Posted on 10/31/2004 9:13:58 AM PST by ambrose
TIPP Poll 10/31: Bush 48%, Kerry 43%
YEAH! GO BUSH CHENEY!
I think tipp is a lagger. On election day, they'll have it tied.
Sheesh! I like this one.
actually if you look at the history they have been ahead of the others
YAHOO!
Their nightly sample size is fairly small...250, I believe. This allows for quite a bit of volatility.
Help me here. Wasn't this the poll that had Bush up big then tied (or at least close)earlier in the week?
Hilarious.
Yes, that's the one.
| Poll | Bush/Gore Error |
Nader Error |
| Harris Poll | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| CBS News | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| IBD/CSM/Tipp | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| ICR/Politics Now | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| Gallup/CNN/USA Today | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Pew Research | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Zogby/Reuters | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Battleground | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Average | 1.1 | 1.3 |
yep. like I just posted, hilarious.
yah. If I'm reading this right---and God knows what's with any of these polls---this one follows WaPo/Gallup by about 2-3 days. So this is now reflecting, I think, a lag from the Wed./Thurs good polling days for Bush, and it SHOULD start going down tomorrow . . . again, if I read it right.
Maybe. But where is your starting point? Since ALL the polls have been a mountain range of ups and downs, you'd have to prove that they were first with an "up."
I might have to agree with traderob6... if they are ahead by a few days, then they are already on the other side of the polls reporting a tie today.
I always like polls with Bush up, but here is THE bottom line about this race as others have posted before. The best that any of the polls has ever been able to show for Kerry through either manipulation or just bad data samples is a tie race, BUT there have been numerous polls showing Bush with a lead (2-6%). Would much rather be in our position.
Accurate or not, I'll take it. Let's face it, polls are becoming disinformation campaigns. It's about time we strated playing to win ( TRIPP is a conservative leaning poll)
on a Sunday O-o
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