Here in Minnesota, the story is that Congressman Mark Kennedy will run against Dayton.
Kennedy has always had a top-notch campaign effort in all his elections.
He can raise funds and is a good campaigner.
But Minnesota is still a slight Dem-leaning state and you have to give Dayton a slight advantage...unfortunately.
Dayton could also opt to return to private life.
Only very slight. Norman Coleman can use a colleague. If President Bush will spend political capital to make the Senate even redder, that helps.