It's hard to believe would oversample Dems that much.
More likely is that these people watched the media spin the 2d debate into a Kerry victory. People believe what they are told.
Even the ABC "instapoll" (instapolls BTW are totally worthless) showed Kerry only winning the debate by 3%.
The horserace numbers are still tied, 48-48 registered, 49-48 Kerry ahead by one.
No problem. Only one poll matters, November 2, 2004.
I myself am getting sick of the polls, and I consider myself a poll junkie :) But I do think you have a point, AND I noticed when looking at RealClearPolitics.com that this same CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll has NEVER been conducted just on 2 days. It appears the general approach prior was to poll Friday-Sunday. So that doesn't make sense to me, makes me question consistency of result.
What were the poll numbers in Australia before Howard's victory?
It seems like Republican numbers are usually understated in the polls before national elections (2000 Gore vs. Bush being an exception).
This poll is psyops in full throttle.
Think your view of the poll representing more than 39% RATS or less than 35% Republican is an accurate!
The second poll is mostly of people that did not see the debate. How could Kerry receive all these votes!
Where is the Newsweak Poll this week???? Maybe they didn't like the results?
Exactly what I figured.
I noticed the same thing. USA Today cooked the numbers.
Your Right,these gallop polls always seem to favor the democrats. sometimes i think these polls are only taken in the Liberal Capital of the World: MASSACHUSETTS!!!
However accurate these polls are, Bush has work to do. At the next debate, he absolutely must score on these three issues: Kerry's liberal voting record; his absences from votes and committee meetings; the lie in Kerry's tax pledge, as noted in other discussions in this forum.
Remember, it is a weekend poll, which has more Dems in the sample
Your right it seems like these polls always favor the Democrats. Sometimes i think these polls are taken in the LIBERAL capital of the World: MASSACHUSETTS
I don't think that the debates create huge swings in polling. Several months ago I posted that the price of gasoline will have the most significant impact on the election.
I'm afraid to say that with the rise in gas prices recently, many of the sheeple are now trending toward Kerry as unfair as that may be.