Posted on 11/04/2004 8:43:23 AM PST by jperspective
RJC Analysis of 2004 Jewish Vote Shows Unmistakable Shift Toward Republicans
Washington, DC... Based on several exit polls recently released, it is clear that President Bush did substantially better among Jewish voters this year than he did in 2000. From 1992 to today we've seen more than a 100% increase in the Jewish Republican vote. The trend is unmistakable: · In 1992, President Bush (41) won 11% of the Jewish vote · In 1996, Senator Dole won 16% of the Jewish vote · In 2000, President Bush (43) won 19% of the Jewish vote · In 2004, preliminary results indicate George W. Bush received likely support of 25% (a 32% increase over 2000).This is a clear and irrefutable trend demonstrating continued increasing support for Republican candidates in the Jewish community.
To further highlight this point, here are some undisputed facts. It is clear that President Bush increased his share of the Jewish vote from 2000 by 32%, a substantial increase. According to available data, no other ethnic, religious, or racial group increased its support for the President by this large a percentage. Despite an unprecedented, massive effort on the part of the Democratic Party, the Kerry-Edwards campaign, and related support groups, Kerry did worse among Jewish voters than any Democratic presidential candidate in the last 12 years.
Looking to the future, we are optimistic that this trend will continue, for three reasons:
· The Republican Party has demonstrated that it not only has become the "pro-Israel party," but it is committed to building and expanding its support in the Jewish community.
· Demographic trends are favorable to the Republicans - younger Jewish voters are more inclined to vote Republican. In fact, preliminary results indicate that 32% of Jews ages 18-49 supported Bush. In addition, the foundation of the traditional Democratic Jewish base, senior citizens, is shrinking in numbers.
· The Jewish community, according to several analyses, is becoming more religious. The Orthodox community, which represents a solid base of support for Republicans among Jews, is becoming larger within the Jewish community.
Taken together, these factors equal a positive outlook for Republicans and a troubling outlook for Democrats.
Obviously the statistics are encouraging. One of the problems with attempting to poll Jewish voters is that it does not adjust for the many JINO's(Jews in Name Only)included in the statistics. There are a very large number of unafiliated Jews showing up in these figures. Some interesting trends I've noticed which won't show up in the polls is that Orthodox Jews overwhelmingly supported Bush. Also, Russian Jews supported Bush by a 3 to 1 margin. They understand leftism better then anyone. It's also important to note that younger Jews are much more likely to vote Republican then their aging parents and grandparents. I guess sometimes you can't teach an old dog new tricks.
That's because people aching to have something to blame on Da Jooooos will ignore the failings in their own communities and blame it on someone else.
Exactly, it's well known that Jews are disloyal. Clearly, based on their concern for Israel, they'd vote for Kerry.
Then again, when you consider Sharon's affinity toward Bush, and the fact that Israeli Jews overwhelming support Bush, maybe liberal Jews in America are voting based on what they think is best for America, however misguided, and folk like you are simply peddling so much bigoted bull *hit.
The fact of the matter is you can't make the case that Bush is the pro-Israel candidate, then accuse Jewish Kerry voters of dual loyalty.
You can of couse make that accusation to Jews like me and others here who support GWB.
On several threads over the past few days you have questioned the loyalty of Jews to America. If you have something to say, say it. Don't be a pussy-assed bitch and be afraid because you think you might get banned. LF would be happy to take you.
They don't care about what is correct in Judaism. They want to make it up.
Some are malicious, others are innocently ignorant. Since I haven't seen kathrynne before, I'm giving her the benefit of the doubt.
I talked my Jewish friend into voting Republican for the first time in his life.
LOL! Not if their buchananites. The only thing buchanan has at heart is his own over inflated ego.
Reagan got 39 per cent in 1980, and 31 per cent in 1984.Jewish vote remains traditionally DemocratAccording to data published by the National Jewish Democratic Council, the average Jewish support of a Republican candidate since 1972 stands at 27.4%. On the other hand, the Jewish Republican Coalition announced yesterday that more and more Jews vote Republican. According to their data, collected since 1992, the average number of Jews who voted for a Republican in the presidential elections has been rising steadily: 11% in 1992, followed by 16% in 96, 19% in 2000 and in the 2004 elections, 25% of Jews voted for President Bush.
Tal Shneider
Thanks for the ping.
Mayor Willie Brown (on MSNBC) noted that in certain areas of FLA, the ONLY thing that could account for Bush having won more votes than Kerry, would be that Jewish Democrats voted for Bush. YAAAAAAAAY!!
Presuming you agree with It's not a "cultural" tradition, the religious status of a child has followed the mother for millenia. Identification of a Jew as a Kohen, or Levite, or Israelite follows the father. we aren't.
"One gets the impression that to so many Jews in America Israel continues to be their main concern above any allegiance to America...."
If that were true then much more then 25% of us would have voted for Bush.
In Judaism religion is determined by the mother. A child born to a non-jewish mother would have to formally convert in order to be considered Jewish. The father's religion does not matter.
The reason for this is because back in the day there was no real way of being sure who the father was.
Your point is completely wrong because your premise is wrong. Kerry is not a Jew at all. He was never a Jew. He is Catholic. Why is this so difficult for you to grasp?
Kerry is a Catholic. No segment of Judiasm would consider him a Jew. While Israel might grant him refuge were he subject to persecution, he would not be considered a Jew. Even the Reform community, which recognizes the Jewish potentiality (not descent) of a Jewish father would not embrace him as a Jew. That's because he's a Catholic. Several other posters have pointed this out to you. You really shouldn't talk with such certainty about things you clearly don't know much about.
I take no joy in Jews who covert to another faith, however I respect their decision.
Can you explain to me why, when a Jew accepts Jesus as Kerry's dad did in becoming a Catholic, some people have such a desire, in certain circumstances, to consider him a Jew?
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