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Keep an eye on what states they campaign in
National Review Online ^ | 10/14/2004 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 10/14/2004 9:53:57 PM PDT by Utah Girl

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To: Utah Girl
A little football analogy here for you all.


This like being in the 4th quarter in a football game with 4 minutes to go and we are winning 34-31. We (Bush) have driven down half the field with ease after a Kerry TD, running 5 yards here and a short pass play there with the defense (Kerry) not being able to stop us. Right now Bush is on Kerry's side of the field at the 45 yard line and the goal of the offense is to run as much of that 4 minutes off the clock before scoring the insurance TD.
21 posted on 10/14/2004 10:15:49 PM PDT by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: Utah Girl

The President put a lot on the line in 2002 by campaigning hard in places like Minnesota. I remember some of the talking heads saying they underestimated his impact and ability to rally the vote. I think they may be doing it again.


22 posted on 10/14/2004 10:16:44 PM PDT by Dolphy (It's not a plan, it's an echo.)
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To: no dems

I'm referring to your post #7.


23 posted on 10/14/2004 10:16:49 PM PDT by no dems (Hey, hey. Ho Ho. Kerry sign Form 1 - 8 - 0.)
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To: Utah Girl
I predict an unprecedented uprising of the religious right on election day who will vote early to re-elect Pres. Bush. Especially true in the south, but also in large part in all other areas except the northeast (and there might be some surprises even there.)

This will be a chance, at the polls, for the great and mostly unheard silent majority to voice their sentiments in favor of God, family and country.

24 posted on 10/14/2004 10:16:54 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: HighlyOpinionated

LOL. Good points. It is actually kind of fun to be the state with the largest margin of victory for the Republican. And in 1992, it was even better because Clinton was THIRD in the votes after Bush and Perot.


25 posted on 10/14/2004 10:17:02 PM PDT by Utah Girl
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To: varina davis

Long time no see. :) I sure plan on voting early before I go to work. And I'm getting off work early for an election night party.


26 posted on 10/14/2004 10:18:03 PM PDT by Utah Girl
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To: The South Texan

I like your football analogy. Very good. And we're all up in the stands screaming "We had a 10 point lead, but you let them out of the bag to score a touchdown."


27 posted on 10/14/2004 10:19:45 PM PDT by Utah Girl
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To: Jose Roberto
I will never get tired of saying that we are moving in the right direction. The MSM is in panic trying to slow down Bush because last night Kerry squandered his last chance to knock out Bush. If Bush were so unpopular as the Kerryites are saying, how come he is still ahead in most polls?

The media is being so overly blatant, more so than usual, in attempting to slant the election to Kerry, it's infuriating. If they succeed, that will be a very, very, very bad thing, for they will learn that their wayward practices work, and will become even more audacious (if that's even possible) in future elections.

And I agree with you about the debates--while it's maddening that the media wastes no time in proclaiming Kerry the winner in all three and mopping the floor with W, the president should be behind Kerry by so many points, but he's not. Are we to believe that these people thought Kerry was excellent, but still aren't voting for him? Well, perhaps that's so, for W has that "personal connection" quality. Clinton had it, so did Reagan. Kerry doesn't. I believe that's a big factor in many people being reluctant to leave him, when the MSM is screaming for them to flock to Kerry.

28 posted on 10/14/2004 10:19:53 PM PDT by gop_gene
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To: Utah Girl

Exactly! Debate # 1 was Kerry's last TD, I hope.


29 posted on 10/14/2004 10:21:29 PM PDT by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: republicandiva

You have the support & prayers of many, many others of us who are outside the battleground states. You will need to do all you can & more so take heart you have our deepest gratitude and appreciation for making Wisconsin a potential if not likely win for W on the march to freedom and victory in 2004 :) Thanks!


30 posted on 10/14/2004 10:22:59 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: Jose Roberto
Only 18 more days to Kerry's Waterloo.

From your lips to God's ear, compadre.

31 posted on 10/14/2004 10:23:12 PM PDT by T. Buzzard Trueblood (Behind every terrorist, there's a tyrant with a checkbook.)
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To: Utah Girl

This is the best, most accurate & comprehensive stuff Geraghty has written in days if not weeks. Looks like Hugh's message got through and the folks at NR took their eyes off their hands wringing to take a look at what's actually going on out there and it says a lot. Recall where the candidates spent their final hours in 2000 and how that foretold the state of that election - Bush spent the day there while Gore flew in late that night, before polls opened, for a last ditch effort on the winds of their DUI smear.


32 posted on 10/14/2004 10:25:07 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: Dolphy
The President put a lot on the line in 2002 by campaigning hard in places like Minnesota. I remember some of the talking heads saying they underestimated his impact and ability to rally the vote. I think they may be doing it again.

I remember how the pundits were spouting that this was not a very good idea, for W was putting his prestige on the line, and should the gop lose seats, it would be embarassing, a reflection upon him since he participated in the campaigns. It's good that we have over 2 weeks left before election day, W is a terrific campaigner, a natural.

33 posted on 10/14/2004 10:25:33 PM PDT by gop_gene
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To: Steven W.

"there" meaning Florida :)


34 posted on 10/14/2004 10:25:45 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: Utah Girl

I think Kerry must be having his polls done by Zogby

What is it with guys named John?


35 posted on 10/14/2004 10:27:23 PM PDT by skaterboy
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To: gop_gene

Pollsters have also noted that the three weeks before an election is CRITICAL for an incumbent & the mood that prevails often results in movement to the incumbent - the only exception being Reagan's taking extra advantage of a late debate (days before the election) and Dick Morris' recent worries to the effect that peace isn't necessarily in the president's interests. I beg to differ with that thinking and hope that positive aspects of our current world + economic situation is appreciated by the voters with a righteous realization that John Kerry will get us killed.


36 posted on 10/14/2004 10:28:42 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: no dems

Tough Road if we lose Ohio?

Win WI and IA or NM problem solved


37 posted on 10/14/2004 10:29:02 PM PDT by skaterboy
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To: varina davis

I think this is true in this election. Social issues are motivating evangelicals and catholics like never before. The evidence is anecdotal but it's possible that there is a silent tidal wave building. It won't register on the polls (like the fraud) because I think it involves people who have registered previously but haven't been bothering to vote. It may just wipe out all the fraud margins. I hope this is the case anyway.


38 posted on 10/14/2004 10:29:07 PM PDT by plushaye (President Bush - Four more years! Thanks Swifties.)
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To: skaterboy

"Tough Road if we lose Ohio?

Win WI and IA or NM problem solved"

I think so too.
OH = 20
WI (10) + IA (7) = 17
Do we even need the additional 3 EV's due to the extra from apportionment after 2000 in Bush states? Or add NM (5) to make up for OH loss.



39 posted on 10/14/2004 10:32:56 PM PDT by plushaye (President Bush - Four more years! Thanks Swifties.)
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To: Utah Girl

Lets remember something else

REMEMBER ALL THE MONEY THE KERRY PEOPLE WERE RAISING? 30MILLION IN A MONTH OR SOME OTHER CRAP?
NEXT THING YOU KNOW THEY PULLING ADS ALL OVER TO SAVE MONEY


40 posted on 10/14/2004 10:36:10 PM PDT by skaterboy
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