Compared to four years ago, President Bush picked up 9.5 million votes. John Kerry, compared to Al Gore, picked up just under 5 million.

But here are some other important numbers:

Ralph Nader in 2000: 2.89 million votes Ralph Nader in 2004: 400,706 votes. Youth vote 18-29 for Gore: 9 million Youth vote 18-29 for Kerry: 11 million

The polling indicated that most of Nader's erosion was John Kerry's gain. And as you can see above, Kerry picked up 2 million votes in the 18-29 category. So, that's 4 million of the 5 million vote pick-up for Kerry.

In other words, if you rule out the Nader voters and younger voters, everybody else gave John Kerry a net gain of just 1 million votes (compared to Al Gore in 2000.) President Bush received about the same raw vote total among 18-29 year olds as he did four years ago. So, excluding that group, the president picked up 9.5 million new votes. Again, when you are talking about voters 30 and over... it's 9.5 million new votes for Bush... 1 million non-Nader voters for Kerry.

That is astounding. Remember, Kerry was running against an incumbent president with an approval rating below 50%.

Kerry's anemic raw vote number is even more astounding when you look at the powerful "anybody but Bush" sentiment in the Democratic party this year... and when you consider the massive amount of money those new Democratic organizations spent on get out the vote efforts. "America Coming Together" and the "Media Fund" spent nearly $200 million. That was twice as much as the DNC spent on getting out the vote.

Write me at DShuster@MSNBC.com

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
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To: Liz

See #20.


21 posted on 11/15/2004 11:13:37 AM PST by expatpat
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To: Liz
Our tribute to George Soros:

Thanks, Georgie! Great job!

I love the sound of $27 MILLION being flushed down the terlit! :^D


22 posted on 11/15/2004 11:36:11 AM PST by MeekOneGOP (There is only one GOOD 'RAT: one that has been voted OUT of POWER !! Straight ticket GOP!)
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To: expatpat
Well, as Hillary always said, "Anything could happen."

"Tell my office I'm going home to water down Bill's heart medication."

23 posted on 11/15/2004 11:46:54 AM PST by Liz (The man who establishes the reputation of rising at dawn, can sleep til noon.)
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To: AFPhys

Mighty catchy tune.


24 posted on 11/15/2004 11:48:21 AM PST by Liz (The man who establishes the reputation of rising at dawn, can sleep til noon.)
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To: MeekOneGOP

I think the $250M was well-spent.....Kerry was a big help in electing GWB.


25 posted on 11/15/2004 11:51:22 AM PST by Liz (The man who establishes the reputation of rising at dawn, can sleep til noon.)
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To: SugarLandTexas

Welcome to FR! I was born in Sugarland a loooooong time ago.


26 posted on 11/15/2004 2:59:43 PM PST by Ditter
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To: Liz

I smirked too. Then sent the article onto some liberal friends and former co-workers.


27 posted on 11/15/2004 9:05:15 PM PST by Utah Girl
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To: Utah Girl

Nice move. The word needs to go out far and wide.


28 posted on 11/16/2004 5:05:17 AM PST by Liz (The man who establishes the reputation of rising at dawn, can sleep til noon.)
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To: Liz

I just re-read this. You know, it really is remarkable at how poorly sKerry did given the four year ABB campaign. It really points out just how far the Demodogs have sunk in the public's view.
.


29 posted on 11/16/2004 7:56:35 AM PST by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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