Posted on 10/26/2004 5:10:15 AM PDT by neutrality
WISCONSIN
Bush 49% Kerry 45%
Bush 49% Kerry 44% Nader 1%
FLORIDA
Bush 49% Kerry 48%
Bush 49% Kerry 47% Nader 1%
Martinez 48% Castor 46%
OHIO
Bush 48% Kerry 47%
Bush 47% Kerry 45% Others 1%
I think the GOP vote is being undercounted so I expect at least 5% higher then the polls have so far.
Kerry is going to drop quickly this week.
Add about 1-2 to each of those Bush numbers and I think you've got it about right. Despite the handwringing, this election has been over for two weeks, and certainly the Kerry camp knows it.
You are exactly right.
Excellent, go Bush.
Both FL and OH are BIG drops for Bush from the previous SV poll, and WI is a 1% drop for Bush from the previous SV poll.
Too close for comfort, but I'd rather be in W's shoes right now than Kerrys.
I'm in a deep depression worried Bush will not win. Are you considering the Democrats cheating? Why are you guys so confident we will win? I need a confidence boost.
This particular poll completely covered the weekend. Did the previous poll do the same? Weekend polls strongly favor Kerry.
Err, actually WI is the same as the previous SV poll.
However, FL and OH are drops in Bush's leads from the previous SV poll.
And, of course, totally out of line with the BIG leads Zogby is showing. We'll win OH by more than we did in 2000. You guys handle your states.
Love the idea, but Senator McCain can do the job. Senator Murkowski needs to rally swing and independent voters, and soft Republicans to her, and away from Knowles. McCain, who is waltzing to re-election, can do the trick. I do believe that, in the end, she will be re-elected in any case. Even if she were ten points behind in the polls (which she isn't), she could win because of Republican strength in Alaska. Plus: A Bush victory in the Presidential could depress Democrat turnout in Alaska.
Two things. 1. The three day rolling averages released yesterday including two days of weekend which tend not to be that favorable to us by a point or two. 2. We are going to be spending 30 days weeding out the fraudulent votes in Ohio, Florida and maybe a few others. We will have no idea how many people actually voted legally for quite a while. And considering that we have 9% of the population in some of these battleground states already casting votes, we may or may not even know whether these polls are representing just those that haven't voted yet or not. Polling may be off farther in this election than any one in history.
Worrying is like a rocking chair, sure it passes the time, but it doesn't get you anywhere.
What have you done for GOTV? Have you committed your time and energy to getting out the vote for Bush. Or are you just lurking on this site and reading and posting. Don't complain and wail, "I'm worried" unless you have given hours to getting out the vote.
GET OFF THIS SITE AND DO YOUR PART FOR BUSH, STOP WORRYING AND SPEND THE TIME WITH GOTV.
It annoys me, all these people who spend so much time on this site, time they could be spending on GOTV.
GOTV
Peace, be still. Bush will win this election because not all the mechinations of the Democrat Fraud Machine can overcome the power of Almighty God, who sets up kingdoms and takes them down again at his good pleasure. He installs kings and princes to accomplish his eternal will. If Kerry wins it means that it is not God's will. But do not let this seemingly fatalistic proclamation keep you from the polls. I for one am happy to be an instrument of God's will, whether he wills that I help him accomplish his goals on earth, or whether it is his bidding for me to be on the wrong side in order to cause me to repent in some way.
Dr: Sorry for the seemingly incessant pings lately but I am seeing more and more people that can use your good encouragement.
Peace. Russell in Norfolk VA
I know that Alaska is a GOP state, but Tony Knowles was a VERY popular democrat governor.
The negative publicity on the way she got the job doesn't help.
Zogby's updated numbers from last night showed some tightening. Bush now up 46-45 in Ohio, 48-47 in Florida and 48-46 in Wisconsin.
OH and FL too close for my liking
I wish we had better numbers! This is a republican polling firm. But at least we are up.
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