Posted on 10/02/2004 1:45:56 PM PDT by tsmith130
Edited on 10/02/2004 2:53:28 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Sat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET
New York-Sixty-one percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected; 3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.
The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.
A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.
Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention. Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.
Excerpt, the rest of the article is here: NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
My wife who has been a Republican all her life and voted for W in 2000 and twice for governor told me yeserday that she is pulling for Kerry because she thinks he will pull the troops out of Iraq. Our son is to be deployed to Iraq in March.
Will be a challenge to get her to change her mind. Probably some others like her also. Any ideas?
Shortly before the debate began, Newsweek national editor Jon Meacham suggested on MSNBC that journalists are tired of Bush being in the lead, and so will try to narrow the race. Meacham foresaw "the possibility that President Bush has peaked about a month too early. Because we all need a narrative to change." Chris Matthews asked: "Is that your prediction?" Meacham replied: "I think it's possible that we're gonna be sitting around saying, 'Well you know Kerry really surprised us.' Because in a way the imperative is to change the story."
Bush blew the debate, period. How that may or may not be reflected in the polls isn't the point. The point is he could have put Kerry away and he didn't do it. Cite all the polls you like. I don't read 'em.
No, of course they won't. Because it would interfere with their agenda: Taking the fire out of Republicans. Keeping us depressed and beaten down will keep us home. That's their only chance. OF COURSE, THERE'S NO CHANCE OF THAT HAPPENING HERE< IS THERE???!!!
"you are correct, say it again bump..."
Thanks , I will!
As I just told someone else, go to this Gallup Poll:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1233415/posts
For all you "Chicken Littles" out there, there is another thread saying that the media was calling the debate a draw till they went to a conservative blog and saw all the hand-wringing...most likely the live debate thread here and now the MSM is going nuts saying Kerry will win the election. They're like sharks smelling blood and now they are going in for the kill.
The MSM, as well as the dipheads at DU, read our threads and what they are seeing is doom, gloom and in some cases, hysteria by some here (not all of us, thankfully).
Please, take a deep breath and cool it.
On Fox news a few weeks ago they said, the Republicans get September because of the convention. The challenger gets October. And they get it back again at election time.
You're right. W did great.
Duct tape her to a chair on Nov. 2 and don't let her go until Nov 3.
Duct tape her to a chair on Nov. 2 and don't let her go until Nov 3.
The most likely voter is a highly educated, reasonably wealthy, elderly white woman, who went to religious services at least once in the last month. The least likely voter is a high school dropout, poor, young black male, who does not attend religious services. All others, based on their demographics, fall in between those extremes. Long history from prior elections proves out these demographic results.
That's why LV polls are almost always more accurate than RV voters in matching the ultimate outcome on election day.
Congressman Billybob
Latest column, "And the Debate Winner is -- Lemony Snicket"
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so she wants Al ( I cut you head off) Zakarwi to win?
pull out = lose WOT
let her know that.
Interesting little gathering on this thread, eh?
Oh, the wringing of hands and such. Glad to see you here.
Jorge, when you figure out how one can prepare oneself for that possibility, please post the procedure. I can not imagine a Kerry presidency in which the sovereign Union stands.
A_R
Remember Drudge's headline that Kerry was going on TV to apologyze to the VN vets?
We can't take the america hating media seriously and we can't take the stuff they feed to Drudge seriously either.
It wouldn't be so bad if Bush lost the debate in a fair fight.
But he was sent up to the podium over-tired and under-prepped.
Bush was set up.
The goddamn campaign manager set him up.
Also, this is registered voters.
If one debate can have a turnaround impact on a poll (Newsweek), how important is it for presisdent Bush to do much better on the next two? It seems he is affected by pressure because there is a night and day difference in his ease and articulation before a friendly crowd versus before a debate audience and opponent (in person and at home.)
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