Posted on 10/30/2004 6:20:28 AM PDT by crushelits
Seeing other polls have the Pres. down in Ohio, I'll take it. BIG TIME
Bush will win OH.
"Tightens"? Tightens? Bush is up three points from an almost perfect tie and the race is "tightening"?
-Dan
And this does not count the "OBL Factor"
He means tightened compared to a month ago when they took their last poll. Of course, if they had looked at last week, the headline would read, "widened," as Bush has increased his lead. Fact is, it's a bigger gap than three. Try five.
The only real poll that counts is Tuesday. The evil one's(who ever it was) tape yesterday changes everything.
Ohio polls numbers are off this year and for one good reason -- the Amish, Mennonites, and Dunkard Brethren have registered to vote so they can vote for President Bush. The Amish and Dunkard Brethren do not have phones -- cannot speak for the Mennonites, but I grew up around the Dunkard Brethren in the Southwestern part of the State -- they were my neighbors and I was good friends with their children. Their votes in this election are not being factored in by pollsters.
Ohio will go Bush when a Cleveland Plain Dealer poll has him up by 3 points. The key is getting out the vote in the other 3/4's of the State which they are doing. Ohio has the BEST ground team in the Country for Bush-Cheney and a lot of those super heroes are Freepers!
This former Buckeye (now Sooner) would take it to the bank that come election day, President Bush will win Ohio. My Mom still lives in Ohio and Ohio will be BUSH COUNTRY on 2 November!
He hit one out of the park with his Columbus rally yesterday. The remark about one of the best reasons to give him four more years because it would make Laura first lady again was pretty funny too. I imagine terasuh was seething.
I thought Fox also had a poll showing Bush by three in Ohio. Has it not been officially released yet?
Can sKerry win without Ohio?
This is the poll Mort was talking about last night.
I noticed this too. One of two things has happened. Either the 3+ lead by Fox was part of the internals of its own +5 national poll (my guess), and that they didn't intend to release all the state #s, but to tease; or it was a leak of the MD poll that Fox wasn't supposed to release.
TIGHTENS????
I thought the last Mason-Dixon poll had Bush only ahead by 1.
(But I sure hope and PRAY that Karl Rove knows what he's doing here!!!)
Who knows about any poll right now? Any or all of them could be all wet. If this one shows undecideds breaking to kerry, then that's trouble. On the other hand, this was before Friday's performance by OBL which may be a big deal and may not be.
One thing is for sure. It pretty much comes down to Ohio. I've fooled with the EV calculator til I'm red/blue in the face, and it shows this: Assuming Bush takes FL (an absolute MUST), then with OH Bush is pretty much a shoo-in and without OH, Bush is likely to be toast.(Although there are a couple of long shot scenarios for Bush to still win.)
It should never have gotten to this point, but here we are. If the people want to take the advice of OBL and the NYT on who the President ought to be, then I guess they will deserve it. Of course, my grandkids won't deserve it, but that's what happens when you live in a country of 50.00001% wussies, dopes, dumbasses, and socialists.--if it turns out that way.
And then we're gonna party like it's 1699.
-Dan
I expect Kerry to be slightly up in most polls by Monday. Pollsters are now adding in the fraud factor.
Drunkards are for Bush? Now, I don't necessarily......oh, you said "Dunkard"....never mind.
Winning without Ohio isn't a long shot at all. If Bush takes Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Mexico, all states in which he's been leading for some time now, it'll more than make up for Ohio's 20 electoral votes. If he takes Minnesota, where his odds are at least 50/50, all the better.
-Dan
Bush is gonna get taken to the cleaners in PA,AGAIN. They need to recognize that PA has become NY lite. I do believe in the end Bush will prevail in Ohio with the general uptick and him being an incumbent.
Look for W pick up's in Wisconsin and New Mexico as well as a bigger victory by 100,000+ more votes in Florida.
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