Posted on 11/07/2004 3:40:15 PM PST by RWR8189
November 4, 2004--The table below shows Election Day results for each state compared to the final polling results we provided to Premium Members. During the final weekend, we provided polling data for 24 states and were 24 for 24.
|
RR |
Actual | Final RR Poll | |
| NATIONAL | Bush |
51% |
50% |
| Kerry | 48% | 48% | |
| Florida | Bush |
52% |
50% |
| Kerry | 47% | 47% | |
| Pennsylvania | Bush | 49% | 47% |
| Kerry | 51% | 49% | |
| Ohio | Bush | 51% | 50% |
| Kerry | 49% | 46% | |
| Michigan | Bush | 48% | 46% |
| Kerry | 51% | 50% | |
| Minnesota | Bush | 48% | 47% |
| Kerry | 51% | 48% | |
| Wisconsin | Bush | 49% | 46% |
| Kerry | 50% | 48% | |
| Iowa | Bush | 50% | 48% |
| Kerry | 49% | 48% | |
| Nevada | Bush | 51% | 49% |
| Kerry | 48% | 47% | |
| New Mexico | Bush | 50% | 50% |
| Kerry | 49% | 46% | |
| New Hampshire | Bush | 49% | 47% |
| Kerry | 50% | 49% | |
| California | Bush | 44% | 43% |
| Kerry | 55% | 53% | |
| New York | Bush | 40% | 37% |
| Kerry | 58% | 54% | |
| Illinois | Bush | 45% | 43% |
| Kerry | 55% | 51% | |
| Georgia | Bush | 58% | 54% |
| Kerry | 41% | 39% | |
| New Jersey | Bush | 46% | 41% |
| Kerry | 53% | 53% | |
| North Carolina | Bush | 56% | 53% |
| Kerry | 44% | 43% | |
| Virginia | Bush | 54% | 50% |
| Kerry | 45% | 45% | |
| Missouri | Bush | 54% | 50% |
| Kerry | 46% | 45% | |
| Washington | Bush | 46% | 44% |
| Kerry | 53% | 53% | |
| Maryland | Bush | 43% | 44% |
| Kerry | 56% | 52% | |
| Colorado | Bush | 53% | 50% |
| Kerry | 46% | 45% | |
| Alabama | Bush | 63% | 53% |
| Kerry | 37% | 42% | |
| South Carolina | Bush | 58% | 55% |
| Kerry | 41% | 41% | |
| Oregon | Bush | 48% | 46% |
| Kerry | 52% | 53% | |
ping
SurveyUSA was almost perfect! That is who I am going to depend on next election -- 2006.
He was pretty close but appears to consistently understate Bush's support.
I imagine early voting and absentee ballots distort polling.
That ought to take the wind out of Zogbys sails.lol
Yep, he made up for 2000 and then some.
It's because undecideds broke for Bush, I think.
Where is Zoggie? Here, Zoggie, Zoggie, Zoogie. Here, Zoggie, Zoggie, Zoogie. Dang, I can't seem to locate Zoogie.
I dont even believe that.I think MSM was trying to keep it close for John Kerry.
It's interesting to note that among pollsters doing more than 5 state contests... the absolute worst was... now here is a shocker...
Gallup. 50 percent of all their statewide polls picked the WRONG winner. That's worse than even ARG. Fox News also did a poor job.
SUSA, Mason-Dixon, Research 2000, Quinnipiac, and Rasmussen were the big winners this time...
Strategic Vision did average work... they missed a few states, but they were better than Zogby, Gallup, and the LATimes.
If I am not mistaken, I believe he used to post here, if he still lurks, I just wanted to say "You Rock!"
Which poll day did he use to compare against the actual results? Seems to me these polls were up and down from day to day.
Anyone have that answer?
On the national basis, that was my impression also. Day after day, he showed kerry ahead of Bush when almost all other polls showed the reverse. I stopped even paying attention to him.
Exactly. Can you say "Media Conspiracy"?
Zogby. Example: "Zogby International Made Right Calls in Battlegrounds: Accurately Called Bush Ohio Victory; Predicted Daschle Defeat; Foresaw Senate Race Outcomes"
Of course, the turkeybutt was predictiving Kerry with 311 electoral votes at 5pm Tuesday, but he removed that threa from his website.
Those numbers are right on and unlike Zogby he did not try to influence the election.
I don't have the best memory. Somebody remind me next election what a joke Zogby is.
not bad - I haven't taken the time to compare to Zog.
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