To: ClintonBeGone
I have backtested this model against the previous two elections, 1996 and 2000. (Pretty short on 1996 state polling data though).
You're not going to get perfect results across the board in every state unless you start manipulating the formula from state to state in an unrealistic manner.
I'm fairly confident in it's accuracy for this election.
To: Josh in PA
How did it do backtested against the 2000 race?
72 posted on
10/31/2004 7:38:24 PM PST by
ClintonBeGone
(Take the first step in the war on terror - defeat John Kerry)
To: Josh in PA
I have backtested this model against the previous two elections, 1996 and 2000. And the results were what??
88 posted on
10/31/2004 7:44:38 PM PST by
CedarDave
(Served with pride alongside the Swifties, USCG patrol boat, Coastal Division 13, Viet Nam, 1967-68.)
To: Josh in PA
Josh....God love ya, and if your methodology turns out to be true, all of Freeperdom will love ya too!!!
Please, please, please let Josh be right!!!!!
107 posted on
10/31/2004 7:53:29 PM PST by
cherry
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