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ABC/WP Daily Tracking: 50-47
Washington Post ^ | 10/12/2004 | Wash Post

Posted on 10/12/2004 2:07:48 PM PDT by jbloedow

Bush and Cheney 50% Kerry and Edwards 47% No Opinion: 2%

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: abcnews; abcnewswp; bush; kerry; polls; post
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WP daily tracking poll has 50-47 for Bush (vs. 51-45 yesterday)
1 posted on 10/12/2004 2:07:48 PM PDT by jbloedow
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To: jbloedow

2 posted on 10/12/2004 2:08:22 PM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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To: jbloedow

His lead was just cut in half -- and in a single day. Rasmussen also showed Bush losing most of his lead. What happened to help Kerry in the last day or so? Or is this just statistical noise?


3 posted on 10/12/2004 2:08:40 PM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: Bonaventure

Meanwhile, Bush GAINED 3 points in the Zogby poll today.


4 posted on 10/12/2004 2:09:33 PM PDT by ambrose (http://www.swiftvets.com)
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To: Bonaventure

Some sort of weekday/weekend effect?


5 posted on 10/12/2004 2:09:38 PM PDT by TFine80 (DK'S)
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To: jbloedow
"No Opinion: 2%"

proof that this is not a poll of likely voters.

6 posted on 10/12/2004 2:09:41 PM PDT by proust
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To: Bonaventure

When both polls (rastrak and wapotrak) shadow each other so closely, I presume it is NOT noise.


7 posted on 10/12/2004 2:09:46 PM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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To: Bonaventure

noise


8 posted on 10/12/2004 2:09:55 PM PDT by Ravi (Jai Jindal)
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To: Bonaventure

I'm not worrying too much. The Zogby poll shows the opposite. Kerry lost 3 points and Bush gained one point. And anyways, Bush is leading in the WaPo/ABC poll, the ICR poll and the CBS poll.


9 posted on 10/12/2004 2:10:39 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: ambrose

ping


10 posted on 10/12/2004 2:10:52 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: Petronski

I can't see any reason for movement toward Kerry, unless the Gallup poll has energized Kerry's base and pushed more of his people into the "likely voter" column.


11 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:00 PM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: jbloedow

cooked. ;=)


12 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:01 PM PDT by DaveMSmith (One Day at A Time || Blue Angel in PJs)
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To: ambrose

sorry, I didn't see you in here already.


13 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:14 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: TFine80

Friday dropped off, now it's mostly Sat. and Sun.


14 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:21 PM PDT by RockinRight (John Kerry is the wrong candidate, for the wrong country, at the wrong time)
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To: jbloedow

50% works for me.


15 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:39 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.)
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To: jbloedow
Interesting tidbit from Jay Cost ("the Horserace blog"): Edwards is scheduled for two trips to OREGON, and Bush is going to OREGON next week!

Apparently, neither campaign thinks Oregon is out of play.

16 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:42 PM PDT by LS
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To: Bonaventure

I can't see any reason for movement to Kerry either, but I can barely recognize any reason to vote for him at all.


17 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:45 PM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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To: Bonaventure
Put it down to noise. I don't see the electorate jumping around that much. Besides, Bush has had a pretty good week. There could be a problem with the sampling, for instance. However, I believe that Bush + 4 is about where the race stands. Just a hunch, of course.

Be Seeing You,

Chris

18 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:48 PM PDT by section9 (Major Motoko Kusanagi says, "Jesus is Coming. Everybody look busy...")
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To: Petronski

This is definetley a weekend poll. By tomorrow rasmussen and this poll will have an uptic


19 posted on 10/12/2004 2:11:52 PM PDT by slowhand520
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To: Petronski

Bush's support is 50-51% and Kerry's is 45-47%. That is probably what the final popular vote will be, IMO.


20 posted on 10/12/2004 2:13:44 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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