Posted on 11/02/2004 12:04:00 PM PST by crushelits
DON'T PAY ATTENTION TO THESE POLLS
CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll Presumes 90% of Undecideds Go to Kerry
Nine out of ten "undecided" voters will go for John Kerry over George W. Bush? That's the assumption which allowed Gallup to alter its final pre-election poll, from a 49 to 47 percent lead for Bush amongst "likely voters," to a 49-49 tie. "Democrat ties Bush nationally," declared the subhead under a Monday USA Today front page story, about the CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, in which reporter Susan Page's lead touted how "Kerry has erased President Bush's modest lead." She explained that "Gallup's formula assumes that 9 of 10 of those [undecided] voters would support Kerry, based on analyses of previous presidential races involving an incumbent." In fact, that level of an extreme split has not occurred in any modern election and, in calculating its final poll tally, the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press estimated that the "undecided vote may break only slightly in Kerry's favor."
Its the electorial college votes that count. The rest is just window dressing.
yah, bad assumptions made by those organizations ... in fact, I've heard it almost the opposite, that because of war-time issues, undecideds will break for the incumbent and keep the status quo ... would be more like 9 out of 10 will break for W!!!
I would imagine that as of a few days ago, most undecided voters were undecided regarding minor Vs major party, not Dem Vs Rep. That would tend to mean some of them would go for neither Bush nor Kerry with the remainder split evenly between the two.
Man oh man, this is not good. I have a bad feeling about these so-called undecideds...
guess all the undecideds changed their minds overnight...yesterday they were 85% for bush.
Actually, the 90% is wrong; it's 67% split to Kerry. (This doesn't seemed to be based on anything though.)
They have to float this kind of lie to cover for the vote fraud.
Well on MSNBC it was 100% this morning... all three decided KERRY!!!
NO.
THEY HAVE TO LIE IN ORDER TO SWAY VOTERS AWAY FROM POLLING STATIONS AND NOT VOTE.
What happened to Gallup? Did the MSM threaten not to buy their polls unless they "reformed"?
Something sure happened, because they were making sense until about a month or so ago when, as many Freepers noticed, they suddenly went off the deep end.
Horsehockey!
So the leftist hope.
BTTT!!!!!
heheheheh.....
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