Posted on 10/29/2004 4:46:57 AM PDT by IMRight
Bush's lead was as much as 9% (47-38) on Tuesday night, so it has closed a little.
But they still have Bush up +5.
Should help the TCP average a bit. :-)
ping
http://128.255.244.60/quotes/78.html
What is happening here?????
Be careful of this poll; didn't they put Bush up by eight or nine the Monday before the 2000 election?
Whoops!
And in the aided ballot (basically the way most other firms ask it), it's 50-45. And Bush has been at 50% for the last three days.
Aided ballot has Bush 50% Kerry 45%
Bush at 53% approval rating.
The numbers are good here, especially the double-digit whoopin' Bush puts on Kerry in the critical categories of Iraq/War on Terror/Strong leader. The Dems and MSM have thrown everything and the kitchen sink at Bush and he's still standing strong with just four days to go.
http://www.nationalreview.com/nrof_luskin/luskin200410181132.asp
Who’s Behind the Bush-Futures Attacks?
Zogby poll showing it tightening, and the mainstream media doing a 24/7 Bash Bush-a-thon.
Don't forget the dirty DUI trick before election last year.
Excellent!!!!!!!!!
Right now if I were a trader, I'd be looking to arbitrage the 2 contracts for a price less than 100.
This poll has been very accurate since 1992.
Go to their website on history of the poll.
They had Bush by two in last poll in 2000.
Very, very good poll!!!
History of this poll's predictions from 1992 through 2000.
http://www.tarrance.com/files/BG_Poll_%20Vote_Projections.pdf
It's a one night bump from Zogby. He's the same guy who indicated Bush had no chance to win Michigan. Two weeks ago he had Bush down by 10 in Michigan, now he's got Bush up by 2 in Michigan. I wonder if Michigan's in play now Mr. Zogby? There are too many blue states in trouble for Kerry: Hawaii, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania Bush +2, NJ, etc. Rumor of a major poll will come out saying Bush is only down by 7 in California. Gore and Cheney are actually going to Hawaii to campaign. Bush leads by one in Hawaii. Something good for Bush is going on nationally for this to be happening.
Bush 65%, Kerry 37%
That's excellent news. They were right on every year.
They would have been perfect in 2000 if we had our GOTV campaign, that we have this year.
If we're up 3-4 points going into Tuesday in this poll, I feel great about our chances.
Interesting, I stand corrected. What confuses me about Zogby is that he shows Kerry up in Colorado (ain't gonna happen) and by 3 in Ohio while Bush up in MI by 2, when Ohio is generally 5-7 points more Republican than the other industrial states.
Bush Kerry Nader Other Bush advantage
17-Oct 45 40 1 15 5
18-Oct 45 40 1 14 5
19-Oct 46 38 1 16 8
20-Oct 44 40 1 14 4
21-Oct 45 40 1 14 5
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