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Breaking to Bush? New Newsweek poll Bush 50 - Kerry 44
Newsweek & MSNBC ^ | October 30, 2004 | Marcus Mabry

Posted on 10/30/2004 8:17:27 AM PDT by dondegr8

Oct. 30 - After months of the tightest presidential election contest in recent memory, a new NEWSWEEK poll suggests momentum may be moving toward President George W. Bush. As the bitter campaign enters its final days, against the eerie backdrop of a surprise appearance by Osama Bin Laden, Bush’s lead is still within the poll’s margin of error, but it’s larger than last week. If the election were held today, 50 percent of likely voters would go for Bush and 44 percent would go for Kerry. (Ralph Nader would receive 1 percent.) That compares to a Bush lead last week among likely voters of 48 to 46 percent.

In a two-way trial heat, excluding Nader, Bush/Cheney would defeat Kerry/Edwards 51 percent to 45 percent. Last week Bush led 48 to 47 in the two-way contest.

The poll finds the race closer among registered voters. Forty-eight percent of registered voters would vote for Bush and 44 percent would vote for Kerry. One percent would vote for Nader. In a two-way race, 48 percent would vote for Bush/Cheney and 45 percent would vote for Kerry/Edwards. The worse news for Kerry: in the last lap of the race, the number of “persuadables” is falling. Now 9 percent of registered voters say they haven’t made up their minds who to vote for, down from 13 percent last week, and just six percent of likely voters say they haven’t decided.

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: election; gwb2004; kewl; newsweek; poll; polls
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Among Likely Voters Bush 50 - Kerry 44, among registered voters Bush 48 - Kerry 44. GOOD NEWS !!!
1 posted on 10/30/2004 8:17:28 AM PDT by dondegr8
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To: dondegr8

BTTT


2 posted on 10/30/2004 8:17:57 AM PDT by BenLurkin (We have low inflation and and low unemployment.)
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To: BenLurkin

Being a newbie what does BTTT stand for?


3 posted on 10/30/2004 8:19:34 AM PDT by Moconservative
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To: BenLurkin

Zogby is now officially in far left field. An outlier, if you will.


4 posted on 10/30/2004 8:19:37 AM PDT by NeonKnight
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To: Moconservative

Back to the top.


5 posted on 10/30/2004 8:20:24 AM PDT by luigi
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To: BenLurkin

Gee, nice try NYSlime, SeeBS, and RATS - Weapons thing didn't seem to work. Bush would be up 20 if the media was even close to fair.


6 posted on 10/30/2004 8:20:30 AM PDT by montereyp1
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To: NeonKnight

Schwing!


7 posted on 10/30/2004 8:20:41 AM PDT by rocklobster11
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To: dondegr8

Yesterday FOX had it 50-45. I don't know how these polls can show a 5+ point lead this late and not have it mean something.

Of course we normally have to figure in the October Surprise (3 points) and voter fraud (2 points) but maybe the dems have already shot their surprise.

I hope so. This week has been tough enough.


8 posted on 10/30/2004 8:20:53 AM PDT by WildTurkey
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To: WildTurkey

I guess Zogby will have 3 days to slowly move the poll back to Bush, so that he can say he was correct on his final poll.


9 posted on 10/30/2004 8:21:46 AM PDT by rocklobster11
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To: dondegr8

More margin of error nonsense.
If it's 50 to 44 in Bush's favor, margin of error means it could just as easily be 51 as 49.


10 posted on 10/30/2004 8:21:59 AM PDT by Genoa
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To: dondegr8

WOOHOOOOOO!!!!


11 posted on 10/30/2004 8:22:07 AM PDT by Witch-king of Angmar
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To: dondegr8

And yet this Newsweek guy (and everyone else on TV) says it's a "close, close" race. Gag.


12 posted on 10/30/2004 8:22:18 AM PDT by Gunder
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: dondegr8
Bush’s lead is still within the poll’s margin of error...,

This poll has a six percent margin of error? What'd they do, poll 52 people?

14 posted on 10/30/2004 8:22:42 AM PDT by Aeronaut (This is no ordinary time. And George W. Bush is no ordinary leader." --George Pataki)
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To: dondegr8

Fantastic news, in fact! This confirms the Fox poll from yesterday. Bush is in the lead and by a comfortable margin.

Onward to victory!


15 posted on 10/30/2004 8:22:47 AM PDT by Norman Bates
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To: Gunder

Newsweek is in the tank for the dems, and they still can't spin it for their man! Let's get ready to rumble !!!


16 posted on 10/30/2004 8:23:04 AM PDT by dondegr8 (http://dondegr8.tripod.com/pilgrim/)
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To: Moconservative

Bump to the top. Replying helps keep the thread at the top of the list of threads.


17 posted on 10/30/2004 8:23:09 AM PDT by Rocko (The BoSox win, Senator Botox® loses.)
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To: Gunder

I'm watching him right now on MSNBC; dead even he's saying.

If this was Kerry, one can only imagine what he would be saying.


18 posted on 10/30/2004 8:24:27 AM PDT by Howlin (Bush has claimed two things which Democrats believe they own by right: the presidency & the future)
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To: dondegr8

YYYEEEEEHHHHAAAAWWWWW!! This is fantastico!! GO BUSH!!


19 posted on 10/30/2004 8:24:28 AM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: Norman Bates

FOX Opinion Dynamics poll to release this afternoon. This one is also important, because it is post-OBL in part.


20 posted on 10/30/2004 8:24:51 AM PDT by mwl1
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