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Keeping Score: A round-by-round look at how Bush and Kerry did during the debate.
The Weekly Standard ^ | 10/01/04 | Jonathan V. Last

Posted on 09/30/2004 9:27:18 PM PDT by Pokey78

HOW DID Bush and Kerry do tonight? A mixed bag for both. Let's look at the scorecard.

Round 1: How will Kerry make America safer? Kerry says he'll use alliances and won't upset Muslims around the world. Bush stumbles before giving the numbers of al Qaeda killed and captured. Round to Kerry

Round 2: Will Kerry's election increase the chances of a terror attack? Showing the certitude that makes thinking people cringe, Bush replies, "That's not going to happen" because he's going to win. "In Iraq, no doubt about it, it's tough. It's hard work," he says. Kerry calls Iraq a "colossal error in judgment." Round to Bush

Round 3: What misjudgments has Bush made? "Where do we start?" Kerry asks. Let the record note that he mentions Vietnam ("as someone who's been in combat") at 9:12 p.m. Unfortunately, he then spins off into talk about multiples of ten. It probably isn't numerology, but who can tell. Bush quotes Kerry's old stance on Saddam. Looking peevish, Bush says "That's part of a pre-September 10th mentality" and gestures to Kerry. A good line of attack he should have pressed more. I mean, wasn't that the theme of the Republican convention? Round to Bush

Round 4: What about going after Saddam and not bin Laden? Bush says, sensibly, "We have to be able to do both." Kerry flops around about the "rush to war" and how Bush didn't fund body armor. Round to Bush

Round 5: What would Kerry do differently on Homeland Security? Kerry attacks Bush's funding of firehouses and the tax cuts, which is weak.

But Bush flounders, muttering something like, "Pssshhht" and shrugging his shoulders. In his rebuttal, he nearly shouts that you better have a president who understands that you have to protect America. Round to Kerry

Round 6: What criteria will you use for knowing when to bring troops home from Iraq? Bush says, "When our generals on the ground" tell us that Iraqis are ready to protect themselves "from these terrorists." Kerry says, "Help is on the way." ("I know what it's like to go out on" missions where you don't know what's around the corner--second Vietnam reference.) During rebuttal, Bush hits Kerry's $87 billion vote for the first, and inexplicably the only, time. Round to Kerry

Round 7: Are Americans now dying for a mistake? After saying he agrees with Bush, Kerry says Iraq is like FDR invading Mexico after Pearl Harbor. Then again with the summits. And then Halliburton. Welcome to the MoveOn.org portion of the program. An increasingly surly Bush responds, "That's just absurd. . . . What does he say to Tony Blair. . . . You can't expect to build alliances when you denigrate the contributions of those who are serving side-by-side with Americans in Iraq." Ouch. Round to Bush

Round 8: What was Bush's miscalculation on post-war conditions in Iraq? Bush says, basically, that the Baathists were cowards and didn't fight and, also, Tommy Franks won too fast. Also: "I know we won't [win in Iraq] if we send mixed signals." Kerry makes news by saying that now he would not have gone into Iraq knowing what he knows now. Or maybe this isn't news. To be honest, I've lost track. Anyway. Round to Kerry

Round 9: How has Bush lied on Iraq? Kerry says that he's "never used the harshest word which you just have." Hmmm . . . can that be true? Someone should look into it, since this isn't the type of thing the RNC would send out a press release about. Bush's rebuttal is a non sequitur: Osama bin Laden doesn't get to decide how America defends itself. Huh? Bush seems personally offended at the suggestion that anyone else might get to do his job. And for the fourth time or so, says, "That's not how a commander in chief acts." Kerry is going to win this round, but he makes one gigantic mistake: "I've had one position, one consistent position," on Iraq, he says. Oops, that should go in an ad. Round to Kerry

Round 10: Has the war in Iraq been worth the cost in lives? Bush's finest moment so far. He names a woman he met whose husband died in Iraq and talks about how they prayed together. "I thought her husband's sacrifice was noble and worthy. Because I understand the stakes of this war on terror," he says. "Every life is precious, that's what distinguishes us from the enemy," he says. If only he could have brought himself to name "the enemy" he keeps referencing.

Kerry's rebuttal is, "I understand what the president is talking about because I know what it means to lose people in combat," and, that "reminds me of my own thinking when I came back from fighting in that war." If you're keeping score at home, this is the fourth time he's brought up Vietnam.

Bush starts his rebuttal by laughing out loud and then coming to tonight's lodestar: "You cannot lead the war on terror if you keep changing positions" again. Kerry's rebuttal uses Colin Powell as a club on Bush and then starts talking about the Pottery Barn Rule. They teach it at SAIS, you know. That and the little known Crate and Barrel Corollary. Round to Bush

Round 11: Give us specifics for how you would end U.S. involvement in Iraq. Kerry talks about 14 military bases in Iraq and guarding the Oil Ministry and we're off to MoveOn land again. we're building 14 bases and guarding the oil ministry only, a sop to the MoveOn types. Says you have to close the borders and bring in allies. Round to Bush

Round 12: Is it now more or less likely that you'll go into a preemptive war again? Bush says, "by speaking clearly and doing what we say and not sending mixed messages" it is less likely we'll have to use troops again. Kerry rebuts that "the enemy" was Osama, not Saddam, and that Bush should have used U.S. troops, not Afghan troops, at Tora Bora. See? Bush should be using multinational troops where he's using American troops and American troops where he was using foreign allies. That makes sense. Round to Bush

Round 13: What is your view on preemptive war? Kerry says the POTUS always has that option and then, amazingly brings up JFK's consultation with the French during the Cuban missile crisis. That is, as the saying goes, a big matzah ball hanging out there.

Shockingly, Bush passes up the opportunity. His rebuttal is, however, devastating. He says he doesn't know what it means to "pass a global test. . . . My attitude is you take preemptive action in order to protect the American people." That's a standing 8-count. Round to Bush

Round 14: Can diplomacy solve the problems in Iran and North Korea? President Bush wants to work with the Moo-lahs to convince Iran to abandon their nuclear ambitions. Kerry beats Bush over the head with Powell again. This is Kerry's best moment, until Jim Lehrer steps in. Lehrer wants to clarify what type of negotiations the two candidates favor. Bush wants bilateral. Kerry says, naturally, "I want both!" Round to Kerry

Round 15: Darfur--why won't you send in troops? Kerry mentions the "back-door draft" and says we're too overextended in Iraq to do Darfur. Bush, interestingly enough, knows about the timing of the African rainy seasons. Round to Kerry

Round 16: Are there underlying character issues serious enough to deny Kerry the job? For looking like such a sourpuss all night, Bush is limber and charming here: "Whew, that's a loaded question," he smiles. He admires Kerry's service and appreciates that he's a great dad and that his daughters have been so kind to the Bush girls. He admires Kerry's service in the Senate, but not his record. "He changes positions on the war in Iraq" and on things "in his core" "in his heart of hearts" and, even worse, sends "mixed messages." Kerry makes the fair point that "It's one thing to be certain, but you can be certain and wrong." Round to Bush

Round 17: What do you think is the single biggest threat facing America? Kerry doesn't hesitate: "Nuclear proliferation." Round to Kerry

Round 18: Did Bush misjudge Vladimir Putin? President Bush thinks that it's important to have good personal relationships with former KGB agents as they try to roll back important civil freedoms. This way you can disagree constructively. Kerry doesn't have a better answer, but did get a neat-o tour of KGB headquarters right after the fall of the Soviet Union. Round to Kerry

I've got this fight scored dead-even: 9 to 9. Of course there are intangibles to consider. On the whole, Kerry was more relaxed and polished and certainly calmer. He also managed to sneak in a fifth Vietnam reference during his closing remarks ("I defended this country as a young man in war.") Kerry was a grounded presence and his performance should give Democrats hope.

Bush was, as someone once put it, surprisingly more tart than sweet. At times the president faltered and you could see the wheels spinning as he flipped through his mental Rolodex, looking for the right card. Peevish is the word which kept coming to mind. He was, however, ruthlessly on-message. If Kerry really is being damaged by the sense that he's a flip-flopper who doesn't know his own mind--and the higher-ups on Team Bush insist that this is the key to beating him--then the president did exactly what he wanted to do. But if the central issue of this election is the September 10 versus the September 12 party, then Bush may have let slip a fair opportunity.

Jonathan V. Last is online editor of The Weekly Standard.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; debates; firstdebate
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To: Pokey78

Tonight the debate was a draw..

After the word gets out that Kerry wants to give Iran nukes and make us "pass a global test" to defend our selves.. well.. you could say that its a bush win. :)


41 posted on 09/30/2004 10:09:36 PM PDT by BoBToMatoE
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To: xzins

Bush

Bush

A lot of people are spinning. Bush is the President. He has to know this stuff cold. He sounded defensive and distracted. It matters not a wit to me. I'll be driving shut-in Republicans to the polls on November 2nd. Nevertheless, Bush should have kicked Kerry's a$$ all over the stage. It isn't as though he doesn't have ammunition: Kerry has done NOTHING in the Senate for 20 years. Kerry aided and abetted our enemies during the Viet Nam war. Kerry takes two sides on every issue. Kerry has voted against our troups on any occasion given to him. Bush should have flambe'd him. Period.


42 posted on 09/30/2004 10:09:59 PM PDT by Hoosier-Daddy (It's a fight to the death with Democrats.)
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To: Howlin

Ok just to make you feel good Ill lie to myself and you and say he was articulate and agressive and convincing .Ok happy...? He could have put that horses ass Kerry away tonight and he didnt . Yes, I know Kerry is full of it but the general TV folk out there who dont read a lot and dont have the political savy we may have on this blog site may not see it all that way ..He really didnt look good at all and let some choice opportunities slip by him . Sorry pal , I was dissapointed and so were many other loyal Bush supporters in here tonight .


43 posted on 09/30/2004 10:10:20 PM PDT by omstrat (NJ/NYC republican)
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To: StarFan; Dutchy; alisasny; BobFromNJ; BUNNY2003; Cacique; Clemenza; Coleus; cyborg; DKNY; ...
ping!

Please FReepmail me if you want on or off my infrequent ‘miscellaneous’ ping list.

44 posted on 09/30/2004 10:11:21 PM PDT by nutmeg ("The DemocRATic party...has been hijacked by a confederacy of gangsters..." - Pat Caddell, 11/27/00)
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To: joyce11111

Jesus tap dancing Christ, Kerry can't even bulls*** correctly.


45 posted on 09/30/2004 10:12:45 PM PDT by mbennett203
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To: Hoosier-Daddy

I agree ..but he didnt..He let a LOT slide by him ..What gives? He could have SLAMMED HIM Is he trying to be a NICE guy here ? He should have slammed the uN as the do nothing waste of space it is the SECOND Kerry mentioned the UN ..I had to leave the room 3 times tonight ..


46 posted on 09/30/2004 10:13:25 PM PDT by omstrat (NJ/NYC republican)
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To: mbennett203

Watch it now.


47 posted on 09/30/2004 10:14:32 PM PDT by Howlin (What's the Font Spacing, Kenneth?)
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To: Hoosier-Daddy

And THAT alone says it all in a nutshell.


48 posted on 09/30/2004 10:15:05 PM PDT by anglian
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To: omstrat
but the general TV folk out there who dont read a lot and dont have the political savy we may have on this blog site may not see it all that way .

Perhaps you better leave this thread and read some of the polls and articles being posted before you keep saying Bush looked so bad.

And this is NOT a blog. Period.

49 posted on 09/30/2004 10:16:06 PM PDT by Howlin (What's the Font Spacing, Kenneth?)
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To: Pokey78

The fact that Bush bumbles is nothing new to anyone. People who support him do so because of what he stands for, not how he articulates his stance. As an aside, this was Bush's worst debate format by FAR. He will get better as they go. By the time November comes around, nobody will give this debate a second thought. Furthermore, this idea of the undecided voter has got to be a joke. The people who haven't truly made up their minds are not the ones that will carry the day on Nov. 2. It will be us and the people we drag to the polls. Most of the undecideds are voting for Kerry anyway. Remember, they are dead and they don't catch the news very often. Just another part of the uninformed Dim base. Sorry for rambling.


50 posted on 09/30/2004 10:17:40 PM PDT by Clump
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To: snarkytart

I had a class tonight so I didn't see the debate --- but it doesn't look like Kerry said anything that would make anyone vote for him who already wasn't voting for him --- it sounds like he pretty much admits that he would really do nothing about terrorism --- he's got to please the Muslims and the UN no matter what --- even if he says that very stylishly --- that's still what he's saying.


51 posted on 09/30/2004 10:18:01 PM PDT by FITZ
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To: Hoosier-Daddy

But in doing so he CANNOT look like a whiner. It would be extremely useful if he could bring up something Kerry said that is the exact opposite of something Kerry's just finished saying, but he can't go back in time to the last debate.

I don't think there are nearly the number of independent voters out there that the pollsters do, either. And those folks are the voters who will be voting depending on what bad news is heard on the morning of Nov. 2. Debates aren't something they're watching. They're watching gas prices. And damn, are they high right now.


52 posted on 09/30/2004 10:19:06 PM PDT by LibertarianInExile (The Fourth Estate is the Fifth Column.)
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To: mbennett203

No need for blasphemy here at FR. That is not something most freepers appreciate.


53 posted on 09/30/2004 10:19:34 PM PDT by Clump
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To: Clump
Round 18: Did Bush misjudge Vladimir Putin? President Bush thinks that it's important to have good personal relationships with former KGB agents as they try to roll back important civil freedoms. This way you can disagree constructively. Kerry doesn't have a better answer, but did get a neat-o tour of KGB headquarters right after the fall of the Soviet Union. Round to Kerry

Round to Kerry? For telling a story about touring a Nazi Extermination Camp and confusing it with KGB HQ? Or is that telling a story about KGB HQ and confusing it with a Nazi Exterrmination Camp? I'm confused, but definitely not a win for Kerry.

54 posted on 09/30/2004 10:19:45 PM PDT by rocklobster11
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To: Howlin

I'm stating MY opinion , nothing more. Im sorry , I dont think he did very well at all tonight . I think I have the right to say that , even on here. He could have put this race in his pocket tonight and he didnt . He let Kerry off the ropes a number of times . I still feel that many folks did't see Bush as being very strong tonight at all.He repeated himself and really struggled with some answers.I had enough for one night at this point.Bummed out as it is here.


55 posted on 09/30/2004 10:21:09 PM PDT by omstrat (NJ/NYC republican)
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To: omstrat

Even if he in lying in wait for the other debates, he has NO business being uncertain of himself in front of the nation. He should be above all this, and instead sounded like he was disconnnected and couldn't express himself.


56 posted on 09/30/2004 10:21:21 PM PDT by Hoosier-Daddy (It's a fight to the death with Democrats.)
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To: Hoosier-Daddy

I know , very dissapointing to say the least. He had a few chances to really SLAM Kerry ..and didnt .


57 posted on 09/30/2004 10:22:56 PM PDT by omstrat (NJ/NYC republican)
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To: jtmac40

I think Bush is going to pull into the lead.


58 posted on 09/30/2004 10:23:17 PM PDT by Time4Atlas2Shrug (I have an opinion and a modem.)
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To: omstrat

Answer to your question:

Yes, he is trying to be a nice guy. Remember that the debates are more about style than substance. Nixon won on radio, JFK on tv, and Bush will win this election if J F'in K looks like he is, a horse's ass, and Bush looks like he is, plain folks.

If Bush blasts Kerry women don't like it. And this is the demographic that will electorally put Kerry away.

I hate to watch the prevent defense, but politics ain't football. While we don't want Bush to turn into Dewey, and take it easy, we also can't have him turning into a firebrand rabid-anti-Kerry-ite. That would turn off more voters than it drives to the polls.

Let Kerry slap Bush around in this debate. The next two are far more important. If Bush cleans JFinK's clock in the last one, or even is perceived as doing better than JFinK, barring surprises, he's gonna be the favorite.

Would help if gas were cheaper, though.


59 posted on 09/30/2004 10:24:20 PM PDT by LibertarianInExile (The Fourth Estate is the Fifth Column.)
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To: Clump

Your rambling all made sense. Well said.


60 posted on 09/30/2004 10:25:16 PM PDT by LibertarianInExile (The Fourth Estate is the Fifth Column.)
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