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Polling News for Wednesday
The Baby Seal Club ^ | 10-06-2004 | Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Posted on 10/06/2004 1:16:18 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy

More post-debate polling continues to come in, and for the first time in a long while, they are not really all that positive for President Bush. I think many conservatives and Republicans, in an effort to try to boost morale, are downplaying the effect the debate last Thursday really had. It didn't help, and only hurt, President Bush. That is reality, I'm sorry to say. I'm certainly not trying to hurt morale among those of us on the Right, but at the same time, we cannot act or know what to do if we pump ourselves up with an artificial view of the way the polls are going. I'm merely being pragmatic, so please don't email me nasty letters condemning me for "not playing ball". I don't play ball, I report what's going on and give the analysis as I see it from what I consider to be a pragmatic, no-nonsense point of view. If these numbers below are going to do anything, it ought to be make us pull out the stops and get into action at the grass roots level. If we want to see sanity remain in the White House, then we need to get busy doing everything we can by email, by word of mouth, by every means available, to get out the vote and turn it towards Bush. I've said it before, back when the polls looked to be rocketing for Bush - don't get overconfident. Overconfidence can lead to disillusionment when things change for the worse, as they have, and that is far worse than any polling numbers. We should always fight like were ten points behind. This being said, let us go on to today's news....

(Excerpt) Read more at studytoanswer.net ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; election; kerry; polls; states
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Not so rosy today, sorry to break the news. :(
1 posted on 10/06/2004 1:16:20 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Just keeps us from being complacent.


2 posted on 10/06/2004 1:17:47 PM PDT by Blogger (The only difference between Terry McAuliffe and Michael Moore is about 300 pounds)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

The only thing a baby seal is good for is the fur . That has MY " Seal of Approval ""

TROLL!!!!


3 posted on 10/06/2004 1:19:32 PM PDT by Renegade
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Yet no mention of DNC e-mails telling supporters to DUpe the polls.


4 posted on 10/06/2004 1:20:02 PM PDT by cripplecreek (The economy won't matter if you're dead.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Thanks for the report. Sometimes a little honesty is needed. State polls follow the national polls... It's clear that Bush needs to turn it around starting Friday...


5 posted on 10/06/2004 1:20:23 PM PDT by Gustafm1000
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To: Renegade

Doesn't appear to be a troll. Pretty decent blog.


6 posted on 10/06/2004 1:20:57 PM PDT by LikeLight (__________________________)
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To: Blogger

Uh, some of this is old news. Omits more positive results. Do not waver. Perservere.


7 posted on 10/06/2004 1:21:13 PM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: cripplecreek

"Yet no mention of DNC e-mails telling supporters to DUpe the polls."

That's going to be a separate blog entry later this afternoon.


8 posted on 10/06/2004 1:21:13 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Renegade

"TROLL!!!!"

Dost thou hate me, because I tell thee the truth?


9 posted on 10/06/2004 1:22:07 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Gustafm1000

GWB hit a bump over the weekend. These results reflect that. I believe we have worked through the rough spot already.


10 posted on 10/06/2004 1:22:39 PM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Not about to. Waver that is.


11 posted on 10/06/2004 1:23:06 PM PDT by Blogger (The only difference between Terry McAuliffe and Michael Moore is about 300 pounds)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

I chose to keep my powder dry for a reason. I'll be looking forward to it.


12 posted on 10/06/2004 1:23:38 PM PDT by cripplecreek (The economy won't matter if you're dead.)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

"GWB hit a bump over the weekend. These results reflect that. I believe we have worked through the rough spot already."

I think you're right about that. The combination of the upcoming Afghan elections, the tarring Cheney gave to John-boy last night, and the fact that Bush has been hot on the stump since Friday will hopefully turn some of the debate results around. That speech Bush gave in Wilkes-Barre was AWESOME.


13 posted on 10/06/2004 1:24:56 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Yashcheritsiy

There is a new Iowa poll that shows Bush up by 3.


14 posted on 10/06/2004 1:25:48 PM PDT by KJacob (All polls are equal: Some more equal than others.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Kerry looked better than Bush, and the MSM trumped him up, and it's certain he has benfited in the short term from this. However, it's not so ceratin that Bush was only hurt and not helped.

Kerry said a bunch of stipid things. Global test. Iranian nuclear fuel. Bilateral North Korean talks. Summits.

Plus he contradicted himself within the span of 90 minutes, while saying he has been consistent. He called Iraq a mistake and not a mistake; Saddam a threat and not a threat. The next day he called Bush a liar (through his ads) after having just said that he didn't do that.

Bush OTOH, while far from impressive in terms of style, and missing opporortunities to knock Kerry out, didn't deviate in any way from what his positions have been. Bush/Cheyney have been attacking Kerry non-stop since the debate, and the first debate gave Cheyney material to beat up on Edwards last night. Bush will have a lot of material to work with on Friday.

It will take a while to see what the long term effect is.


15 posted on 10/06/2004 1:26:27 PM PDT by TomEwall
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Time for PEP RALLY.....

GIVE ME A.............. G-E-O-R-G-E W BUSH

He is our man. Get to work freepers... we have to write letters call editors... get yard signs.... Get PROACTIVE!


16 posted on 10/06/2004 1:26:37 PM PDT by JFC
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Check the source of the article !


17 posted on 10/06/2004 1:28:57 PM PDT by Renegade
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Relax guys, ABC news poll yesterday had Bush up by 6, Pew poll up by 5 the day before, today the ICR poll (International Communications Research poll) Bush up by 7.

I would suggest that those of you falling prey to the MSM psychological ops campaign, turn the TV off for a while.


18 posted on 10/06/2004 1:32:49 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: All

Don't forget the ICR national poll with Bush up by 7


19 posted on 10/06/2004 1:33:14 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: conservativepoet

"Relax guys, ABC news poll yesterday had Bush up by 6, Pew poll up by 5 the day before, today the ICR poll (International Communications Research poll) Bush up by 7."

Thanks for the tip on the ICR poll! It came out after I'd posted, I'll be sure to include it in the update later today after the East coast polling firms close for the day. I'll drop a hat tip to you, as well!

"I would suggest that those of you falling prey to the MSM psychological ops campaign, turn the TV off for a while."

I'm just calling them like I see it myself. I don't have any MSM input, I don't even own a TV, listen to either conservative talk radio or Christian radio, and don't get the newspaper or any "news" magazines.


20 posted on 10/06/2004 1:35:52 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy
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