Posted on 11/04/2004 11:30:46 AM PST by Nascardude
Those faulty exit polls were sabotage
By now it is well-known and a part of the 2004 election lore how the exit polls by the major television networks were wrong.
Likely this faux pas will assume its place among wartime stories alongside the mistaken calls on Floridas vote for one side and then for the other in the 2000 election. But the inaccuracies of the medias polling deserve more scrutiny and investigation.
Exit polls are almost never wrong. They eliminate the two major potential fallacies in survey research by correctly separating actual voters from those who pretend they will cast ballots but never do and by substituting actual observation for guesswork in judging the relative turnout of different parts of the state.
So reliable are the surveys that actually tap voters as they leave the polling places that they are used as guides to the relative honesty of elections in Third World countries. When I worked on Vicente Foxs campaign in Mexico, for example, I was so fearful that the governing PRI would steal the election that I had the campaign commission two U.S. firms to conduct exit polls to be released immediately after the polls closed to foreclose the possibility of finagling with the returns. When the polls announced a seven-point Fox victory, mobs thronged the streets in a joyous celebration within minutes that made fraud in the actual counting impossible.
But this Tuesday, the networks did get the exit polls wrong. Not just some of them. They got all of the Bush states wrong. So, according to ABC-TVs exit polls, for example, Kerry was slated to carry Florida, Ohio, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada and Iowa, all of which Bush carried. The only swing state the network had going to Bush was West Virginia, which the president won by 10 points.
To screw up one exit poll is unheard of. To miss six of them is incredible. It boggles the imagination how pollsters could be that incompetent and invites speculation that more than honest error was at play here.
The mistaken exit polls infiltrated all three networks and the cable news outlets and had a chilling effect on the coverage of election night.
While all anchors refrained from announcing the exit-poll results, it was clear from the context of their comments that they expected Kerry to win and wondered if Bush could hold any key state.
Indeed, one network hesitated to call Mississippi for Bush because of the uncertainty injected by the bogus exit polls. Dark minds will suspect that these polls were deliberately manipulated to dampen Bush turnout in the Central, Mountain, and Pacific time zones by conveying the impression that the presidents candidacy was a lost cause.
The exit pollsters plead that they oversampled women and that this led to their mistakes. But the very first thing a pollster does is weight or quota for gender. Once the female vote reaches 52 percent of the sample, one either refuses additional female respondents or weights down the ones one subsequently counted.
This is, dear Watson, elementary.
Next to the forged documents that sent CBS on a jihad against Bushs National Guard service and the planned 60 Minutes ambush over the so-called missing explosives two days before the polls opened, the possibility of biased exit polling, deliberately manipulated to try to chill the Bush turnout, must be seriously considered.
At the very least, the exit pollsters should have to explain, in public, how they were so wrong. Since their polls, if biased or cooked, represented an attempt to use the public airwaves to reduce voter turnout, they should have to explain their errors in a very public and perhaps official forum.
This was no mere mistake. Exit polls cannot be as wrong across the board as they were on election night. I suspect foul play.
WOW ROCK ON!
Dick Morris is really going after the
exit poll scandal with a vengance!!Excerpt (with actual title of article):Those faulty exit polls were sabotage
The exit pollsters plead that they oversampled women and that this led to their mistakes. But the very first thing a pollster does is weight or quota for gender. Once the female vote reaches 52 percent of the sample, one either refuses additional female respondents or weights down the ones one subsequently counted.
This is, dear Watson, elementary.
Next to the forged documents that sent CBS on a jihad against Bushs National Guard service and the planned 60 Minutes ambush over the so-called missing explosives two days before the polls opened, the possibility of biased exit polling, deliberately manipulated to try to chill the Bush turnout, must be seriously considered.
At the very least, the exit pollsters should have to explain, in public, how they were so wrong. Since their polls, if biased or cooked, represented an attempt to use the public airwaves to reduce voter turnout, they should have to explain their errors in a very public and perhaps official forum.
This was no mere mistake. Exit polls cannot be as wrong across the board as they were on election night. I suspect foul play.
Please let me know if you want ON or OFF my General Interest ping list!. . .don't be shy.
Yup. Evil is being exposed to the light of truth.
Finally.
Morris said he "started to get depressed" when he heard about the exit polls, but quickly made some phone calls and knew it was a bunch of garbage.
I guess Clinton's master of politics is on our side now. He may be toe-sucker......but what the hell. He is helping us.
um, I'm a little befuddled here...
the toe-sucker... when did he decide to jump ship and join the side of virtue?
hm...somewhat like the forged Rather documents. Fed through several layers to appear in the hands of Rather's people.
Gives me faith and encouragement to start up my own exit polling company!!!!!!
He's right.
Don't forget Zog the Great's final predictions the night before the election set up these phoney exit polls.
Now he is trying to say that he didn't predict what he said he did on the night before the election.
Sean Hannity was still upset today about these exit polls. He apparently was told before the election was really even on, that GW had lost the election. Sean fortunately ignored them and urged all of us to vote.
I'm afraid that Drudge bought into this fiasco/scam/attemped electronic election coup.
Yesterday Shep apologized for FNC assuming the role of the new MMS along with the normal whores. This was afte FNC finally declared Iowa, NM and NV for president Bush. It was obvious that part of the scam was to declare Kerry winners in states when no votes were even counted. Then to delay where Bush won like Floriduh, Ohio, Iowa, NM and Nv.
Apparently Brit apologized last night for the bad data. There can be no apology for the gangbanging of GW, he allowed under his role as moderator by the FNC staff with the exit poll bs. Juan Williams made a complete ass out of himself.
$crew all of the tv Not News, including FNC for what they did to America, our president and us during their games during their biased coverage of the election.
FNC/ABCNNBCBS were involved in a massive and coordinated Fraudcast of the election to help Kerry win.
Morris is shrewd, and goes where the money is.
hrmn.
by that logic he should be gofering for Soros... or that bastard Carville should be working for us.
I suspect something else is happening.
perhaps this (admittedly minor-league) fetishist was revolted by what he saw in the Clinton Abyss?
"perhaps this (admittedly minor-league) fetishist was revolted by what he saw in the Clinton Abyss?"
I am sure he was revolted, especially given the fact that Hillary called him a money-grubbing Jew.
ping
that might ha' done it, yep.
Morris was on local Houston radio this morning (he's in town for a book signing event). He said 9/11 changed everything for him. He voted for Gore four years ago, but he voted for Bush this time.
Good work, Dick. He's a place to start investigating: Who was driving the stacking of all of the internet polls leading up to the election?
Dude, you HAVE to go public with this. You will be a more popular Freeper than Buckhead!
"Of late, when danny boy is caught, he immediately blames the internet in an attempt to shift the blame."
I've noticed that too. What did he do before the internet--oh silly me, he didn't get caught then did he? Think Danny is hearing footsteps all the time now? I sure hope so!
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