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Sabato 'Steamed' About Exit Polls
Newsmax ^ | Wednesday, Nov. 3, 2004 10:38 a.m. EST | staff

Posted on 11/03/2004 9:19:26 AM PST by Perdogg

Larry Sabato, the respected political scientist from the University of Virginia, admitted to Fox News' "Fox & Friends" this morning that he was "steamed" about the exit polls yesterday.

Sabato joined Dick Morris in questioning the results of the surveys, which showed John Kerry with a decisive victory.

Story Continues Below

He said the exit polling service had to "answer for" the inaccuracies. Sabato said the unusual mistakes were way off base. He noted one exit poll had Kerry winning Pennsylvania by 19 points.

Results so far show Kerry winning Pennsylvania by a tiny margin, smaller than President Bush's margin of victory in Ohio.

Sabato hinted that the exit polling's errors might not have been a mistake. He noted that media commentators read the exit polls all day long.

When pundits see these polls they begin to skew their commentaries so they look like they are in tune with what's happening, he said.

In this case, Kerry's supporters became very enthusiastic.

Sabato noted that the exit polls could have the effect of depressing, and suppressing, voters for the candidate who is "supposed" to lose.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electionday; exitpolls; sabato
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1 posted on 11/03/2004 9:19:26 AM PST by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg
We should be careful to always refer to them as the AP Exit Polls....put blame where it is due.


2 posted on 11/03/2004 9:20:52 AM PST by Petronski (Kerry cannot have lost....the Redskins won on Sunday!)
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To: Perdogg

That Kool-Aid's got a mother of an aftertaste, don't it, Larry?

}:-)4


3 posted on 11/03/2004 9:21:12 AM PST by Moose4 (Tomorrow, we move forward. Today, we gloat our butts off.)
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To: Perdogg
Sabato noted that the exit polls could have the effect of depressing, and suppressing, voters for the candidate who is "supposed" to lose.

There oughtta be a law....

4 posted on 11/03/2004 9:21:38 AM PST by joesnuffy (The Big Dog is still sitting on America's porch...the French poodle has his tail between his legs.)
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To: Perdogg
Why is Sabato 'respected' when he's as big as an incompetent as any of them?
5 posted on 11/03/2004 9:22:03 AM PST by atomicpossum (If there are two Americas, John Edwards isn't qualified to lead either of them.)
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To: Perdogg

Here's a f-ing clue for Sabato: The exit polls were taken by a consortium of companies which all dedicated themselves - putting their reputations on the line - to destroying the President. Why would it be surprising to find the exit polls wildly skewed against him? The pollers' bosses are CBS, NBC, ABC, etc., hardly a group any sensible person would go to as a neutral observer.


6 posted on 11/03/2004 9:22:06 AM PST by thoughtomator (Uh oh, here come the lawyers)
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To: Perdogg
"Larry Sabato, the respected political scientist..."

I knew Newsmax wasn't very credible, but...

7 posted on 11/03/2004 9:22:06 AM PST by sitetest (Why does everyone get so uptight about toasted heretics??)
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To: Perdogg
Cry me a river, Mr. Sabato.

Sabato has been predicting a Kerry victory for weeks, and now he's going to shift the focus of attention to these miserable Election Day exit polls.

8 posted on 11/03/2004 9:22:15 AM PST by Alberta's Child (I made enough money to buy Miami -- but I pissed it away on the Alternative Minimum Tax.)
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To: Petronski

What about that PUNK Zogby? Check out his comments on his website today....Whata Putz


9 posted on 11/03/2004 9:22:24 AM PST by Skip98
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To: Perdogg

I think these polls are more likely to suppress votes for the candidate who is alleged to be way ahead. I mean, if you've got a headache, and there are long lines at the polls, and your candidate is fixing to win by a huge margin anyway, why bother dragging yourself to the polls?


10 posted on 11/03/2004 9:22:50 AM PST by GovernmentShrinker
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To: Perdogg

Thats because they probably WERE rigged.

I wonder, in a way, if it backfired and brought out a few million more voters though - as the day went by.


11 posted on 11/03/2004 9:23:03 AM PST by BoBToMatoE
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To: Perdogg

The whole plan was to demoralize and limit Republican votes. It didn't work well enough, though the media talking heads tried their best to pull Kerry over the finish line.


12 posted on 11/03/2004 9:23:19 AM PST by hyperpoly8 (Illegitimati Non Carborundum)
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To: Perdogg

Folks, there were fewer than 14,000 people questioned, or less than 280 people in each state. Of course the results sucked. The margin of error on these puppies was +/-10%....


13 posted on 11/03/2004 9:23:33 AM PST by Always Right
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To: Perdogg

Frank Luntz was also on Fox & Friends this morning. He too was furious over the exit polls. He gave many reasons for the bad polling but the number one reason was INCOMPETENCE.

He is afraid that polling has received a major black eye because of these exit polls.


14 posted on 11/03/2004 9:24:35 AM PST by Republican Red (A Global Freak'n Test ???????)
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To: Perdogg

The exit polls called VA, SC and NC for Kerry. How could they possibly believe they were accurate??


15 posted on 11/03/2004 9:25:23 AM PST by elizabetty
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To: Perdogg
Sabato noted that the exit polls could have the effect of depressing, and suppressing, voters for the candidate who is "supposed" to lose.

No s*** Dick Tracy ... Sabato this time yesterday was confidently predicting a Kerry victory. Go back to sleep dogbreath ...

16 posted on 11/03/2004 9:27:05 AM PST by BluH2o
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To: elizabetty

I could see MAYBE Va, a lot of limo-liberals in NoVa, but not NC and SC.


17 posted on 11/03/2004 9:27:16 AM PST by Perdogg (W stands for Whoop-Ass)
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To: Perdogg
i voted at 10 am i franklin county, ohio. i live in a middle class white collar area. the ratio of men to women was about 25% to 75%. if this is true across the country, then women tended to voter earlier than the men. we also know that women tended to vote for kerry more than men (although women moved significantly to thre red this year).

my guess is that the exit pollers tired to be honest, but given that more women voted earlier, they based a prediction on an improper sample of voters. that is to say, they did the polling right, but they did not poll the right people.

18 posted on 11/03/2004 9:27:49 AM PST by mlocher (america is a sovereign state)
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To: Perdogg

I do not having any problem saying the exit polls were a criminal conspiracy and not a mistake at all. But gutless Republicans will not prosecute this any more than they will prosecute the thousands of cases of outright voter fraud.


19 posted on 11/03/2004 9:28:04 AM PST by hlmencken3 (Think good and it will be good!)
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To: Alberta's Child

Exactly. He's just trying to cover his tracks so he doesn't look like he has egg all over his face.


20 posted on 11/03/2004 9:29:08 AM PST by AQGeiger (Have you hugged your soldier today?)
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