Posted on 11/04/2004 12:11:46 PM PST by golch1979
Polling firm Zogby International accurately predicted President Bush's Ohio victory, as well as the defeat of Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle in South Dakota, and accurately forecast the outcome of every Senate race in our final battleground poll, conducted October 29 through November 1, 2004. The margin of error was +/- 4.1 percentage points.
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE -2004
STATE BUSH KERRY
CO-Actual 53% 46% CO-Zogby 49% 47%
FL-Actual 52% 47% FL-Zogby 48% 48%
IA-Actual 50% 49% IA-Zogby 45% 50%
MI-Actual 48% 51% MI-Zogby 46% 52%
MN-Actual 48% 51% MN-Zogby 45% 51%
NV-Actual 51% 48% NV-Zogby 50% 45%
NM-Actual 50% 49% NM-Zogby 48% 51%
OH-Actual 51% 49% OH-Zogby 49% 43%
PA-Actual 49% 51% PA-Zogby 46% 50%
WI-Actual 49% 50% WI-Zogby 45% 51%
** Zogby FINAL Oct. 29-Nov. 1, MOE +/- 4.1
SENATE RACES
DASCHLE THUNE SD-Actual 49% 51% SD-Zogby 46% 48% Oct 25-26 MOE +/- 3.5
SALAZAR COORS CO-Actual 51% 47% CO-Zogby 52% 44% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
MARTINEZ CASTOR FL-Actual 50% 48% FL-Zogby 48% 43% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
GRASSLEY SMALL IA-Actual 70% 28% IA-Zogby 69% 20% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
REID ZISER NV-Actual 61% 35% NV-Zogby 57% 34% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
VOINOVICH FINGERHUT OH-Actual 64% 36% OH-Zogby 56% 32% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
SPECTER HOEFFEL PA-Actual 53% 42% PA-Zogby 53% 32% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
FEINGOLD MICHELS WI-Actual 56% 44% WI-Zogby 58% 38% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
I think he said Kerry would have 311 electoral votes.
Zogby... the Jason Blair of polling.
Zogby has lost all credibility except for democrats who want to be filled with bogus information.
ping
Media Schadenfreude and Media Shenanigans PING
He is spinning like a top. If he was so accurate, why did he call Keryr getting 311 EVs at 5:30pm Tuesday?
See this thread also:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1268922/posts
Statement from John Zogby on 2004 Presidential Election Results (CYA spin) ^
That's ok. You'll still have some Freepers harping how Zogby is the most accurate pollster around despite the evidence.
At 5 pm on election day he had Florida and Ohio going to Kerry. I mean who does he think he's fooling. falling into the right result once gave him a sense of his own importance that's been completely refuted. The guy's junk.
He has the accuracy of Dan Rather.
I have this day emailed Mr Zogby and informed him that his credibility as a pollster resides on the trash heap of history.
LOL, this guy called every key state wrong. So he was "within the margin of error" - I could have thrown a dart at a list of numbers and been just as accurate.
At 5.00 pm Zogby was on his way to the Kerry celebration.
Is that like being "the most honest lawyer around"?
I was just thinking of that line when I was wondering about his fate. Sweet.
Anyone who cant hit within +/- 4 (thats an 8 POINT SPREAD folks) should not be charging money for polling
There are lies, damnable lies, statistics, and now zogby polls.
We need to use his name as the left has used Senator McCarthy's.
Zogbyism will forever more be the term for a leftist media snowjob designed to sway public opinion.
example: "The Zogbyism in this campaign almost gave John Kerry an unearned victory."
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.