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Bush Senior Strategist Matthew Dowd talks about the polls.
Hugh Hewitt's website ^ | 10/12/04 | Hugh Hewitt

Posted on 10/12/2004 9:05:47 PM PDT by WarrenC

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Interesting discussion about polls' "internals" and some fun stuff from Hewitt's site
1 posted on 10/12/2004 9:05:48 PM PDT by WarrenC
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To: WarrenC
"Bush wins 40 states. Maybe more."

Not a chance in hell.

2 posted on 10/12/2004 9:07:08 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: WarrenC

I hope President Bush's team already has the list.


3 posted on 10/12/2004 9:07:20 PM PDT by Enterprise (The left hates the Constitution. Islamic Fascism hates America. Natural allies.)
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To: WarrenC

Interesting. I'm hoping this election turns out like 2002 when we were pleasantly surprised at the pickup in the Senate by the Republicans. The polls were all gloom and doom, and then the wins came.

I think the election will be close, which is troubling since there is massive fraud going on. Three more weeks....


4 posted on 10/12/2004 9:09:16 PM PDT by Utah Girl
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To: WarrenC

You're sniffing glue pal.


5 posted on 10/12/2004 9:09:43 PM PDT by zarf (Remember the Gator Flop!!)
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To: zarf

Take your obnoxious post and stick it in your ear.


6 posted on 10/12/2004 9:12:44 PM PDT by WarrenC
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To: WarrenC; All
Can anyone explain this to me? Bush significantly leads or is tied on every issue in this poll yet Kerry is getting all this support in this poll? This means a significant fraction of Kerry's supporters are saying "Yes, Bush is more Honest, a Better leader, more focused etc etc etc but I am voting for Kerry"? I just cannot logically get my mind around how the Internals say one thing and the totals say the exact opposite?
7 posted on 10/12/2004 9:14:15 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
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To: CatOwner

hell.....isnt that another word for DU ?


8 posted on 10/12/2004 9:16:44 PM PDT by kingattax (FreeRepublic leads...others follow)
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To: WarrenC
Take your obnoxious post and stick it in your ear.

http://www.medicinenet.com/script/main/art.asp?articlekey=10550

9 posted on 10/12/2004 9:17:49 PM PDT by zarf (Remember the Gator Flop!!)
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To: kingattax
"hell.....isnt that another word for DU ?"

Well, if you are going with the literal meaning, I would have to agree with you. But in my statement, it means there are at least 11 states that will vote for Kerry, including the one I live in. Kerry will get at least 200 EVs. I just hope that the Bush campaign is going to spend $100,000,000+ in ads the last few weeks, otherwise, Kerry may gain enough momentum to hit 270 EVs.

10 posted on 10/12/2004 9:20:41 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: MNJohnnie
To me it means one of two things or maybe some of both.

Either people are lying about to the pollsters or the pollsters or "adjusting" the numbers. Many polls adjust their numbers in order to "balance" for various factors. Usually this means moving some votes over to Kerry's side.

Based on several polls, I'm thinking that Democrats are now identifying themselves as Republicans/conservatives but claiming they're going to vote for Kerry. (Heck, the DNC is sending out orders to screw with polls as much as possible.) A poll I saw a few days ago said that 20% of "conservatives" were going to vote for Kerry. Maybe the 1% that make up the Buchananites will just to try and spite Bush, but no way it is near 20%.

11 posted on 10/12/2004 9:26:23 PM PDT by COEXERJ145
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To: WarrenC

I tried to call in to Hugh Hewitt with my contributions but the lines were jammed. They are...

The Little Red Hen vs. Chicken Little

kicking ass vs. kissing ass


12 posted on 10/12/2004 9:28:35 PM PDT by Hugin
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To: WarrenC
As a Bush/Cheney '04 billboard in my neighborood says,

"Boots or flip-flops?"

13 posted on 10/12/2004 9:29:29 PM PDT by Palmetto
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To: COEXERJ145
"Based on several polls, I'm thinking that Democrats are now identifying themselves as Republicans/conservatives but claiming they're going to vote for Kerry."

I wonder if there is any way for these pollsters to prove that who they are talking to belongs to the political party they state? If the RATs are indeed doing this, then Bush could very well be comfortably in the lead.

14 posted on 10/12/2004 9:30:46 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: COEXERJ145

I think the poll you're referring to was the USA Today/Gallup poll which had some curious data. It had 24% of the conservatives voting for Kerry, and that Bush only had a 5 point lead overall in the southern states. What a boatload of crap! That's why I'm telling all of you that if you obsess over every single poll out there it's gonna drive you crazy.


15 posted on 10/12/2004 9:33:47 PM PDT by midftfan
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To: midftfan; Torie

It was even more curious than that. Kerry led with those with post graduate degrees. Bush had a lead in every other category of education and Bush was behind overall by a point. Lot of pinheads in that poll. :-}


16 posted on 10/12/2004 9:36:34 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Always ask yourself, does this pass the Global Test?)
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To: midftfan; Torie

It was even more curious than that. Kerry led with those with post graduate degrees. Bush had a lead in every other category of education and Bush was behind overall by a point. Lot of pinheads in that poll. :-}


17 posted on 10/12/2004 9:36:58 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Always ask yourself, does this pass the Global Test?)
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To: midftfan
That's why I'm telling all of you that if you obsess over every single poll out there it's gonna drive you crazy.

Amen to that. Poll fatigue is getting bad.

18 posted on 10/12/2004 9:40:09 PM PDT by COEXERJ145
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To: midftfan
Yeah, it was the Gallup poll. I just couldn't remember which one. Too many dang polls to keep track of lately.

Not only do I think Gallup is playing with their numbers a bit, probably in response to the Moveon.org attack, but like I said earlier, Rats are claiming to be Republican/Conservative and then saying they're going to vote for Kerry.

19 posted on 10/12/2004 9:43:03 PM PDT by COEXERJ145
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To: jwalsh07

Pinheads like articulate lawyer types who seem to absorb and thrive on detail. They also don't like violence or bible toting types much. Just why Kerry'a pathological lying doesn't bother them much I am not sure. Maybe it is relativism gone bad. Or maybe because they think a liar is better than a dunce, or like my brother, both a dunce and as much as a liar as Kerry. Or maybe a disproportionate number of them have their heads up their asses, although you will never catch me subscribing to that theory, in public at least. It's too populist and too well whatever, for me to go there.


20 posted on 10/12/2004 9:44:31 PM PDT by Torie
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