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Senate control is again at stake
STLToday ^ | 10/30/2004 | Deirdre Shesgreen

Posted on 10/30/2004 1:15:56 PM PDT by Tumbleweed_Connection

WASHINGTON - The presidential race is getting most of the national attention this year, but the battle for the U.S. Senate is just as fierce - and the outcome will have an impact on the fortunes of whoever wins the White House.

With the Senate currently in Republican hands by a tiny margin, a shift of just two seats could throw control to the Democrats. Or the election could help Republicans solidify their power - and dethrone the top Democratic leader, Sen. Tom Daschle, D-S.D., one of this election's most endangered incumbents.

"It's nip and tuck," said Steven Smith, a political science professor at Washington University who studies the Senate. "There's probably four seats that could go in one direction and four that could go in another. . . . It's very close, very hard to predict."

Smith and other political analysts - with caution and caveats - give the GOP a slight advantage to retain control of the chamber. Thirty-four Senate races are playing out across the country this year, but most of them are safe for the incumbents. Only about nine are truly up for grabs. ...

(Excerpt) Read more at stltoday.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; daschle; electionussenate; psycholoicalwin; senateelections2004

1 posted on 10/30/2004 1:15:56 PM PDT by Tumbleweed_Connection
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To: Tumbleweed_Connection

The real question is how many seats the GOP will gain. I hope 5 or 6.


2 posted on 10/30/2004 1:18:32 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: Always Right

Maximum four. Likely three.


3 posted on 10/30/2004 1:21:13 PM PDT by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might.)
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To: Always Right

The majority of competitive Senate races are in so-called "Red States", which are strongly supportive of President Bush. With partisan lines hardening, this is hurting the 'Rat candidates.


4 posted on 10/30/2004 1:22:05 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: Tumbleweed_Connection
Senate control is at stake, eh?

Funny...it didn't look like Frist EVER had any control when he had the Republican majority these past two years. The Democrats ran roughshod over ever judicial nominee with their filibusters.

Bottom line: we need a Senate Majority Leader with a spine, dammit. Enough of this pussyfooting around already.

5 posted on 10/30/2004 1:24:13 PM PDT by Prime Choice (Laura Bush is like everyone's sweetheart. Teresa Heinz-Kerry is like everyone's mother-in-law.)
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To: The Old Hoosier

Now, there's news. "Senate control again at stake."

From Colorado, "Go Coors."

I'll drink to that!


6 posted on 10/30/2004 1:25:51 PM PDT by pokytown
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To: The Old Hoosier

Now, there's news. "Senate control again at stake."

From Colorado, "Go Coors."

I'll drink to that!


7 posted on 10/30/2004 1:26:05 PM PDT by pokytown
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To: Tumbleweed_Connection
"It's nip and tuck," said Steven Smith, a political science professor at Washington University who studies the Senate. "There's probably four seats that could go in one direction and four that could go in another. . . . It's very close, very hard to predict."

Well... I don't pay as much attention to the ones we will/could lose... but there are SIX that could go "one way". LA,FL,GA,SC,NC,SD all look promising to very promissing. Four of them now look likley with two tossups that we have a very good shot in if Bush wins. And I don't think we're going to lose more than 2-3 of our seats (again depending on the size of Bush's victory - especially in Alaska).

8 posted on 10/30/2004 1:27:29 PM PDT by IMRight ("Eye" See BS)
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To: IMRight

this guys in fantasyland . not only will we hold the senate but its gonna get ugly . i see a 3-5 seat majority


9 posted on 10/30/2004 1:40:11 PM PDT by jneesy (certified southern right wing hillbilly nutjob)
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To: The Old Hoosier; Always Right

FWIW, I'm with the higher number of piuck-ups..GA and ILL cancel each othe out..In every other race, the GOP is ether ahead, or it's very close.and the trend is running Republican this year, helped, I believe , by the OBL video. Michael Barone wrote few weeks ago that he expects there will be a much higher than ususal % of "stright ticket voting , which is good for the GOP candidates...Watching Daschle on TV, he knows he's toast..and to prove my point about straight ticket voters..Herseth is running behind for the House seat she just won..she's likeable, popular, has a SD heritage AND name recognition...yet she's gonna lose to the same guy she beat simply because W is at the head of the GOP ticket..


10 posted on 10/30/2004 1:42:42 PM PDT by ken5050
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To: ken5050

We need to maximize our pickups as in the next mid-term election, the rats will have the advantage we are enjoying right now, i.e. there will be more Repub seats up for grabs, some of them in blue states.


11 posted on 10/30/2004 1:46:47 PM PDT by winner3000
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To: Prime Choice

I've found that very frustrating as well. But the real problem lies in the fact that while Republicans are nominally in control of the Senate, there are 5-6 Senators who are leftists that happen to carry a little "R" next to their name: Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Lincoln Chaffee, Arlen Specter, Mark Hatfied, just to name a few. The end result is that the Dems have de-facto control of the Senate. This is a perfect example of why RINOs are such a corrosive and corrupting influence upon the Republicans. What does it mean to be a Republican - apart from having a little "R" next to your name?


12 posted on 10/30/2004 1:48:16 PM PDT by Bogolyubski
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To: Tumbleweed_Connection

Five or six Rino's control the senate.


13 posted on 10/30/2004 1:48:55 PM PDT by right way right
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To: winner3000

Actually, not so..if you look at the list of senate seats up in 2006..the GOP has better prospects. ....I have something bookmarked somewheres..I'll find it for you in a few sec...


14 posted on 10/30/2004 1:49:14 PM PDT by ken5050
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To: right way right; Bogolyubski

Bogo is correct..but if the gains 4-5 seats, then the RINOSD are left to twiddel their thumbs..they can't exert any influence..


15 posted on 10/30/2004 1:50:36 PM PDT by ken5050
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To: ken5050

God,I wish for a Nethercutt over Murrey victory it would be sweet indeed.


16 posted on 10/30/2004 1:53:30 PM PDT by right way right
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To: Prime Choice
I was wondering where the party was going on many issues, but realized in each case the liberals were either defying previous statements/opinions or simply making a mockery of common sense in light of continuing political losses. Often the liberals were flat out unpatriotic (Kennedy... was upset at the fact that the terrorist wars were infringing upon government spending).

Judicial selection became an issue of separation of powers, the liberals realized their loss of power and feared it not returning. They must legislate from the bench. NOTHING we could do would have prevented nomination tie ups other than appointments.

17 posted on 10/30/2004 1:57:13 PM PDT by Tumbleweed_Connection (www.whatyoucrave.com)
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To: ken5050

Best of all scenarios: a big Bush win with long coat tails. This might bring in enough Repubs to get some judges installed.


18 posted on 10/31/2004 1:41:09 PM PST by Bogolyubski
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