Posted on 11/02/2004 2:23:29 PM PST by Cableguy
|
Electoral Votes: |
Bush |
213 |
Kerry |
311 |
To Close To Call |
Nevada (5) |
To Close To Call |
Colorado (9) |
Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%
The telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2
Here's how we got there...
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Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 |
Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172 |
|
2000 |
2004 |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Kerry Electoral Votes |
|
%Margin |
%Margin |
|
|
Arizona (10)* |
Bush + 6.28% |
Bush 6% |
10 |
- |
Arkansas (6)* |
Bush + 5.44% |
Bush 3% |
6 |
- |
Colorado (9) |
Bush + 8.36% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Kerry .1% |
- |
27 |
Iowa (7) |
Gore + 0.31% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
7 |
Michigan (17) |
Gore + 5.13% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
17 |
Minnesota (10) |
Gore + 2.4% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Missouri (11)* |
Bush + 3.34% |
Bush 3% |
11 |
- |
Nevada (5) |
Bush + 3.55% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
New Hampshire (4) * |
Bush + 1.27% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
4 |
New Mexico (5) |
Gore + 0.06% |
Kerry 3% |
- |
5 |
North Carolina (15)* |
Bush + 12.83% |
Bush 3% |
15 |
- |
Oregon (7)* |
Gore + 0.44% |
Kerry 10% |
- |
7 |
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 2% |
- |
20 |
Pennsylvania (21) |
Gore + 4.17% |
Trending Kerry |
- |
21 |
Tennessee (11)* |
Bush + 3.86% |
Bush 4% |
11 |
- |
Virginia (13)* |
Bush + 7.00%
|
Bush
|
13
|
-
|
Washington (11)* |
Gore + 5.58% |
Kerry 11% |
- |
11 |
West Virginia (5)* |
Bush + 6.32% |
Bush 4% |
5 |
- |
Wisconsin (10) |
Gore + 0.22% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Battleground State Totals
|
71
|
139
|
||
Current Grand Total:
|
213
|
311
|
* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
Zogby, get out of town! Sick of you muslim pollsters.
Zogby spilled his "secret sauce" all over himself with this prediction.
No one can ever take him seriously again.
I was WRONG about Libs STEALING OHIO.
I am Sorry.
Congratulations to you, all Pubs, and God Bless Our Country!
I was WRONG about Libs STEALING OHIO.
I am Sorry.
Congratulations to you, all Pubs, and God Bless Our Country!
I was WRONG about Libs STEALING OHIO.
I am Sorry.
Congratulations to you, all Pubs, and God Bless Our Country!
And congratulations to you! There was very little fraud, which is a major surprise. I guess the GOP was looking for it.
So much for the vaunted Zogby
Another good one.
Never forget the evil spread by Zogby bump!
Bump to the top.
I was just re-reading some of the 2004 election threads, and it is amazing to me that anyone would put any credit in "pollsters".
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