Rasmussen: Late Movement to Bush in Ohio(+6) and Florida(+4)

Rasmussen Reports | 11/01/04 | Scott Rasmussen

[njsketch]

7 day rolling average with leaners. Bush trending in FL/OH, closing in PA but not enough

FL Bush 51 Kerry 47 OH Bush 52 Kerry 46

MN Kerry 50 Bush 48 MI Kerry 50 Bush 46 PA Kerry 50 Bush 48

[BurbankKarl]

[jswsr]

Is this true?

[MNJohnnie]

don't give up on Minnesota, so easily! We are definitely in the hunt!

We are not just in the hunt we are in the lead. The Dims are basing everything on their pet pollster at the Minneapolis Star Trib. Problem is in every election since 1988 he has over forecast Dims turnout by 5 points. So, adjust the numbers for his Historically proven bias. Kerry 49-Bush 41 adjusted for reality and you get Bush 46. Kerry 43% which means Bush is winning. Take the undecided voters and split them 33-33-33 which is the REAL historic measurement for Presidential elections according to the University of MI study (1/3 Challenger, 1/3 Incumbant, 1/3 Stay home) and you have Bush by two. Which is just about where the Pioneer Press/Minnesota Public Radio, historically Minnesota's most accurate poll, has the race.

Bush is winning MN and has an AWESOME get out the vote effort.

[kingattax]

check todays horserace blog.....very encouraging


http://jaycost.blogspot.com/

[DoubleOJanet]

I got my sister to commit to vote for Bush, believe it or not, she is a born again christian that had been listening to her 22 year old son who is voting for Kerry. She was concerned about the Arbusto Oil story where George W. apparently had ties to Osoma's Father, I'm not sure about this. I know there was an American named Bath that was a financial advisor to the Bin Laden's. The only info I can find is on conspiriocy sites. I reminded her about ABORTIAN, and The Supreme Court nominees etc.

[republicanwizard]

I like that picture... ;)

[comebacknewt]

if Voinovich is winning by 30 points and the ban on gay marriage is winning by 20 points, then it makes no sense to me that those same people wouldn't then vote for the president. Am I missing something?

I really wish W had hit the gay marriage and the gun issues a bit harder in the Eastern part of Ohio. He could have won a lot more Conservative RAT votes there if he had.

[GOP_Proud]

< I bet a liberal Mennonites is still rather conservative in the broad scope of things. >

That wasn't my point, actually. Yes, I would expect Mennonnites to vote Bush. My point was, driving by the polls and looking at the parking lot won't tell you if the M are voting but you sure could spot buggies.

Anyone seeing any buggies at the polls was my question.

[daviscupper]

I know exactly how you feel. Just one more day. Let's make it happen tomorrow. Go BUSH. Four more years!

[kesg]

Mason-Dixon has Bush up by 8 in Fl.

Really? I heard of a Quinnipiac poll today showing Bush up by 8, but Mason Dixon? Do you have a link?

[Tallguy]

I alway knew that when the chips were down, PA would go to the Dems. Pathetic...

Let's hope for a better result in PA.

[hchutch]

FYI ping...

The biggies are breaking to the President (enough of `em, at least)... :)

[DoubleOJanet]

I forgot to mention, we live in PA. GO BUSH!!!

[sissyjane]

Welcome newbie......

[kruelio]

I'm predicting a Bush win with 310+ electoral votes. I've felt that way for the last two months, but it's all finally starting to fall into place.

[plushaye]

It was Mason-Dixon FL +4 and Quinnipiac at +8. I checked RCP. I'd take either of them for the win. :)

[GeorgeW23225]

There is NO way in hell that I can be stopped from voting tomorrow!! I'll be first in line!!

Good news: My sister-in-law has NEVER been registered and has NEVER voted in her life. She is NOW registered, and will vote for the first time for President Bush!! Also, my 2 nephews have just joined the U.S. Army. They are 19 & 20 years old. They voted for the first time also....for President Bush!! Do I sense a trend here???

I sure hope so :-)

Stay the course, vote early and vote often!!

[teletech]

God, please for once let Rasmussen be correct, PLEASE!

[onyx]

Burnt toast.
Ohio and Florida will vote Bush.

[hoyaloya]

I happily report that I just got a message from one Kerry/Ohio supporter (friend) who changed her mind last night and will be voting for W tomorrow.

Talk to your friends folks!