Posted on 11/03/2004 7:15:14 PM PST by tellw
2006 ELECTION CYCLE
Republicans (15) Previous %
George Allen of Virginia 52%
Conrad Burns of Montana 51%
Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island 57%
Mike DeWine of Ohio 60%
John Ensign of Nevada 55%
Bill Frist of Tennessee 65%
Orrin Hatch of Utah 66%
Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas 68%
John Kyl of Arizona 79%
Trent Lott of Mississippi 66%
Richard Lugar of Indiana 67%
Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania 52%
Olympia Snowe of Maine 69%
Jim Talent of Missouri 50%
Craig Thomas of Wyoming 65%
Democrats (17) Previous %
Daniel Akaka of Hawaii 73%
Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico 62%
Robert Byrd of West Virginia 78%
Maria Cantwell of Washington 49%
Thomas Carper of Delaware 56%
Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York 55%
Kent Conrad of North Dakota 62%
John Corzine of New Jersey 50%
Mark Dayton of Minnesota 49%
Dianne Feinstein of California 56%
Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts 73%
Herb Kohl of Wisconsin 62%
Joe Lieberman of Connecticut 63%
Bill Nelson of Florida 51%
Ben Nelson of Nebraska 51%
Paul Sarbanes of Maryland 63%
Debbie Stabenow of Michigan 49%
Independent (1) Previous %
Jim Jeffords of Vermont 66%
Graph these against Bush margin in 2004, and see who is most vulnerable.
Here in Minnesota, the story is that Congressman Mark Kennedy will run against Dayton.
Kennedy has always had a top-notch campaign effort in all his elections.
He can raise funds and is a good campaigner.
But Minnesota is still a slight Dem-leaning state and you have to give Dayton a slight advantage...unfortunately.
Byrd from WV if he doesn't retire would lose
Nelson from FL could be vulnerable
Akaka another who should retire, maybe the Gov could run?
Conraad .. too liberal for ND
Cantwell barely won in '00 and only won because she made a fortune in the internet bubble economy ... don't know how effective she's been
Dayton made a fool of himself by closing his Capitol Hill offices because of fear of an attack
Dayton could also opt to return to private life.
Allen in Va will get all he can hadle from current Guv mark Warner.
Markie has too much money and nothing to do with it.
I think Jennifer Dunn would make a great Senator but for some reason, she wanted out of Congress. (Age?)
If she had run against Osama Mama Patty, she would have won. Nethercutt didn't have a chance being from Eastern Washington. Unfortunately, King County on the West side drives our state. Just check out the county by county voting. Nothing Blue East of the Cascades.
Rossi could have a chance against Maria "Real Audio" Cantwell.
Thats only because he was up for re-election in '92.
It would be nice to toss out RINO
Olympia Snowe of Maine 69%
By that time Hatch could be on the Supreme Court.
Throw all the dims out.
It would be nice to toss out RINO
Olympia Snowe of Maine 69%
By that time Hatch could be on the Supreme Court.
Throw all the dims out. Wondering if Lieberman might retire?
Maybe Kennedy will retire.
Bye bye. He's probably up for re-election soon and thinks he has a better chance as a dummie.
Specter will not oppose him..........but conservatives will not be amused....as the man is pro choice.
Think Kathryn Harris might run in FL?
I have a hunch we might see some appointments of rat senators that can be replaced by R governors.
Here is how Jeffords could become vulnerable. Howard Dean or Burlington mayor Peter Clavelle run against Jeffords as Democrats splitting the liberal vote. If a recognizable Republican runs against them then there is a shot. Who that Republican could be I can't say.
I'll throw out some names though. Gov. Douglas (unlikely to run), Lt Gov Dubie (unlikely to be able to win), McMullen (2 time loser), Snelling (name recognition as daughter of former governor but a real RINO).
Like Zell Miller, Lieberman is almost persona non grata in his own party these days. (The RATs hate politicians with integrity and a sense of right and wrong). Its a stretch, but I don't think its out of the realm of possibility that Lieberman could flip from a D to an R (or at least an I).
I agree.
Well there is talk here of Corzine resigning and runnung for NJ Governor in 2005 so that seat may be open.
Two years is a long ways away, and trends change. If the economy is strong and the situation in Iraq continues to improve then I'd agree with you. If either of those is in trouble then your predictions go out the window.
Why stop with Rudy in New Jersey?
Bernard Kerik in Michigan.
Ray Kelly in Minnesota.
Sean Hannity in Washington.
Rep. Vito Fossella (Repuplican from Staten Island) in Hawaii.
Nah... Voters in those states aren't as "sophisticated" as New Yorkers.
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