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Late Deciding Voters Prefer Bush (71% Decided Before Fall Campaign)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 26, 2004

Posted on 10/26/2004 11:15:34 AM PDT by RWR8189

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To: RWR8189
If we had a Senate candidate that had a serious chance to win we might have made it a good race in IL.

Seems we never really had one --especially the way Ba-rock-star has been hyped. I seriously doubt the Trib reporters even needed to dig into anyone's divoces....

I think the turnout will surprise you, though.

41 posted on 10/26/2004 2:05:37 PM PDT by unspun (RU working your precinct, churchmembers, etc. 4 good votes? | Not "Unspun w/ AnnaZ" but I appreciate)
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To: b4its2late
Not according to John Zogby who was on with Sean Hannity yesterday. He said the opposite.

Out of curiousity, did he say so generally, or were his remarks specific to a study of this election season?

42 posted on 10/26/2004 3:01:04 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: truthandlife
I believe he was closest during the 2000 election because he knew (from his brother) the amount of vote fraud the Dems would have.

Or by chance. His state-by-state- results were all over the place. Only his aggregate was accurate.

43 posted on 10/26/2004 3:05:42 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: js1138
pollsters are just guessing about who will vote and who won't.

This is clearly correct. Even those who end up right, will likely have done so at least partly by accident - multiple errors in differing directions happening to hit the right number.

44 posted on 10/26/2004 3:07:36 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: RightthinkinAmerican
thought he said that USUALLY the late voters go for the challenger, but this election may be different. I may have heard wrong, but that's the way I thought he put


That applies to Congressional and local races. The President race usually goes the other way. Late Decider's tend to stick with what they know rather then chance an unknown.
45 posted on 10/26/2004 3:27:26 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
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To: hsmomx3

was channel surfing this morning only to hear Timmy Russert telling Katie that of all those who just registered to vote 50% favored Kerry to 19% who said they would vote for Bush. He went on to say that this was not good news for the President.



There is NO way for Russert to know this. I think you must of mis-heard him.


46 posted on 10/26/2004 3:30:50 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
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To: b4its2late
President's numbers not good for incumbent.

Oh I don't know about that. Reagan won in 1980 with only 51.6%, Clinton's re-election in 1996 was won with only 49.9%. I think Bush's numbers look good. An axe murderer running as a dim would garner at least 40% - 45%.

47 posted on 10/26/2004 3:36:33 PM PDT by AmusedBystander
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To: dc-zoo

Paula Zahn was trying to talk two undecided from Bush to Kerry last night on her show -- not much luck!


48 posted on 10/26/2004 3:55:35 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: lepton
Hey lep.

Personally, they sounded general, the basic CYA mode. Though he made it a point to say that for an incumbent President, the numbers weren't good. I'm taking it all with a grain of salt....

49 posted on 10/26/2004 7:26:34 PM PDT by b4its2late (John John Kerry Edwards change positions more often than a Nevada prostitute!!!)
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