Posted on 10/25/2004 2:01:39 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Smartest man in politics, bar none. IMO
If there's a break, it'll come in the last two or three days before the election. Until then it looks like a week long case of PEA disorder.
A very good post. This fellow is one of the most prescient analysts out there. He suggests that it's likely that trends are and will be breaking our way. Four more years.
Don't forget all the polls called it a tight race for John Howard earlier this month. One even predicted a victory for his opponent. We all know how the election turned out in Australia.
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This Florida thing is kind of puzzling like your Oz example. Surely Bush should have that one in the bag. You'd think.
The mainstream media is messing around with our heads trying to drive GOP turnout DOWN. Let's send em a message they'll remember for the nexr four years.
LOL! Well this is one time you wont need to take the Viagra. If the missus has taken it, it may be a long while before you're posting on FR again.
Is the Viagra a Hungarian Cold War motor vehicle similar to the East German Trabant ?
What? There's going to be an election? When? O_o
(Just kidding!)
Add to that the Gray Davis Recall, goldstategop.
Barone is a very sharp analyst.
Jack.
We'll find out in a day and a week, won't we? After that, I'm relieved its over for another four years.
Could be they also want to make sure every penny in both coffers are spent before all is said & done. While we all think about where it's coming from, we don't think about where much of it is going.
One thing I've heard the media is complaining how costly the election is. This from the same folks who complain we're not spending enough on entitlements.
Get rid of 527s and Campaign Reform. It's been an unmitigated disaster so far.
Have both parties create websites for donations. Make donations with either checks or credit cards. Post your name and address. Keep contributions within CONUS borders. No money from outsiders.
Have the FBI monitor the amounts to keep it legal.
What's the big deal?
Jack.
We know there were at least 2.9 million voters for whom Al (Earth in the Balance) Gore was not green enough. They could not vote for Gore or Bush so they voted for Nader. With Nader off the ballot in many states, and getting next to no publicity on his issues, the protest vote will mostly say home. Those voters are 3 of the 4 percent who are undecided voters.
This election will be won by turn out. It is obvious that Democrats are having trouble with its base. Kerry has flipped and flopped and the media in an attempt to help Kerry have presented him as for more conservative than he is. The Kerry campaign has gone to great lengths to present him as a strong warrior, who would win the war that Quote Bush is losing. That will win few if any Bush voters, but it will drive away Democratic base.
So Kerry with his flip flop campaign has managed to cool the passions of the left. They are where they were in May of this year. They hate Bush and are indifferent to Kerry. They are at the anybody but Bush stage.
Jonathon Rugman is a British ITN reporter covering this election for the most popular network in Britain.
He told me his networks polling showed Americans have always gone to the polls to vote FOR someone. He told me a month ago, that unless Kerry found a reason to vote for him, that resonated with voters, the democratic base turn out would likely be much lower than in 2000.
The fact that Kerry and all his helpers are still trying to win the black vote, tells us they are in some degree of trouble.
But if bush wins this election 52 to 47, then it will be because the Democratic base did not vote in the numbers required to win. It also will require that the Republican base turn out in 2000 like numbers.
One final note
I agree..when this guy is on Fox, I watch and listen.
Whats the weather forcast for election day?
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