It's interesting how Zogby and WPO have seemed to move in reverse... I wonder if there is something in the methodology... Zogby now looks very good for Bush, better than this poll.. whereas WPO consistently looked better than Zogby a few weeks ago
anybody have thoughts?
1. The're playing with us, attempting to show a tight race so they have something to report.
2. They aren't playing with us, and the different "weighing" methodologies used by each pollster produces divergent results.
2 things:
1. the difference could merely be statistical. Given the MOEs in each poll, they are pretty close to each other.
2. Zogby and WP are not reverse of each other. Zogby is showing Bush slowly gaining, while the WP shows a tied race. The opposite of Zogby would be a Kerry lead which the WP does not show.
My thoughts are This:
Bush is attacking kerry in states that Gore owned in 00
Kerry is defending those states
That tells you every thing you need to know. The wheels are coming off of the Kerry Campaign. Look at the campaign stops not Gallup or Rassumssen.
"It's interesting how Zogby and WPO have seemed to move in reverse... I wonder if there is something in the methodology... Zogby now looks very good for Bush, better than this poll.. whereas WPO consistently looked better than Zogby a few weeks ago"
Any idea?
anybody have thoughts?
Yes. These pollsters remind me of a silly little terrier we adopted - always chasing it's tail . . .
Eye of the beholder? You choose which ones you like at any given time period?